江西省鄱阳湖退捕渔民转产转业影响因素研究
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摘要
2017年"中央1号文件"提出要"率先在长江流域水生生物保护区实现全面禁捕"。在此背景下,长江渔民的退捕问题日益得到重视,渔民的生存问题也成为了国家政府和业内学者关注的重点。本文通过对鄱阳湖地区的实地调研,分析长江退捕渔民转产转业的必要性,并且以SPSS22.0软件为分析工具,对问卷所得数据做了Logistic二元回归模型,得出影响渔民转产转业的主要因素:渔民年龄、渔船价值、2015年收入和住房面积。研究结果表明:在其他因素不变的情况下,渔民年龄更小、渔船价值更小、2015年收入更低、住房面积更大这四种状态会对渔民的转产转业意愿产生相同的作用,即渔民愿意转产转业的概率越大。因此提出要按照分类指导原则,制定转产转业政策,在政府的大力支持下,推动产业结构转型升级,加强就业培训,扶贫攻坚;同时健全渔船补偿制度,完善渔民的社会保障的意见建议。
In 2017, "Central Document No.1" proposed that in order to "take the lead in achieving a comprehensive ban on the Yangtze River Basin Aquatic Biological Reserve",and the issue of the withdrawal of fishermen from the Yangtze River has received increasing attention.The survival of fishermen has also become a focus of attention of national governments and industry scholars.Based on the field research in Poyang Lake area,this paper puts forward the necessity of returning fishermen from the Yangtze River to the industry,and uses SPSS22.0 software as the analysis tool,the logistic binary regression model was used to analyze the main factors affecting the fishermen's conversion to the industry:the age of the fishermen,the value of the fishing boat,the income in 2015 and the housing area.The results of the study show that under the same conditions,the fishermen's age is smaller,the value of the fishing boat is smaller,the income in 2015 is lower,and the housing area is larger.The four states will have the same effect on the willingness of the fishermen to change their production.The greater the probability that fishermen are willing to change their jobs Therefore,suggestions are put forward to strengthen the employment training of fishermen,develop aquaculture and leisure fishery,take the road of industrialization,and establish a complete social security system for fishermen.
In 2017, "Central Document No.1" proposed that in order to "take the lead in achieving a comprehensive ban on the Yangtze River Basin Aquatic Biological Reserve",and the issue of the withdrawal of fishermen from the Yangtze River has received increasing attention.The survival of fishermen has also become a focus of attention of national governments and industry scholars.Based on the field research in Poyang Lake area,this paper puts forward the necessity of returning fishermen from the Yangtze River to the industry,and uses SPSS22.0 software as the analysis tool,the logistic binary regression model was used to analyze the main factors affecting the fishermen's conversion to the industry:the age of the fishermen,the value of the fishing boat,the income in 2015 and the housing area.The results of the study show that under the same conditions,the fishermen's age is smaller,the value of the fishing boat is smaller,the income in 2015 is lower,and the housing area is larger.The four states will have the same effect on the willingness of the fishermen to change their production.The greater the probability that fishermen are willing to change their jobs Therefore,suggestions are put forward to strengthen the employment training of fishermen,develop aquaculture and leisure fishery,take the road of industrialization,and establish a complete social security system for fishermen.
引文
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[19]宋立清.中国沿海渔民转产转业问题研究[D].中国海洋大学博士学位论文,2007:49.
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[25]孙鹏.中国渔民转产转业问题研究综述[J].河北渔业,2009,(10):52-54.
[26]居占杰,刘兰芬.我国沿海渔民转产转业面临的困难与对策[J].中国渔业经济,2010,(3):18-22.
[27]朱晓莉,杨正勇.上海淀山湖水源保护区渔民转产转业影响因素的实证分析[J].农业技术经济,2008,(3):57.
[28]李萍,梁宁,原峰,刘强.广东省沿海渔民转产转业政策实施效果研究[J].中国渔业经济,2009,27(1):79-83.
[29]林斯捷.失地失海农渔民转产转业困境的成因及对策研究[D].福建农林大学,2014.
[30]张宪忠.关于沿海渔民转产转业问题的探究[J].农村经济与科技,2017,28(7):214-215.
[31]陈鹏,黄硕琳,陈锦.沿海捕捞渔民转产转业政策的分析[J].上海水产大学学报,2005,14(4):72.
[32]吴树敬,林传平.浅析捕捞渔民转产转业的难点及对策[J].渔业经济研究,2006,(6):35-38.
[33]李萍,梁宁,原峰,刘强.广东省沿海渔民转产转业政策实施效果研究[J].中国渔业经济,2009,27(1):79-83.
[34]尤永生,方佩儿.关于海洋捕捞渔民转产转业问题的探讨[J].中国渔业经济,2003,(2):17-19.
[35]董周,杨超,韩古亚琦.浅析我国沿海渔民转产转业的背景及现状[J].散文百家,2017,(11):248.
