• 责任者：Jiang Hui (Institute of Geology ; China Earthquake Administration ; Beijing 100029 ; China) ; Deng Zhihui
• 刊名：Seismology and Geology
• 出版年：2011
• 卷期：33(3)
• 关键词：强震 ; strong earthquakes ; 地震参数 ; earthquake parameters ; 新疆 ; Xinjiang
• 页码：p.586-601
• 图表：6 illus., 11 tables, 34 refs.
• 分类号：0500
• 出版序号：1593
• issnNo：ISSN0253-4967
• isbnNo：CN11-2192/P

The authors select 15 earthquakes with M_S≥6.0 in Xinjiang since 1970 as “source earthquakes”, and aftershocks of M_S≥4.0 as target aftershocks. Test analysis has been done on the static stress triggering model. The results show that the static stress triggering model is not so applicable in the Xinjiang region. In most shock events, target earthquakes in negative ΔCFS area are more in number than that occurred in the positive area, which does not accord with static stress triggering model. The further inference is that the short-term earthquake prediction based on stress and strain increment changes is limited.