青藏地区公路交通事故分布规律及应对措施
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摘要
青藏地区由于其独特的高寒高海拔地理特性及气候因素,道路单车事故率及平均事故死亡率远高于我国其他地区.为了研究青藏公路交通事故分布规律,以国道109线唐北段为研究对象,运用统计分析的方法对该公路的交通事故资料进行统计研究,分析得到交通事故的时间、气候、形态、车辆类型与归属地分布等分布规律.研究结果表明:国道109线青藏公路唐北段道路交通事故具有明显的季节性特征,单方翻车是最主要事故形态,事故车辆绝大多数是外省车辆.进一步对青藏公路交通事故特征成因进行挖掘,并针对事故成因提出增设硬件设施、加强预防措施、完善救援体系及创新管理模式的应对措施,以提高青藏公路的行车安全,有效减少交通事故的发生.
Because of its unique alpine high altitude geography and climatic factors,the road accident rate and average accident mortality rate are much higher than other areas in China. In order to study the distribution law of traffic accidents in Qinghai-Tibet Highway,the Tangbei section of National Highway 109 was used as the research object. The statistical analysis method was used to analyze the traffic accident data of the highway,and the time,climate,form,vehicle type,vehicle attribution area distribution law and cause distribution law of traffic accidents was obtained. The results show that the road traffic accident in the Tangbei section of the National Highway 109 in the Qinghai-Tibet Highway has obvious seasonal characteristics,and the unilateral rollover is the main accident form,and the vast majority of the accidents are vehicles from other provinces. Further excavates the causes of the traffic accident characteristics of the Qinghai-Tibet Highway,and puts forward some countermeasures such as adding hardware facilities,strengthening preventive measures,improving the rescue system and innovating management model,in order to improve the traffic safety of the Qinghai-Tibet Highway and reduce the occurrence of traffic accidents.
Because of its unique alpine high altitude geography and climatic factors,the road accident rate and average accident mortality rate are much higher than other areas in China. In order to study the distribution law of traffic accidents in Qinghai-Tibet Highway,the Tangbei section of National Highway 109 was used as the research object. The statistical analysis method was used to analyze the traffic accident data of the highway,and the time,climate,form,vehicle type,vehicle attribution area distribution law and cause distribution law of traffic accidents was obtained. The results show that the road traffic accident in the Tangbei section of the National Highway 109 in the Qinghai-Tibet Highway has obvious seasonal characteristics,and the unilateral rollover is the main accident form,and the vast majority of the accidents are vehicles from other provinces. Further excavates the causes of the traffic accident characteristics of the Qinghai-Tibet Highway,and puts forward some countermeasures such as adding hardware facilities,strengthening preventive measures,improving the rescue system and innovating management model,in order to improve the traffic safety of the Qinghai-Tibet Highway and reduce the occurrence of traffic accidents.
引文
[1]吴昊.高寒高海拔地区公路交通事故分析与预防对策研究[D].西安:长安大学,2017.
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[15]王凤杰.赤峰市公路客运交通事故成因管理对策研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2012.
[16]孙轶轩.基于数据挖掘的道路交通事故分析研究[D].北京:北京交通大学,2014.
[17]李思鼎,陈国安.高原和高寒环境对车辆的影响分析[J].城市车辆,2009(2):43-45.
[18]姬生强,艾力·斯木吐拉.高原区驾驶员特性对交通安全设施的影响分析[J].交通科技与经济,2014,16(5):5-9.
[19]窦明健,胡长顺,多吉罗布,等.青藏公路路面病害成因分析[J].冰川冻土,2003,25(4):439-444.
[2] NG K S,HUNG W T,WONG W G. An algorithm for assessing the risk of traffic accident[J]. Journal of Safety Research,2002,33:387-410.
[3] QUDDUS M A. Modelling area-wide count outcomes with spatial correlation and heterogeneity:an analysis of london crash data[J].Accident Analysis&Prevention,2008,40(4):1486-1497.
[4] MACNAB Y C. Bayesian spatial and ecological models for small-area crash and injury analysis[J]. Accident Analysis&Prevention,2004,36(6):1019-1028.
[5] XIE K,WANG X,HUANG H,et al. Corridor-level signalized intersection safety analysis in Shanghai,China using Bayesian hierarchical models[J]. Accident Analysis&Prevention,2013,50:25-33.
[6]黄合来,许鹏鹏,马明,等.道路交通安全规划理论研究前沿[J].中国公路学报,2014,27(9):90-97.
[7]张生瑞,马壮林,徐景翠.高速公路隧道内交通事故分布规律[J].长安大学学报,2008,28(4):74-78.
[8]李文权,王炜.交通事故的时间分布规律[J].中国安全科学学报,2005,15(4):56-60.
[9]杨建勇,黄巨胜,张顶洋.山区高等级公路交通事故分布规律研究[J].公安法治研究,2008,6(5):25-31.
[10]王文治,石小法,张洪波,等.杭州跨海大桥交通事故特征分析研究[J].公路,2016,5(5):152-156.
[11]何松柏,郑智,安雅琴,等.道路交通事故时间分布规律[J].军事交通学院学报,2015,17(1):83-86.
[12] KOPELIAS P,PAPADIMITRIOU F,PAPANDREOU K,et al. Uthan freeway crash analysis:geometrie,operational and weather effects on crash numberand severity[R]. Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board,2007.
[13] SADAT HOSEINI S M,VAZIRI M. Modeling driver’s behaviour as a crash rish reduction process[J]. Promet Traffic and Transportation,2008,20(3):139-146.
[14]何璐,张霖.交通事故影响因素的逐步回归分析[J].伊犁师范学院学报(自然科学版),2016,10(4):14-18.
[15]王凤杰.赤峰市公路客运交通事故成因管理对策研究[D].长春:吉林大学,2012.
[16]孙轶轩.基于数据挖掘的道路交通事故分析研究[D].北京:北京交通大学,2014.
[17]李思鼎,陈国安.高原和高寒环境对车辆的影响分析[J].城市车辆,2009(2):43-45.
[18]姬生强,艾力·斯木吐拉.高原区驾驶员特性对交通安全设施的影响分析[J].交通科技与经济,2014,16(5):5-9.
[19]窦明健,胡长顺,多吉罗布,等.青藏公路路面病害成因分析[J].冰川冻土,2003,25(4):439-444.
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