浅水湖泊模型PCLake及其应用进展
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摘要
浅水湖泊是与人类关系最为密切的淡水生态系统之一。随着浅水湖泊富营养化的发生,人们对浅水湖泊也日益关注,并尝试采用不同生态模型对湖泊水质进行预测。PCLake模型是浅水湖泊专用模型,可以准确预测浅水湖泊污染物的变化。该研究介绍了PCLake模型原理概况,梳理了应用实例。从浅水湖泊的稳态转换研究、气候变化、湖泊管理等领域阐述了PCLake模型的应用研究现状,同时对PCLake模型与CAEDYM模型、LakeWeb模型、MIKE21模型、CE-QUAL-W2模型、WASP模型等常见的湖泊水生态模型进行了对比分析,探讨PCLake模型的适用性与局限性,展望其未来发展方向,旨在为浅水湖泊PCLake模型研究领域提供系统参考。
Shallow lake is one of the most important freshwater ecosystems for human being. With the increasing of lake eutrophication,people pay more attention to shallow lakes,and have tried different ecological models to predict lake water quality. PCLake model is specifically used for accurate prediction of pollution trend in shallow lakes. The principle of PCLake model and its application are briefly introduced. The application research of PCLake model is elaborated from different perspectives,including regime shift,climate change and lake management. In addition,different lake ecosystem models are compared,such as CAEDYM model,LakeWeb model,MIKE 21 model,CE-QUAL-W2 model,and WASP model. Based on the case studies and analysis of different models,the applicability and limitations of the PCLake model are explored and its future development is predicted,so as to provide a comprehensive and systematic reference for the research of PCLake model in shallow lakes.
Shallow lake is one of the most important freshwater ecosystems for human being. With the increasing of lake eutrophication,people pay more attention to shallow lakes,and have tried different ecological models to predict lake water quality. PCLake model is specifically used for accurate prediction of pollution trend in shallow lakes. The principle of PCLake model and its application are briefly introduced. The application research of PCLake model is elaborated from different perspectives,including regime shift,climate change and lake management. In addition,different lake ecosystem models are compared,such as CAEDYM model,LakeWeb model,MIKE 21 model,CE-QUAL-W2 model,and WASP model. Based on the case studies and analysis of different models,the applicability and limitations of the PCLake model are explored and its future development is predicted,so as to provide a comprehensive and systematic reference for the research of PCLake model in shallow lakes.
引文
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[3] KUIPER J J,VAN ALTENA C,DE RUITER P C,et al.FoodWeb Stability Signals Critical Transitions in Temperate Shallow Lakes[J].Nature Communications,2015,6:7727.DOI:10.1038/ncomms8727.
[4] GUO L.Doing Battle With the Green Monster of Taihu Lake[J].Science,2007,317(5842):1166-1166.
[5] LIU X.The Identification of Nutrient Limitations on Eutrophication in Dianchi Lake,China[J].Water and Environment Journal,2017,31(4):592-597.
[6] ZHANG L,WANG S R,LI Y P,et al.Spatial and Temporal Distributions of Microorganisms and Their Role in the Evolution of Erhai Lake Eutrophication[J].Environmental Earth Sciences,2015,74(5):3887-3896.
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[9] NIELSEN A,TROLLE D,BJERRING R,et al.Effects of Changes in Climate and Nutrient Load on Water Quality of Shallow Lakes Assessed by Ensemble PCLake[J]. Ecological Applications,2014,24(8):1926-1944.
[10] KONG X Z,HE Q S,YANG B,et al.Hydrological Regulation Drives Regime Shifts:Evidence From Paleolimnology and Ecosystem Modeling of a Large Shallow Chinese Lake[J].Global Change Biology,2017,23(2):737-754.
[11] LISCHKE B,HILT S,JANSE J H,et al.Enhanced Input of Terrestrial Particulate Organic Matter Reduces the Resilience of the Clear-Water State of Shallow Lakes:A Model Study[J].Ecosystems,2014,17(4):616-626.
[12] DE MEESTER L,DECLERCK S,JANSE J H,et al.Biodiversity in European Shallow Lakes:A Multilevel-Multifactorial Field Study[M]//Wetlands:Functioning,Biodiversity Conservation,and Restoration.Berlin:Springer,2006:149-167.
[13] VAN ALTENA C,BAKKER E S,KUIPER J J,et al.The Impact of Bird Herbivory on Macrophytes and the Resilience of the ClearWater State in Shallow Lakes:A Model Study[J].Hydrobiologia,2016,777(1):197-207.
