基于能值-生态足迹模型的齐齐哈尔市可持续发展水平分析
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摘要
基于能值理论,运用生态足迹模型,对齐齐哈尔市2000—2016年能值生态承载力、能值生态足迹和生态赤字/盈余等指数进行了定量计算和分析。结果表明:研究期间,齐齐哈尔市处于生态赤字状态,且生态赤字增加趋势明显即本地区人类对于资源的需求量已超过自然环境的供给量,生态环境处于不可持续的发展状态;研究区生态环境承载的压力呈增长的趋势;经济社会发展状况与生态环境的协调性呈减弱的趋势,区域生态协调性较差;由万元GDP生态足迹指数可知,齐齐哈尔市在经济社会发展的进程中,能源利用率有所提高,资源利用方式有所改善,经济发展造成的生态代价在逐渐减小。
This paper, based on energy values theory, uses ecological footprint model to quantitatively analyze Qiqihaer's energy ecological carrying capacity, energy ecological footprint and ecological deficit/excess during 2000 to 2016, with results showing that Qiqihaer had been in ecological deficit at a rising tendency, which means human's demands exceed the natural supplies, an unsustainable status. Qiqihaer shows a growing ecological environmental carrying capacity pressure, a diminishing coordinated ecology and eco-environment. The regional ecological coordination is relatively poor. GDP ecological footprint index per 10 k RMB indicates an increasing energy use rate, an improved resource use method and a decreasing ecological impact during Qiqihaer's economic development.
This paper, based on energy values theory, uses ecological footprint model to quantitatively analyze Qiqihaer's energy ecological carrying capacity, energy ecological footprint and ecological deficit/excess during 2000 to 2016, with results showing that Qiqihaer had been in ecological deficit at a rising tendency, which means human's demands exceed the natural supplies, an unsustainable status. Qiqihaer shows a growing ecological environmental carrying capacity pressure, a diminishing coordinated ecology and eco-environment. The regional ecological coordination is relatively poor. GDP ecological footprint index per 10 k RMB indicates an increasing energy use rate, an improved resource use method and a decreasing ecological impact during Qiqihaer's economic development.
引文
曹晶晶,2012.基于能值生态足迹模型的湖北省生态安全评价与预测[D].武汉:湖北大学.
曹萌,2016.基于能值生态足迹模型的北京市资源环境承载力研究[D].北京:中国地质大学(北京).
江平,张扬,2016.基于能值生态足迹模型的鄂西生态文化旅游圈可持续发展研究[J].生态经济,32(10):122- 125.
蓝盛芳,陈飞鹏,刘新茂,1995.农业生态经济系统的能值分析[J].生态科学 (2):172.
蓝盛芳,钦佩,2001.生态系统的能值分析[J].应用生态学报 (1):129- 131.
蓝盛芳,钦佩,陆宏芳,2002.生态经济系统能值分析[M].北京:化学工业出版社.
李翠玲,2016.基于能值:生态足迹的吉林省辽河流域生态承载力与可持续发展研究[D].长春:吉林大学.
刘晶,2008.基于“能值—生态足迹”模型的吉林省生态安全研究[D].长春:吉林大学.
刘淼,胡远满,常禹,等,2008.基于能值理论的生态足迹方法改进[J].自然资源学报 (3):447- 457.
欧阳志云,王如松,赵景柱,1999.生态系统服务功能及其生态经济价值评价[J].应用生态学报 (5):635- 640.
孙海燕,2015.基于能值分析的我国花生生产系统可持续发展研究[D].长沙:湖南农业大学.
王大庆,白涛,陈春锋,等,2008.黑龙江省2005年可持续发展状况的生态足迹分析[J].东北农业大学学报 (8):47- 52.
王建源,陈艳春,李曼华,等,2007.基于能值分析的山东省生态足迹[J].生态学杂志 (9):1505- 1510.
韦静,曾维华,2009.生态承载力约束下的区域可持续发展的动态模拟:以博鳌特别规划区为例 [J].中国环境科学,29(3):330- 336.
肖笃宁,陈文波,郭福良,2002.论生态安全的基本概念和研究内容[J].应用生态学报 (3):354- 358.
