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Revisiting the Cape Cod Bacteria Injection Experiment Using a Stochastic Modeling Approach
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  • 作者:Reed M. Maxwell ; Claire Welty ; Ronald W. Harvey
  • 刊名:Environmental Science & Technology
  • 出版年:2007
  • 出版时间:August 1, 2007
  • 年:2007
  • 卷:41
  • 期:15
  • 页码:5548 - 5558
  • 全文大小:604K
  • 年卷期:v.41,no.15(August 1, 2007)
  • ISSN:1520-5851
文摘
Bromide and resting-cell bacteria tracer tests conductedin a sandy aquifer at the U.S. Geological Survey CapeCod site in 1987 were reinterpreted using a three-dimensionalstochastic approach. Bacteria transport was coupled tocolloid filtration theory through functional dependence of local-scale colloid transport parameters upon hydraulicconductivity and seepage velocity in a stochastic advection-dispersion/attachment-detachment model. Geostatisticalinformation on the hydraulic conductivity (K) field that wasunavailable at the time of the original test was utilizedas input. Using geostatistical parameters, a groundwaterflow and particle-tracking model of conservative solutetransport was calibrated to the bromide-tracer breakthroughdata. An optimization routine was employed over 100realizations to adjust the mean and variance of the natural-logarithm of hydraulic conductivity (lnK) field to achievebest fit of a simulated, average bromide breakthrough curve.A stochastic particle-tracking model for the bacteriawas run without adjustments to the local-scale colloidtransport parameters. Good predictions of mean bacteriabreakthrough were achieved using several approaches formodeling components of the system. Simulations incorporating the recent Tufenkji and Elimelech (Environ. Sci.Technol. 2004, 38, 529-536) correlation equation forestimating single collector efficiency were compared tothose using the older Rajagopalan and Tien (AIChE J. 1976,22, 523-533) model. Both appeared to work equally wellat predicting mean bacteria breakthrough using a constantmean bacteria diameter for this set of field conditions.Simulations using a distribution of bacterial cell diametersavailable from original field notes yielded a slightimprovement in the model and data agreement comparedto simulations using an average bacterial diameter. Thestochastic approach based on estimates of local-scale parameters for the bacteria-transport processreasonably captured the mean bacteria transport behaviorand calculated an envelope of uncertainty that bracketedthe observations in most simulation cases.

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