[14] JANSE J H,SCHEFFER M,LIJKLEMA L,et al.Estimating the Critical Phosphorus Loading of Shallow Lakes With the Ecosystem Model PCLake:Sensitivity,Calibration and Uncertainty[J].Ecological Modelling,2010,221(4):654-665.
[15] FRAGOSO C R,VAN NES E H,JANSE J H,et al.IPH-TRIM3DPCLake:A Three-Dimensional Complex Dynamic Model for Subtropical Aquatic Ecosystems[J].Environmental Modelling&Software,2009,24(11):1347-1348.
[16] HU F J,BOLDING K,BRUGGEMAN J,et al.FABM-PCLake Linking Aquatic Ecology With Hydrodynamics[J].Geoscientific Model Development,2016,9(6):2271-2278.
[17] KUIPER J J.Making Eco Logic and Models Work:An Integrative Approach to Lake Ecosystem Modelling[D].Wageningen,Netherlands:Wageningen University and Research Center,2016.
[18] J?RGENSEN S E.A Eutrophication Model for a Lake[J].Ecological Modelling,1976,2(2):147-165.
[19] J?RGENSEN S E.A Review of Recent Developments in Lake Modelling[J].Ecological Modelling,2010,221(4):689-692.
[20]张笑欣,于瑞宏,张宇瑾,等.浅水湖泊稳态转换模型PCLake研究进展[J].水资源保护,2017,33(3):19-24.[ZHANG Xiaoxin,YU Rui-hong,ZHANG Yu-jin,et al.Progress in Research of Regime Shift Model PCLake for Shallow Lakes[J]. Water Resources Protection,2017,33(3):19-24.]
[21]卢小燕,徐福留,詹巍,等.湖泊富营养化模型的研究现状与发展趋势[J].水科学进展,2003,14(6):792-798.[LU Xiao-yan,XU Fu-liu,ZHAN Wei,et al.Current Situation and Development Trends in Lake Eutrophication Models[J].Advances in Water Science,2003,14(6):792-798.]
[22] LUO L C,HAMILTON D,LAN J,et al.Autocalibration of a OneDimensional Hydrodynamic-Ecological Model(DYRESM 4.0-CAEDYM 3.1)Using a Monte Carlo Approach:Simulations of Hypoxic Events in a Polymictic Lake[J].Geoscientific Model Development,2018,11:903-913.
[23] BRACHT-FLYR B,FRITZ S C.Combining Lake Core Records With the Limnologic Model DYRESM-CAEDYM to Evaluate Lake Response During the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly[J].Journal of Paleolimnology,2016,56(1):79-92.
[24] H?KANSON L,BOULION V V,OSTAPENIA A P. The Lake Foodweb:Modelling Predation and Abiotic/Biotic Interactions[M].[s. l.]:Backhuys Publishers,2002:90-100.
[25] H?KANSON L,BOULION V V,OSTAPENIA A P.The Influence of Biomanipulations(Fish Removal)on the Structure of Lake Foodwebs,Case Studies Using the LakeWeb-Model[J].Aquatic Ecology,2003,37(1):87-99.
[26] H?KANSON L.Consequences and Correctives Related to Lake Acidification,Liming and Mercury in Fish:A Case Study for Lake Huljesj?n,Sweden,Using the LakeWeb-Model[J].Environmental Modeling&Assessment,2003,8(4):275-283.
[27] MEHDIABADI F E,MEHDIZADEH M M,RAHBANI M.Simulating Wind Driven Waves in the Strait of Hormuz Using MIKE21(Simulasi Gelombang Angin Di Selat Hormuz Menggunakan MIKE21)[J].Indonesian Journal of Marine Sciences,2015,20(1):1-8.
[28] SONINBAYAR J,AUDRA P.Dam Break Simulation Using DHIMIKE21 in the Eg Hydropower Plant,Mongolia[M]//Advances in Hydroinformatics. Singapore:Springer,2018:415-422.
[29] DAGHIGH H,KHANIKI A K,BIDOKHTI A A,et al.Prediction of Bed Ripple Geometry Under Controlled Wave Conditions:Wave-Flume Experiments and MIKE21 Numerical Simulations[J]. Indian Journal of Geo-Marine Sciences,2017,46(3):529-537.
[30] NOORI R,YEH H D,ASHRAFI K,et al.A Reduced-Order Based CE-QUAL-W2 Model for Simulation of Nitrate Concentration in Dam Reservoirs[J].Journal of Hydrology,2015,530:645-656.
[31] TERRY J A,SADEGHIAN A,BAULCH H M,et al.Challenges of Modelling Water Quality in a Shallow Prairie Lake With Seasonal Ice Cover[J].Ecological Modelling,2018,384:43-52.
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