徐中民,张志强,程国栋,2000.甘肃省1998年生态足迹计算与分析[J].地理学报 (5):607- 616.
杨青,逯承鹏,周锋,等,2016.基于能值-生态足迹模型的东北老工业基地生态安全评价:以辽宁省为例[J].应用生态学报,27(5):1594- 1602.
臧淑英,智瑞芝,孙学孟,2006.基于生态足迹模型的资源型城市可持续发展定量评估:以黑龙江省石油城市大庆市为例[J].地理科学 (4):4420- 4425.
曾晓霞,刘云国,黄磊,等,2015.基于能值定理的生态足迹模型修正研究:以长沙市为例[J].中国环境科学,35(1):312- 320.
张芳怡,濮励杰,张健,2006.基于能值分析理论的生态足迹模型及应用:以江苏省为例[J].自然资源学报 (4):653- 660.
张志强,程国栋,徐中民,2002.可持续发展评估指标、方法及应用研究[J].冰川冻土 (4):344- 359.
赵志强,李双成,高阳,2008.基于能值改进的开放系统生态足迹模型及其应用:以深圳市为例[J].生态学报 (5):2220- 2231.
DANG X,LIU G,XUE S,et al,2013.An ecological footprint and emergy based assessment of an ecological restoration program in the Loess Hilly Region of China [J].Ecological Engineering,61:258- 267.
LI S,YUAN W,SHI T,et al,2011.Dynamic analysis of ecological footprints of Nanchong city in the process of urbanization [J].Procedia Engineering,15:5415- 5419.
LIU Q P,LIN Z S,FENG N H,et al,2008.A modified model of ecological footprint accounting and its application to cropland in Jiangsu,China [J].Pedosphere,18(2):154–162.
ODUM H T .1986.Emergy in ecosystems.//Poluin Ned.Ecosystem theory and application[C].Now York :John Wiley & Sons,337- 369.
ODUM H T,1988.Self-organization,Transfomity ,and Information[J].Science,242:1132- 1139.
ODUM H T,1996.Environmental accounting:emergy and environmental decision making[D].New York:John & Wi- ley.
PEREIRA L,ORTEGA E,2012.A modified footprint method:the case study of Brazil [J].Ecological Indicators,16:113–127.
REES W E,1992.Ecological footprints and appropriated carrying capacity:what urban economics leaves out [J].Environment and Urbanization,4(2):121- 130.
WACKERNAGEL M,REES W E,1996.Our ecological footprint:reducing human impact on the earth[M].Gabriela Island:New Society Publishers.
WEI X H,LI Z Z,2009.Ecological value at risk:The temporal analysis of the emergy ecological footprint and biological capacity in Gansu,China 1980- 2020 [J].Ecological Economics,doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.03.006.
SICHE R,AGOSTINHO F,ORTEGA E,2010.Emergy net primary production (ENPP) as basis for calculation of ecological footprint [J].Ecological Indicators,10(2):475- 483.
ZHAO S,LI Z,LI W,2005.A modified method of ecological footprint calculation and its application[J].Ecological Modelling,185:65- 75.
DING Z R,LI J,2011.Ecological Footprint and Reflections on Green Development of Hangzhou[J].Energy Procedia,5:118- 124.
曹萌,2016.基于能值生态足迹模型的北京市资源环境承载力研究[D].北京:中国地质大学(北京).
江平,张扬,2016.基于能值生态足迹模型的鄂西生态文化旅游圈可持续发展研究[J].生态经济,32(10):122- 125.
蓝盛芳,陈飞鹏,刘新茂,1995.农业生态经济系统的能值分析[J].生态科学 (2):172.
蓝盛芳,钦佩,2001.生态系统的能值分析[J].应用生态学报 (1):129- 131.
蓝盛芳,钦佩,陆宏芳,2002.生态经济系统能值分析[M].北京:化学工业出版社.
李翠玲,2016.基于能值:生态足迹的吉林省辽河流域生态承载力与可持续发展研究[D].长春:吉林大学.
刘晶,2008.基于“能值—生态足迹”模型的吉林省生态安全研究[D].长春:吉林大学.
