粮食价格支持政策促进还是抑制了土地流转?——基于CHIP微观数据的实证分析
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摘要
基于中国居民收入调查(CHIP)数据中的行政村调查数据库,运用双重差分法实证分析了粮食价格支持政策对土地流转价格与土地流转数量的影响。研究发现:价格支持政策抬高了土地流转价格,增加了规模经营的成本,但是同时粮食价格支持政策使得规模化经营的粮食收益得到保障,从整体上看,粮食价格支持政策促进了土地流转,推动了粮食生产的规模经营。建议政府在短期继续执行最低收购价政策防止土地规模化经营的倒退,在长期政府支持规模化经营要逐步从资金补贴转向服务支持。
Based on Chinese Household Income Project Survey(CHIP), we empirically analyzed the impact of grain price support policy on land transfer price and land transfer quantity by using Differences in Differences method. The results indicate that the price support policy has raised the land transfer price and increased the cost of scale operation, but the grain price support policy guaranteed the income of scale operation at the same time. On the whole, grain price support policy promoted farmland transfer and promoted the scale operation. It is suggested that the government should continue to implement price support policy in the short term to prevent the regression of land scale operation, and in the long run, the government should gradually shift its support from fund subsidy to service support.
Based on Chinese Household Income Project Survey(CHIP), we empirically analyzed the impact of grain price support policy on land transfer price and land transfer quantity by using Differences in Differences method. The results indicate that the price support policy has raised the land transfer price and increased the cost of scale operation, but the grain price support policy guaranteed the income of scale operation at the same time. On the whole, grain price support policy promoted farmland transfer and promoted the scale operation. It is suggested that the government should continue to implement price support policy in the short term to prevent the regression of land scale operation, and in the long run, the government should gradually shift its support from fund subsidy to service support.
引文
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[3]钟晓兰,李江涛,冯艳芬,等.农户认知视角下广东省农村土地流转意愿与流转行为研究[J].资源科学,2013,35(10):2082-2093.
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[9]蒋和平.粮食政策实施及其效应波及:2013～2017年[J].改革,2018(2):64-74.
[10]张磊,李冬艳,玉米收储政策改革带来的新问题及其应对-以吉林省为例[J].中州学刊,2017(7):38-43.
[11]李国祥.深化我国粮食政策性收储制度改革的思考[J].中州学刊,2017(7):31-37.
[12]李娟娟,黎涵,沈淘淘.玉米收储制度改革后出现的新问题与解决对策[J].经济纵横,2018(4):113-118.
[13]李俊高.中国农业补贴制度转型与政策选择研究[J].上海经济研究,2018(7):119-128.
[14]韩洁.农业补贴方式对农地流转价格的影响[J].农业部管理干部学院学报,2017(3):70-76.
[15]刘晓欣,张辉,程远.高铁开通对城市房地产价格的影响-基于双重差分模型的研究[J].经济问题探索,2018(8):28-38.
[16]郭庆海.中国玉米主产区的演变与发展[J].玉米科学,2010,18(1):139-145.
[2]程令国,张晔,刘志彪.农地确权促进了中国农村土地的流转吗?[J].管理世界,2016(1):88-98.
[3]钟晓兰,李江涛,冯艳芬,等.农户认知视角下广东省农村土地流转意愿与流转行为研究[J].资源科学,2013,35(10):2082-2093.
[4]张忠明,钱文荣.不同兼业程度下的农户土地流转意愿研究-基于浙江的调查与实证[J].农业经济问题,2014,35(3):19-24,110.
[5]陈飞,翟伟娟.农户行为视角下农地流转诱因及其福利效应研究[J].经济研究,2015,50(10):163-177.
[6]赵光,李放.养老保险对土地流转促进作用的实证分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(9):118-128.
[7]张四梅.人口结构变动视角下的我国农村土地流转[J].经济地理,2014,34(8):131-136.
[8]张宗毅,杜志雄.土地流转一定会导致"非粮化"吗?-基于全国1740个种植业家庭农场监测数据的实证分析[J].经济学动态,2015(9):63-69.
[9]蒋和平.粮食政策实施及其效应波及:2013～2017年[J].改革,2018(2):64-74.
[10]张磊,李冬艳,玉米收储政策改革带来的新问题及其应对-以吉林省为例[J].中州学刊,2017(7):38-43.
[11]李国祥.深化我国粮食政策性收储制度改革的思考[J].中州学刊,2017(7):31-37.
[12]李娟娟,黎涵,沈淘淘.玉米收储制度改革后出现的新问题与解决对策[J].经济纵横,2018(4):113-118.
[13]李俊高.中国农业补贴制度转型与政策选择研究[J].上海经济研究,2018(7):119-128.
[14]韩洁.农业补贴方式对农地流转价格的影响[J].农业部管理干部学院学报,2017(3):70-76.
[15]刘晓欣,张辉,程远.高铁开通对城市房地产价格的影响-基于双重差分模型的研究[J].经济问题探索,2018(8):28-38.
[16]郭庆海.中国玉米主产区的演变与发展[J].玉米科学,2010,18(1):139-145.