基于CRCI-GRA模型的区域农业水土资源复合系统恢复力评价指标体系优选
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摘要
指标体系合理构建是评价区域农业水土资源复合系统恢复能力基础和关键。文章以黑龙江省农垦建三江管理局为例,依据Dale单个指标入选原则及TOSE空间维度模型从自然、生态环境、社会、经济、技术管理5个维度构建农业水土资源复合系统恢复力评价指标体系框架,选择50个评价指标组成区域农业水土资源复合系统恢复力评价指标体系初选库。针对现有指标筛选研究适用性问题,利用指标相对离散系数及累计信息贡献率(CRCI)剔除对评价结果影响较弱的10个指标,运用剩余指标间灰色关联度(GRA)筛选信息重复5个指标完成最后优选。通过与信息可替代筛选指标方法比较,验证方法完备性与可靠性。
The rational construction of the index system is the basis and key to evaluate the resilience of the regional agricultural water and soil resources combined system. This article conducted Jiansanjiang Administration of Agricultural Reclamation in Heilongjiang Province as an example.According to Dale's indicator selection principle and TOSE model, based on five dimensions of nature,ecological, social, economic, and technical management to constructing the framework of resilience evaluation index system of agricultural water and soil resources combined system, selected 50 evaluation indicators as the primary selection library. For the problem of the applicability of existing indicators screening, this article draws on the standard of significant re-correlation, firstly, using the relative discrete coefficient of the index, calculate the contribution rate of cumulative information(CRCI)which reflect the size of the indicator information, therefore, 10 indicators that have weak influence on the evaluation results are excluded. Then, using the gray correlation degree(GRA) between the remaining indicators screen out five indicators with repeated information to complete the final selection.By comparing the information substitutability for screening indicators, verification of the completeness and reliability of the method was used in this paper.
The rational construction of the index system is the basis and key to evaluate the resilience of the regional agricultural water and soil resources combined system. This article conducted Jiansanjiang Administration of Agricultural Reclamation in Heilongjiang Province as an example.According to Dale's indicator selection principle and TOSE model, based on five dimensions of nature,ecological, social, economic, and technical management to constructing the framework of resilience evaluation index system of agricultural water and soil resources combined system, selected 50 evaluation indicators as the primary selection library. For the problem of the applicability of existing indicators screening, this article draws on the standard of significant re-correlation, firstly, using the relative discrete coefficient of the index, calculate the contribution rate of cumulative information(CRCI)which reflect the size of the indicator information, therefore, 10 indicators that have weak influence on the evaluation results are excluded. Then, using the gray correlation degree(GRA) between the remaining indicators screen out five indicators with repeated information to complete the final selection.By comparing the information substitutability for screening indicators, verification of the completeness and reliability of the method was used in this paper.
引文
[1]陈红梅.黑龙江省水土资源综合承载力评价研究[D].哈尔滨:东北农业大学,2016.
[2]陈衡.3D数字媒体虚拟制造技术在拖拉机设计中的应用[J].农机化研究,2018,40(7):200-205.
[3]Liu D,Ding Y,Fu Q,et al.A novel system of indicators for evaluating system resilience of regional agricultural water resources[J].Water Science and Technology:Water Supply,2017,18(1):1-13.
[4]戚宗锋,韩山,李建勋.基于粗糙集的雷达抗干扰性评估指标体系研究[J].系统仿真学报,2016,28(2):335-342.
[5]陈娜,向辉,叶强,等.基于层次分析法的弹性城市评价体系研究[J].湖南大学学报:自然科学版,2016,43(7):146-150.
[6]周立斌,李刚,迟国泰.基于R聚类-变异系数分析的人的全面发展评价指标体系构建[J].系统工程,2010,28(12):56-63.
[7]Kotzee I,Reyers B.Piloting a social-ecological index for measuring flood resilience:A composite index approach[J].Ecological Indicators,2016,60(16):45-53.
[8]刘靖明,韩丽川,侯立文.基于粒子群的K均值聚类算法[J].系统工程理论与实践,2005(6):54-58.
