京津冀产业结构与生态环境交互耦合关系的定量测度
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摘要
以京津冀区域13个城市为研究对象,构建了产业结构与生态环境的耦合系统综合评价指标体系,结合CRITIC赋权法和耦合协调度模型分析了2007～2016年该区域各市产业结构与生态环境的耦合协调度变化及其时空演变特征。结果表明:京津冀区域产业结构指数均有不同程度增长,但北京以绝对优势保持领先;生态环境指数略有波动,区域间差异不大;产业结构与生态环境耦合协调度稳步增长,但河北大部分城市还处于低度协调状态。最后从河北着力调整产业结构、津冀合作共赢和京津冀协同发展等方面提出建议。
This paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for the coupling system of industrial structure and ecological environment by taking 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as the object. And then, it analyzes the change process and temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of each city in the region, from 2007 to 2016 by combining the CRITIC weighting method and the coupling coordination degree model. Results show that the industrial structure comprehensive index of each city in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has increased to varying degrees, and Beijing has maintained its leading position with absolute advantage; the eco-environmental composite index fluctuated slightly, with little difference between regions; the coupling degree of industrial structure and ecological environment has increased steadily, but most cities in Hebei are still in a low degree of coordination. Finally, it puts forward suggestions from Hebei to adjust the industrial structure, Tianjin and Hebei cooperation win-win and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordinated development.
This paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for the coupling system of industrial structure and ecological environment by taking 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as the object. And then, it analyzes the change process and temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of each city in the region, from 2007 to 2016 by combining the CRITIC weighting method and the coupling coordination degree model. Results show that the industrial structure comprehensive index of each city in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has increased to varying degrees, and Beijing has maintained its leading position with absolute advantage; the eco-environmental composite index fluctuated slightly, with little difference between regions; the coupling degree of industrial structure and ecological environment has increased steadily, but most cities in Hebei are still in a low degree of coordination. Finally, it puts forward suggestions from Hebei to adjust the industrial structure, Tianjin and Hebei cooperation win-win and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordinated development.
引文
[1] Gokmenoglu K K, Azin V, Taspinar N. The Relationship between Industrial Production, GDP, Inflation and Oil Price: The Case of Turkey[J]. Procedia Economics & Finance, 2015, 25(2015):497-503.
[2] Cole M A. Air Pollution and ‘Dirty' Industries: How and Why does the Composition of Manufacturing Output Change with Economic Development?[J]. Environmental & Resource Economics, 2000, 17(1):109-123.
[3] Lan J, Lenzen M, Dietzenbacher E, et al. Structural Change and the Environment[J]. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2012, 16(4):623-635.
[4] Abdul Jalil, Mete Feridun. Long-run Relationship between Income Inequality and Financial Development in China[J]. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 2011, 16(2):202-214.
[5] 王兵,聂欣.产业集聚与环境治理:助力还是阻力——来自开发区设立准自然实验的证据[J]. 中国工业经济, 2016(12):75-89.
[6] Mulatu A, Gerlagh R, Dan R, et al. Environmental Regulation and Industry Location in Europe[J]. Environmental & Resource Economics, 2010, 45(4):459-479.
[7] 张彩云,郭艳青.污染产业转移能够实现经济和环境双赢吗?——基于环境规制视角的研究[J]. 财经研究, 2015, 41(10):96-108.
[8] 刘金林,冉茂盛.环境规制对行业生产技术进步的影响研究[J].科研管理, 2015, 36(2):107-114.
[9] 邹伟进,李旭洋,王向东.基于耦合理论的产业结构与生态环境协调性研究[J].中国地质大学学报:社会科学版, 2016(2):88-95.
[10] 付德申,向丽.城市群产业承接能力与生态环境耦合协调发展研究[J].商业研究, 2017, 59(2):177-184.
[11] 韩永辉,黄亮雄,王贤彬.产业结构优化升级改进生态效率了吗?[J].数量经济技术经济研究, 2016(4):40-59.
[12] 干春晖,郑若谷,余典范.中国产业结构变迁对经济增长和波动的影响[J].经济研究, 2011(5):4-16.
[13] 贺玉德, 马祖军. 基于CRITIC-DEA的区域物流与区域经济协同发展模型及评价——以四川省为例[J]. 软科学, 2015, 29(3):102-106.
[14] 肖燕,刘凌. 流域复合系统协调度的评价方法研究[J]. 水电能源科学,2009,27(3):15-17.
[15] 方叶林,黄震方,段忠贤,等.中国旅游业发展与生态环境耦合协调研究[J].经济地理, 2013, 33(12):195-20
①参照方叶林等的研究[15],将协调度划分为4个等级;参照付德申等研究[10],将产业结构指数与生态环境指数对比,分为产业滞后型、生态滞后型和产业生态同步型。
[2] Cole M A. Air Pollution and ‘Dirty' Industries: How and Why does the Composition of Manufacturing Output Change with Economic Development?[J]. Environmental & Resource Economics, 2000, 17(1):109-123.
[3] Lan J, Lenzen M, Dietzenbacher E, et al. Structural Change and the Environment[J]. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2012, 16(4):623-635.
[4] Abdul Jalil, Mete Feridun. Long-run Relationship between Income Inequality and Financial Development in China[J]. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 2011, 16(2):202-214.
[5] 王兵,聂欣.产业集聚与环境治理:助力还是阻力——来自开发区设立准自然实验的证据[J]. 中国工业经济, 2016(12):75-89.
[6] Mulatu A, Gerlagh R, Dan R, et al. Environmental Regulation and Industry Location in Europe[J]. Environmental & Resource Economics, 2010, 45(4):459-479.
[7] 张彩云,郭艳青.污染产业转移能够实现经济和环境双赢吗?——基于环境规制视角的研究[J]. 财经研究, 2015, 41(10):96-108.
[8] 刘金林,冉茂盛.环境规制对行业生产技术进步的影响研究[J].科研管理, 2015, 36(2):107-114.
[9] 邹伟进,李旭洋,王向东.基于耦合理论的产业结构与生态环境协调性研究[J].中国地质大学学报:社会科学版, 2016(2):88-95.
[10] 付德申,向丽.城市群产业承接能力与生态环境耦合协调发展研究[J].商业研究, 2017, 59(2):177-184.
[11] 韩永辉,黄亮雄,王贤彬.产业结构优化升级改进生态效率了吗?[J].数量经济技术经济研究, 2016(4):40-59.
[12] 干春晖,郑若谷,余典范.中国产业结构变迁对经济增长和波动的影响[J].经济研究, 2011(5):4-16.
[13] 贺玉德, 马祖军. 基于CRITIC-DEA的区域物流与区域经济协同发展模型及评价——以四川省为例[J]. 软科学, 2015, 29(3):102-106.
[14] 肖燕,刘凌. 流域复合系统协调度的评价方法研究[J]. 水电能源科学,2009,27(3):15-17.
[15] 方叶林,黄震方,段忠贤,等.中国旅游业发展与生态环境耦合协调研究[J].经济地理, 2013, 33(12):195-20
①参照方叶林等的研究[15],将协调度划分为4个等级;参照付德申等研究[10],将产业结构指数与生态环境指数对比,分为产业滞后型、生态滞后型和产业生态同步型。