新疆纺织工业基地水资源承载力评价及预测
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摘要
根据新疆地区水资源开发利用结构特点和纺织产业发展对水资源的影响,构建用水总量控制条件下的多目标决策分析模型,采用逐步约束法对现状年及规划年新疆纺织工业基地所在区域水资源承载力进行定量计算。结果表明:2015年南疆的阿克苏地区、喀什地区及全疆整体水资源承载状况不容乐观,均为超载状态;随着用水效率的提高,2020年、2030年各区域水资源承载力将有较大的提升。针对综合评价区域水资源承载状况和潜力,提出实现新疆纺织行业绿色可持续发展的优化调整对策。
According to the characteristic of water resources exploitation and utilization in Xinjiang, and the influence of textile industry, The paper constructs a multi-objective decision analysis model under the condition of total water use control, to quantitatively calculate the water resources carrying capacity(WRCC) in the region of Xinjiang textile industrial base in the current year and planning year by STEM. The result indicated: the situation of Aksu, Kashi region in the south Xinjiang and Xinjiang's WRCC is stern and overloaded; with the improvement of water efficiency, the WRCC in the regions of 2020 and 2030 has been greatly improved. Finally, accounting the regions' WRCC status and potential, the paper puts forward countermeasures to realize the green sustainable development of Xinjiang textile industry.
According to the characteristic of water resources exploitation and utilization in Xinjiang, and the influence of textile industry, The paper constructs a multi-objective decision analysis model under the condition of total water use control, to quantitatively calculate the water resources carrying capacity(WRCC) in the region of Xinjiang textile industrial base in the current year and planning year by STEM. The result indicated: the situation of Aksu, Kashi region in the south Xinjiang and Xinjiang's WRCC is stern and overloaded; with the improvement of water efficiency, the WRCC in the regions of 2020 and 2030 has been greatly improved. Finally, accounting the regions' WRCC status and potential, the paper puts forward countermeasures to realize the green sustainable development of Xinjiang textile industry.
引文
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[3]董廷尉.新疆纺织行业发展趋势分析及节水减污对策[J].中国水利,2019(5).
[4]王永兴.绿洲生态系统及其环境特征[J].干旱区地理,2000(1).
[5]夏军,朱一中.水资源安全的度量:水资源承载力的研究与挑战[J].自然资源学报,2002(3).
[6]彭建,赵会娟,刘焱序,等.区域水安全格局构建:研究进展及概念框架[J].生态学报,2016(11).
[7]胡汝骥,樊自立,王亚俊,等.中国西北干旱区的地下水资源及其特征[J].自然资源学报,2002(3).
[8]李淑芹,董洁,李恩博,等.基于多目标决策的临沂市水资源承载力研究[J].人民黄河,2008(6).
[9]方国华,黄显峰.多目标决策理论、方法及其应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2011.
[10]余洋,郑荣宝,谭尔斯,等.基于逐步宽容约束法的土地利用优化配置研究[J].资源与产业,2010,12(6).
[11]王建华,姜大川,肖伟华,等.水资源承载力理论基础探析:定义内涵与科学问题[J].水利学报,2017,48(12).
[12]李云玲,郭旭宁,郭东阳,等.水资源承载能力评价方法研究及应用[J].地理科学进展,2017,36(3).
[13]董廷尉,秦景.纺织产业节水措施分析[J].纺织报告,2018(8).
[14]马淑杰,朱黎阳,王雅慧.我国高耗水工业行业节水现状分析及政策建议[J].中国资源综合利用,2017,35(2).