[9]Bin X U,Lin C,Mao X.Analysis of applicability of Nemerow pollution index to evaluation of water quality of Taihu Lake[J].Water Resources Protection,2014,30(2):38-40.
[10]柯丽娜,王权明,孙新国,等.基于可变模糊识别模型的海水环境质量评价[J].生态学报,2013,33(6):1889-1899.
[11]Dale V H,Beyeler S C.Challenges in the development and use of ecological indicators[J].Ecological Indicators,2001,1(1):3-10.
[12]Beisner B E,Haydon D T,Cuddington K.Alternative stable states in ecology[J].Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment,2003,7(1):376-382.
[13]刘东,龚方华,付强,等.基于博弈论赋权的灌溉用水效率GRA-TOPSIS评价模型[J].农业机械学报,2017,48(5):218-226.
[14]石宝峰,迟国泰.基于信息含量最大的绿色产业评价指标筛选模型及应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,2014,34(7):1799-1810.
[15]汪冬华.多元统计分析与SPSS应用[M].上海:华东理工大学出版社,2010.
[16]Dai J,Jing Q I,Chi J,et al.Integrated water resource security evaluation of Beijing based on GRA and TOPSIS[J].Frontiers of Earth Science in China,2010,4(3):357-362.
[17]席仲恩,汪顺玉.论负克伦巴赫alpha系数和分半信度系数[J].重庆邮电大学学报:自然科学版,2007(6):785-787.
[2]陈衡.3D数字媒体虚拟制造技术在拖拉机设计中的应用[J].农机化研究,2018,40(7):200-205.
[3]Liu D,Ding Y,Fu Q,et al.A novel system of indicators for evaluating system resilience of regional agricultural water resources[J].Water Science and Technology:Water Supply,2017,18(1):1-13.
[4]戚宗锋,韩山,李建勋.基于粗糙集的雷达抗干扰性评估指标体系研究[J].系统仿真学报,2016,28(2):335-342.
[5]陈娜,向辉,叶强,等.基于层次分析法的弹性城市评价体系研究[J].湖南大学学报:自然科学版,2016,43(7):146-150.
[6]周立斌,李刚,迟国泰.基于R聚类-变异系数分析的人的全面发展评价指标体系构建[J].系统工程,2010,28(12):56-63.
[7]Kotzee I,Reyers B.Piloting a social-ecological index for measuring flood resilience:A composite index approach[J].Ecological Indicators,2016,60(16):45-53.
[8]刘靖明,韩丽川,侯立文.基于粒子群的K均值聚类算法[J].系统工程理论与实践,2005(6):54-58.
[9]Bin X U,Lin C,Mao X.Analysis of applicability of Nemerow pollution index to evaluation of water quality of Taihu Lake[J].Water Resources Protection,2014,30(2):38-40.
[10]柯丽娜,王权明,孙新国,等.基于可变模糊识别模型的海水环境质量评价[J].生态学报,2013,33(6):1889-1899.
[11]Dale V H,Beyeler S C.Challenges in the development and use of ecological indicators[J].Ecological Indicators,2001,1(1):3-10.
[12]Beisner B E,Haydon D T,Cuddington K.Alternative stable states in ecology[J].Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment,2003,7(1):376-382.
[13]刘东,龚方华,付强,等.基于博弈论赋权的灌溉用水效率GRA-TOPSIS评价模型[J].农业机械学报,2017,48(5):218-226.
[14]石宝峰,迟国泰.基于信息含量最大的绿色产业评价指标筛选模型及应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,2014,34(7):1799-1810.
[15]汪冬华.多元统计分析与SPSS应用[M].上海:华东理工大学出版社,2010.
[16]Dai J,Jing Q I,Chi J,et al.Integrated water resource security evaluation of Beijing based on GRA and TOPSIS[J].Frontiers of Earth Science in China,2010,4(3):357-362.
[17]席仲恩,汪顺玉.论负克伦巴赫alpha系数和分半信度系数[J].重庆邮电大学学报:自然科学版,2007(6):785-787.
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