黑龙江森工林区经济转型发展的动力因素分析
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摘要
基于对黑龙江森工林区经济转型发展现状的系统性描述分析,借助林区2005-2016年相关统计数据,通过构建林区经济转型发展动力模型,旨在实现森工林区经济转型发展动力因素有效识别及驱动效应定量研究。研究得到:产业结构水平对林区经济转型发展的驱动效应最为显著,这与其背后涵盖的科学产业布局、产业间资源优化配置等内容密切相关;资本要素、劳动力要素对林区经济转型发展具有积极驱动效应,但不及产业结构水平;资本要素的驱动效应大于劳动力要素,体现出当前林区接续替代产业发展对资本投入的紧迫需求,而林区劳动力资源质量不佳和结构不均衡等成为制约其对林区经济转型发展推动作用的重要原因。综上所述,黑龙江森工林区经济转型发展受到来自产业结构水平、资本及劳动力要素投入等一系列因素不同程度的驱动作用和影响,并结合研究结论及林区客观实际提出加快林区经济转型发展的可行路径。
Based on the systematic description of the economic transformation and development of Heilongjiang forest industry area,thin paper realized the dynamic factors identification and the quantitative study of the driving effects with the dynamic model and the statistical data from 2005 to 2016. The results show that the industrial structure level has the most significant driving effect on the economic transformation and development,which is closely related to the scientific industrial layout and the optimal allocation of resources between industries. The capital and labor factors have positive effects on the economic transformation of forest areas,but lower than the industrial structure level; the driving effect of capital factors is greater than the labor factor,which clarifies the urgent demand for capital investment in the development of alternative industries in the current forest area,and the problems of poor labor resources and unbalanced structure in the forest area are serious. It has restricted its promotion role in the economic transformation and development of forest areas. In summary,the economic transformation and development of Heilongjiang Forest Industry Region is driven and influenced by a series of factors ranging from industrial structure level,capital and labor factor input,and combined with the research conclusions and the objective reality of the forest area,it puts forward a feasible path to accelerate the economic transformation and development of the forest area.
Based on the systematic description of the economic transformation and development of Heilongjiang forest industry area,thin paper realized the dynamic factors identification and the quantitative study of the driving effects with the dynamic model and the statistical data from 2005 to 2016. The results show that the industrial structure level has the most significant driving effect on the economic transformation and development,which is closely related to the scientific industrial layout and the optimal allocation of resources between industries. The capital and labor factors have positive effects on the economic transformation of forest areas,but lower than the industrial structure level; the driving effect of capital factors is greater than the labor factor,which clarifies the urgent demand for capital investment in the development of alternative industries in the current forest area,and the problems of poor labor resources and unbalanced structure in the forest area are serious. It has restricted its promotion role in the economic transformation and development of forest areas. In summary,the economic transformation and development of Heilongjiang Forest Industry Region is driven and influenced by a series of factors ranging from industrial structure level,capital and labor factor input,and combined with the research conclusions and the objective reality of the forest area,it puts forward a feasible path to accelerate the economic transformation and development of the forest area.
引文
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[13]王岩,徐蕊,徐文煦,等.黑龙江省林业产业经济分析及发展路径研究[J].中国林业经济,2016,24(6):59-61.WANG Y,XU R,XU W X.Research on development path and economic analysis of forestry industry in Heilongjiang Province[J].China Forestry Economics,2016,24(6):59-61.
[14]胡士磊.国有林区职工家庭林下经营效率及影响因素研究[J].农学学报,2016,6(4):91-96.HU S L.Under-forest operational efficiency of worker family and its influencing factors in state-owned forest areas[J].Journal of Agriculture,2016,6(4):91-96.
[15]张睿,贾莉华.基于生命周期理论的木材加工企业经营策略分析[J].林业机械与木工设备,2017,45(3):51-53.ZHANG R,JIA L H.Analysis of management strategies of wood processing enterprises based on the enterprise life cycle theory[J].Forestry Machinery&Woodworking Equipment,2017,45(3):51-53.
[16]王岩,王岳.应对气候变化背景下的我国林业碳汇市场现状、问题及对策[J].北方农业学报,2017,45(5):78-82.WANG Y,WANG Y.Status,problems and strategies of forestry carbon sink market of China in the context of coping with climate change[J].Journal of Northern Agriculture,2017,45(5):78-82.
[17]朱洪革,井月.重点国有林区贫困:测度、特征及影响因素[J].中国农村经济,2013,29(1):76-86.ZHU H G,JING Y.Poverty in key state-owned forest areas:measures,characteristics and influencing factors[J].Chinese Rural Economy,2013,29(1):76-86.
[18]王岩,马阿滨.转型背景下的黑龙江森工林业科技发展研究[J].森林工程,2015,31(6):29-32.WANG Y,MA A B.Research on forestry science and technology development of Heilongjiang forest industry under the transformation background[J].Forest Engineering,2015,31(6):29-32.
[19]贾若,贾盈盈.浅析我国国有林区林业经济增长影响因素[J].北方经贸,2018,38(9):117-118.JIA R,JIA Y Y.Analysis on the factors affecting forestry economic growth in state-owned forest areas in China[J].Northern E-conomy and Trade,2018,38(9):117-118.
[20]郭树平.黑龙江省林下经济现状及发展战略[J].林业科技,2016,41(4):1-5.GUO S P.The situation and development strategy for under-forest economic of Heilongjiang Province[J].Forestry Science&Technology,2016,41(4):1-5.
[2]王志伟.东北国有林区经济转型问题研究[D].哈尔滨:东北林业大学,2011.WANG Z W.Research on economic transition of northeast stateowned forestry region[D].Harbin:Northeast Forestry University,2011.