刘淼,胡远满,常禹,等,2008.基于能值理论的生态足迹方法改进[J].自然资源学报 (3):447- 457.
欧阳志云,王如松,赵景柱,1999.生态系统服务功能及其生态经济价值评价[J].应用生态学报 (5):635- 640.
孙海燕,2015.基于能值分析的我国花生生产系统可持续发展研究[D].长沙:湖南农业大学.
王大庆,白涛,陈春锋,等,2008.黑龙江省2005年可持续发展状况的生态足迹分析[J].东北农业大学学报 (8):47- 52.
王建源,陈艳春,李曼华,等,2007.基于能值分析的山东省生态足迹[J].生态学杂志 (9):1505- 1510.
韦静,曾维华,2009.生态承载力约束下的区域可持续发展的动态模拟:以博鳌特别规划区为例 [J].中国环境科学,29(3):330- 336.
肖笃宁,陈文波,郭福良,2002.论生态安全的基本概念和研究内容[J].应用生态学报 (3):354- 358.
徐中民,张志强,程国栋,2000.甘肃省1998年生态足迹计算与分析[J].地理学报 (5):607- 616.
杨青,逯承鹏,周锋,等,2016.基于能值-生态足迹模型的东北老工业基地生态安全评价:以辽宁省为例[J].应用生态学报,27(5):1594- 1602.
臧淑英,智瑞芝,孙学孟,2006.基于生态足迹模型的资源型城市可持续发展定量评估:以黑龙江省石油城市大庆市为例[J].地理科学 (4):4420- 4425.
曾晓霞,刘云国,黄磊,等,2015.基于能值定理的生态足迹模型修正研究:以长沙市为例[J].中国环境科学,35(1):312- 320.
张芳怡,濮励杰,张健,2006.基于能值分析理论的生态足迹模型及应用:以江苏省为例[J].自然资源学报 (4):653- 660.
张志强,程国栋,徐中民,2002.可持续发展评估指标、方法及应用研究[J].冰川冻土 (4):344- 359.
赵志强,李双成,高阳,2008.基于能值改进的开放系统生态足迹模型及其应用:以深圳市为例[J].生态学报 (5):2220- 2231.
DANG X,LIU G,XUE S,et al,2013.An ecological footprint and emergy based assessment of an ecological restoration program in the Loess Hilly Region of China [J].Ecological Engineering,61:258- 267.
LI S,YUAN W,SHI T,et al,2011.Dynamic analysis of ecological footprints of Nanchong city in the process of urbanization [J].Procedia Engineering,15:5415- 5419.
LIU Q P,LIN Z S,FENG N H,et al,2008.A modified model of ecological footprint accounting and its application to cropland in Jiangsu,China [J].Pedosphere,18(2):154–162.
ODUM H T .1986.Emergy in ecosystems.//Poluin Ned.Ecosystem theory and application[C].Now York :John Wiley & Sons,337- 369.
ODUM H T,1988.Self-organization,Transfomity ,and Information[J].Science,242:1132- 1139.
ODUM H T,1996.Environmental accounting:emergy and environmental decision making[D].New York:John & Wi- ley.
PEREIRA L,ORTEGA E,2012.A modified footprint method:the case study of Brazil [J].Ecological Indicators,16:113–127.
REES W E,1992.Ecological footprints and appropriated carrying capacity:what urban economics leaves out [J].Environment and Urbanization,4(2):121- 130.
WACKERNAGEL M,REES W E,1996.Our ecological footprint:reducing human impact on the earth[M].Gabriela Island:New Society Publishers.
WEI X H,LI Z Z,2009.Ecological value at risk:The temporal analysis of the emergy ecological footprint and biological capacity in Gansu,China 1980- 2020 [J].Ecological Economics,doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.03.006.
SICHE R,AGOSTINHO F,ORTEGA E,2010.Emergy net primary production (ENPP) as basis for calculation of ecological footprint [J].Ecological Indicators,10(2):475- 483.
ZHAO S,LI Z,LI W,2005.A modified method of ecological footprint calculation and its application[J].Ecological Modelling,185:65- 75.
DING Z R,LI J,2011.Ecological Footprint and Reflections on Green Development of Hangzhou[J].Energy Procedia,5:118- 124.
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