自然资源依赖效应的地区差异及其解释
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摘要
文章利用中国2004—2015年的省际面板数据,实证研究了自然资源依赖对经济增长影响的地区差异及其形成机制。结果发现:自然资源依赖对经济增长的影响存在显著地区差异,同时,人力资本水平、制造业投入和制度质量是资源诅咒能否被成功规避的关键因素,其中制造业投入和制度质量是规避资源诅咒最强的两个因素,而人力资本则增加了资源诅咒发生的风险。
This paper utilizes the provincial panel data from 2004 to 2015 in China to empirically study the regional differences in the effects of natural resource dependence on economic growth and their formation mechanism. The results show that the impact of natural resource dependence on economic growth has significant regional disparities; at the same time, the human capital level, manufacturing investment and institutional quality are the key factors for the successful avoidance of resource curse, among which manufacturing investment and institutional quality are the two strongest factors to avoid resource curse, while human capital increases the risk of resource curse.
This paper utilizes the provincial panel data from 2004 to 2015 in China to empirically study the regional differences in the effects of natural resource dependence on economic growth and their formation mechanism. The results show that the impact of natural resource dependence on economic growth has significant regional disparities; at the same time, the human capital level, manufacturing investment and institutional quality are the key factors for the successful avoidance of resource curse, among which manufacturing investment and institutional quality are the two strongest factors to avoid resource curse, while human capital increases the risk of resource curse.
引文
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[2]Bravo-Ortega C, De Gregorio J. The Relative Richness of the Poor?Natural Resources, Human Capital and Economic Growth[R]. World Bank, Washington DC, 2007.
[3]Mehlum H, Moene K, Torvik R. Institutions and the Resource Curse[J].Ge Growth Math Methods, 2006,116(508).
[4]胡援成,肖德勇.经济发展门槛与自然资源诅咒——基于我国省际层面的面板数据实证研究[J].管理世界, 2007,(4).
[5]邵帅,杨莉莉.自然资源丰裕、资源产业依赖与中国区域经济增长[J].管理世界, 2010,(9).
[6]Oskenbayev Y, Yilmaz M, Abdulla K. Resource Concentration, Insti?tutional Quality and the Natural Resource Curse[J]. Economic Sys?tems, 2013, 37(2).
[7]Boschini A D, Pettersson J, Roine J. Resource Curse or Not:A Ques?tion of Appropriability[J]. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2007,109(3).
[8]Alexander L. Subnational Resource Curse:Do Economic or Political Institutions Matter?[R].Frankfurt School-Working Paper Series, 2010.
[9]Sarmidi T, Law S H, Jafari Y. Resource Curse:New Evidence on the Role of Institutions[J]. International Economic Journal, 2012, 28(1).
[10]邵帅,范美婷,杨莉莉.资源产业依赖如何影响经济发展效率?——有条件资源诅咒假说的检验及解释[J].管理世界, 2013,(2).
[11]Hansen B E. Threshold Effects in Non-dynamic Panels:Estimation,Testing, and Inference[J]. Journal of Econometrics, 1999, 93(2).
(1)西部地区:内蒙古、陕西、甘肃、宁夏、新疆、西藏、青海、四川、重庆、云南、贵州、广西。中部地区:湖南、湖北、山西、河南、江西、安徽、黑龙江、吉林。东部地区:上海、北京、江苏、浙江、广东、海南、山东、福建、辽宁、河北、天津。
[2]Bravo-Ortega C, De Gregorio J. The Relative Richness of the Poor?Natural Resources, Human Capital and Economic Growth[R]. World Bank, Washington DC, 2007.
[3]Mehlum H, Moene K, Torvik R. Institutions and the Resource Curse[J].Ge Growth Math Methods, 2006,116(508).
[4]胡援成,肖德勇.经济发展门槛与自然资源诅咒——基于我国省际层面的面板数据实证研究[J].管理世界, 2007,(4).
[5]邵帅,杨莉莉.自然资源丰裕、资源产业依赖与中国区域经济增长[J].管理世界, 2010,(9).
[6]Oskenbayev Y, Yilmaz M, Abdulla K. Resource Concentration, Insti?tutional Quality and the Natural Resource Curse[J]. Economic Sys?tems, 2013, 37(2).
[7]Boschini A D, Pettersson J, Roine J. Resource Curse or Not:A Ques?tion of Appropriability[J]. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2007,109(3).
[8]Alexander L. Subnational Resource Curse:Do Economic or Political Institutions Matter?[R].Frankfurt School-Working Paper Series, 2010.
[9]Sarmidi T, Law S H, Jafari Y. Resource Curse:New Evidence on the Role of Institutions[J]. International Economic Journal, 2012, 28(1).
[10]邵帅,范美婷,杨莉莉.资源产业依赖如何影响经济发展效率?——有条件资源诅咒假说的检验及解释[J].管理世界, 2013,(2).
[11]Hansen B E. Threshold Effects in Non-dynamic Panels:Estimation,Testing, and Inference[J]. Journal of Econometrics, 1999, 93(2).
(1)西部地区:内蒙古、陕西、甘肃、宁夏、新疆、西藏、青海、四川、重庆、云南、贵州、广西。中部地区:湖南、湖北、山西、河南、江西、安徽、黑龙江、吉林。东部地区:上海、北京、江苏、浙江、广东、海南、山东、福建、辽宁、河北、天津。