[3]朱震锋,曹玉昆,王非.中国重点国有林区转型发展的影响因素分析[J].生态经济,2016,32(11):103-107.ZHU Z F,CAO Y K,WANG F.Analysis of factors influencing economic transition and development in Chinese key state-owned forest region[J].Ecological Economy,2016,32(11):103-107.
[4]万志芳,付崇强.黑龙江省国有林区林业产业转型的影响因素研究[J].林业经济,2018,40(5):65-69.WANG Z F,FU C Q.Study on the influencing factors of forestry industry transformation of state-owned forest regions in Heilongjiang Province[J].Forestry Economics,2018,40(5):65-69.
[5]曹玉昆,王非,朱震锋.黑龙江国有林区经济转型之路[J].奋斗,2016(12):47-48.CAO Y K,WANG F,ZHU Z F.Economic transformation road of Heilongjiang state-owned forest region[J].Struggle,2016(12):47-48.
[6]张芳,张思敏.国有林区经济转型发展新路探讨[J].学术交流,2016,32(9):119-122.ZHANG F,ZHANG S M.Discussion on the new road of economic transformation and development in state-owned forest areas[J].Academic Exchange,2016,32(9):119-122.
[7]王非,朱震锋,曹玉昆.基于结构转换视角的中国重点国有林区经济转型发展路径分析[J].世界林业研究,2016,29(2):60-64.WANG F,ZHU Z F,CAO Y K.Analysis of economic restructuring path in key state-owned forest region from the perspective of structural transition[J].World Forestry Research,2016,29(2):60-64.
[8]王玉芳,周妹,曹博,等.黑龙江省国有林区经济转型对经济内生增长的影响研究[J].林业经济,2018,40(5):103-112.WANG Y F,ZHOU M,CAO B,et al.Study on the impact of economic transition on economic endogenous growth in state-owned forest regions of Heilongjiang Province[J].Forestry Economics,2018,40(5):103-112.
[9]吕洁华,刘艳迪,张滨.林业产业融合度测算及其影响因素分析---以黑龙江省国有林区为例[J].林业经济,2018,40(5):60-64.LV J H,LIU Y D,ZHANG B.Analysis on forestry industry integration degree and its influencing factor-a case study of stateowned forest regions in Heilongjiang Province[J].Forestry Economics,2018,40(5):60-64.
[10]王岩.黑龙江国有林区经济转型思路与途径研究[J].安徽农业科学,2015,43(10):173-174.WANG Y.Research on transitional thinking and approaches of Heilongjiang state-owned forest region[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2015,43(10):173-174.
[11]陶英霞.试论我国国有林区林业经济增长影响因素[J].现代经济信息,2014,29(3):282.TAO Y X.Study on the factors affecting forestry economic growth in state-owned forest regions in China[J].Modern Economic Information,2014,29(3):282.
[12]刘德权,汤银玲.国有林区就业影响因素分析---以黑龙江省为例[J].哈尔滨商业大学学报(社会科学版),2013,29(5):20-27.LIU D Q,TANG Y L.The analysis of influence factors of national forest area employment-a case of Heilongjiang Province[J].Journal of Harbin University of Commerce(Social Science Edition),2013,29(5):20-27.
[13]王岩,徐蕊,徐文煦,等.黑龙江省林业产业经济分析及发展路径研究[J].中国林业经济,2016,24(6):59-61.WANG Y,XU R,XU W X.Research on development path and economic analysis of forestry industry in Heilongjiang Province[J].China Forestry Economics,2016,24(6):59-61.
[14]胡士磊.国有林区职工家庭林下经营效率及影响因素研究[J].农学学报,2016,6(4):91-96.HU S L.Under-forest operational efficiency of worker family and its influencing factors in state-owned forest areas[J].Journal of Agriculture,2016,6(4):91-96.
[15]张睿,贾莉华.基于生命周期理论的木材加工企业经营策略分析[J].林业机械与木工设备,2017,45(3):51-53.ZHANG R,JIA L H.Analysis of management strategies of wood processing enterprises based on the enterprise life cycle theory[J].Forestry Machinery&Woodworking Equipment,2017,45(3):51-53.
[16]王岩,王岳.应对气候变化背景下的我国林业碳汇市场现状、问题及对策[J].北方农业学报,2017,45(5):78-82.WANG Y,WANG Y.Status,problems and strategies of forestry carbon sink market of China in the context of coping with climate change[J].Journal of Northern Agriculture,2017,45(5):78-82.
[17]朱洪革,井月.重点国有林区贫困:测度、特征及影响因素[J].中国农村经济,2013,29(1):76-86.ZHU H G,JING Y.Poverty in key state-owned forest areas:measures,characteristics and influencing factors[J].Chinese Rural Economy,2013,29(1):76-86.
[18]王岩,马阿滨.转型背景下的黑龙江森工林业科技发展研究[J].森林工程,2015,31(6):29-32.WANG Y,MA A B.Research on forestry science and technology development of Heilongjiang forest industry under the transformation background[J].Forest Engineering,2015,31(6):29-32.
[19]贾若,贾盈盈.浅析我国国有林区林业经济增长影响因素[J].北方经贸,2018,38(9):117-118.JIA R,JIA Y Y.Analysis on the factors affecting forestry economic growth in state-owned forest areas in China[J].Northern E-conomy and Trade,2018,38(9):117-118.
[20]郭树平.黑龙江省林下经济现状及发展战略[J].林业科技,2016,41(4):1-5.GUO S P.The situation and development strategy for under-forest economic of Heilongjiang Province[J].Forestry Science&Technology,2016,41(4):1-5.
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