[2]饶大良.温州失海渔民现状与社会保障对策研究——以苍南县为例[D].南京农业大学,2013.
[3]Odum E P.The strategy of ecosystem development[J].Science,1969,164(3877):262-270.
[4]慕永通.市场理性、产权与海洋生物资源管理——兼析美国北太平洋渔业私有化之逻辑[J].中国海洋大学学报(社会科学版),2004,(6):100-101
[5]Field J C,Francis R C.Considering ecosystem-based fisheries management in the California Current[J].MarinePolicy,2006,30(5):552-569.
[6]埃莉诺·奥斯特罗姆.公共事物的治理之道[M].上海:上海三联书店,2000.
[7]Gulland.J.A:Fish Population Dynamics,New York:John Wiley.1977,(3):67-77.
[8]Tierenberg,H.Thomas.Envioronmental and Nature Recource Economics,NewYork,Haiper Collins,1992,319-325
[9]Me Connel,K.E.and Norton,V.J."An Evaluation of Limited Entry and Alternative Management Schemes,in Linited Entey as a Fishery Management Tool",Washington Sea Grant Publication.188-201.
[10]Anderson,L.G:The Economics of Fisheries Management,London:Johns Hopkis,1986.195.
[11]Spagnolo,Massimo,2004,"The Decommissioning Scheme for the Italian Clam Fishery:A Case of Success",International Workshop on Fishing Vessel and License Buy-Back Programs,March 22-24,2004,La Jolla,CA.
[12]Hannesson,Runvaldur 2004,"Buy-back Programs for Fishing Vessels in Norway",International Workshop on Fishing Vessel and License Buy-Back Programs,March 22-24,2004,La Jolla,CA.
[13]Cueff,Jean-Claude,2004,"Fishing Vessel Capacity Management Public Buy-out Schemes:Community Experience through the Multi-Annual Guidance Programmes and Ways Forward",International Workshop on Fishing Vessel and License Buy-Back Programs,March 22-24,2004,La Jolla,CA.
[14]施静海.舟山市渔农民转产转业问题研究[D].雅安:四川农业大学,2012.
[15]翟周,张岳恒,陈万灵.湛江沿海渔民转产转业问题及对策[J].广东海洋大学学报,2007,(2):28-32.
[16]刘雯.捕捞渔民转产转业的困境及对策研究一以舟山市为例[D].浙江海洋大学,2017.
[17]张中于.专业捕捞渔民转产转业问题与对策研究——以东洞庭湖地区为例[D].湖南:中南大学,2013.
[18]王玮.我国沿海渔民转产转业的现状与国际经验借鉴研究[D].青岛:中国海洋大学,2015.
[19]宋立清.中国沿海渔民转产转业问题研究[D].中国海洋大学博士学位论文,2007:49.
[20]韩晓.山东半岛沿海渔民转产转业面临的困境及路径选择[D].青岛:中国海洋大学,2011.
[21]陶顺君,同春芬.山东半岛沿海渔民转产转业的路径选择[J].渔业经济研究,2010,(1):25-30.
[22]宋立清,捕捞渔民减船转产问题的国际比较[J].中国海洋大学学报,2006.(5):11-14.
[23]麦贤杰,乔俊果.我国海洋捕捞渔民转产转业的经济学分析[J].中国渔业经济,2006,(4):8-10.
[24]徐敬俊,吕浩.捕捞渔民转产转业的沉淀成本分析[J].中国渔业经济,2008,(1):34-37.
[25]孙鹏.中国渔民转产转业问题研究综述[J].河北渔业,2009,(10):52-54.
[26]居占杰,刘兰芬.我国沿海渔民转产转业面临的困难与对策[J].中国渔业经济,2010,(3):18-22.
[27]朱晓莉,杨正勇.上海淀山湖水源保护区渔民转产转业影响因素的实证分析[J].农业技术经济,2008,(3):57.
[28]李萍,梁宁,原峰,刘强.广东省沿海渔民转产转业政策实施效果研究[J].中国渔业经济,2009,27(1):79-83.
[29]林斯捷.失地失海农渔民转产转业困境的成因及对策研究[D].福建农林大学,2014.
[30]张宪忠.关于沿海渔民转产转业问题的探究[J].农村经济与科技,2017,28(7):214-215.
[31]陈鹏,黄硕琳,陈锦.沿海捕捞渔民转产转业政策的分析[J].上海水产大学学报,2005,14(4):72.
[32]吴树敬,林传平.浅析捕捞渔民转产转业的难点及对策[J].渔业经济研究,2006,(6):35-38.
[33]李萍,梁宁,原峰,刘强.广东省沿海渔民转产转业政策实施效果研究[J].中国渔业经济,2009,27(1):79-83.
[34]尤永生,方佩儿.关于海洋捕捞渔民转产转业问题的探讨[J].中国渔业经济,2003,(2):17-19.
[35]董周,杨超,韩古亚琦.浅析我国沿海渔民转产转业的背景及现状[J].散文百家,2017,(11):248.