“一带一路”倡议背景下甘肃省城市化效率与经济发展水平时空耦合关系研究
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摘要
"一带一路"倡议提出与建设为中国西部地区发展带来重大机遇。甘肃是"一带一路"倡议的重要区域。本文利用DEA模型、熵权法对甘肃省14个地州市2004年、2008年、2012年和2016年四个节点时间的城市化效率、经济发展水平进行了度量。并利用耦合度模型对两者之间的耦合协调度进行了时空分析,研究结果表明,甘肃省城市化效率在2004-2016年间处于波动中提升状态,且总体效率较低,甘肃省城市化效率值(0.441)远低于全国平均值(0.740);2004-2016年甘肃省经济发展水平稳中有升,但与全国比较劣势明显,且省域内部经济发展差距显著;研究期内,甘肃省城市化效率与经济发展耦合协调度均处于波动上升状态,耦合度由中强度发展为高强度耦合,协调度由濒临失调发展为勉强协调。省内14个地区,嘉峪关、兰州、金昌和酒泉在四年间始终处于高水平耦合与协调状态,张掖、白银等余下十个地区的耦合协调度也由中低水平发展为中高水平,说明各地区城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合协调度相对较好。
"The Belt and Road Initiative"has brought many opportunities for the development of the Western part of China. Gansu is an important area covered by"the Belt and Road Initiative". Using DEA model and Entropy method,urbanization efficiency and economic development level of14 prefectures(cities)in Gansu Province in2004,2008,2012 and2016 were measured. The coupling relationships in Gansu between the urbanization efficiency and the economic development level were analyzed from temporal and spatial by Coupling Degree model. The results showed the urbanization efficiency in Gansu Province was increasing in volatility,but the total urbanization efficiency was lower,and the disparity of the economic development in different cities is obvious,The value of urbanization efficiency in Gansu Province is far lower than the national average. Comprehensive Efficiency in Gansu Province in2016 is0.441(the national average is0.740). The level of economic development in Gansu Province had risen steadily from2004 to2016. But it has obvious disadvantages compared with the national average. It is obvious that the difference Significant of economic development within province.From2004 to2016,The coupling degree and coordination degree in Gansu Province is obviously improved,the degree of coupling develops from medium coupling to high coupling,and the degree of coordination develops from near-disorder to coordinating. Jiayuguan,Lanzhou,Jinchang and Jiuquan have been in a state of high level coupling and coordination for four years,and the coupling degree and coordination degree of the remaining ten regions such as Zhangye and Baiyin have also developed from low-medium to medium-high level. It shows that the coupling degree and coordination degree of urbanization efficiency and economic development level in various regions are developing well.
"The Belt and Road Initiative"has brought many opportunities for the development of the Western part of China. Gansu is an important area covered by"the Belt and Road Initiative". Using DEA model and Entropy method,urbanization efficiency and economic development level of14 prefectures(cities)in Gansu Province in2004,2008,2012 and2016 were measured. The coupling relationships in Gansu between the urbanization efficiency and the economic development level were analyzed from temporal and spatial by Coupling Degree model. The results showed the urbanization efficiency in Gansu Province was increasing in volatility,but the total urbanization efficiency was lower,and the disparity of the economic development in different cities is obvious,The value of urbanization efficiency in Gansu Province is far lower than the national average. Comprehensive Efficiency in Gansu Province in2016 is0.441(the national average is0.740). The level of economic development in Gansu Province had risen steadily from2004 to2016. But it has obvious disadvantages compared with the national average. It is obvious that the difference Significant of economic development within province.From2004 to2016,The coupling degree and coordination degree in Gansu Province is obviously improved,the degree of coupling develops from medium coupling to high coupling,and the degree of coordination develops from near-disorder to coordinating. Jiayuguan,Lanzhou,Jinchang and Jiuquan have been in a state of high level coupling and coordination for four years,and the coupling degree and coordination degree of the remaining ten regions such as Zhangye and Baiyin have also developed from low-medium to medium-high level. It shows that the coupling degree and coordination degree of urbanization efficiency and economic development level in various regions are developing well.
引文
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[14]王秀,姚玲玲,李阳,等.新型城镇化与土地集约利用耦合协调性及其时空分异--以黑龙江省12个地级市为例[J].经济地理,2017,37(5):173-180.[Wang Xiu,Yao Lingling,Li Yang,et al.Coordination and its spatial-temporal differentiation of new-type urbanization and intensive land use:Case studies of cities in Heilongjiang province[J].Economic Geography,2017,37(5):173-180.]
[15]叶超,祝佳佳.“一带一路”背景下城镇化与农业现代化的协调发展--以河西走廊地区为例[J]苏州大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2018(1):21-27.[Ye Chao,Zhu Jiajia.The evolution of urbanization and agricultural modernization under the Belt and Road Initiative:the Hexi Corridor as a case[J].Journal of Soochow University(Philosophy&Social Science Edition),2018(1):21-27.]
[2]钱纳里,塞尔昆.发展的型式:1950-1970[M].李新华,等译.北京:经济科学出版社,1988.[Chenery,H.and Syrquin,Development Type:1950-1970[M].Li Xinhua,et al,trans.Beijing:Economic Science Press,1988.]
[3]Laumas P S,Williams M.Urbanization and economic development[J].Eastern Economic Journal,1984,10(3):325-332.
[4]施建刚,王哲.中国城市化与经济发展水平关系研究[J].中国人口科学,2012(2):36-46.[Shi Jiangang,Wang Zhe.Research on the relationship between urbanization and economic development level in China[J].Chinese Journal of Population Science,2012(2):36-46.]
[5]陈明星,唐志鹏,白永平.城市化与经济发展的关系模式--对钱纳里模型的参数重估[J].地理学报,2013,68(6):739-749.[Chen Mingxing,Tang Zhipeng,Bai Yongping.Relational pattern of urbanization and economic development:parameter re-evaluation of the Chenery Model[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2013,68(6):739-749.]
[6]武翠芳,柳雪斌,邓晓红,等.张掖市甘州区农业水资源利用效率分析[J].冰川冻土,2015,37(5):1333-1342.[Wu Cuifang,Liu Xuebin,Deng Xiaohonget al.Analysis on utilization efficiency of agricultural water resources in Ganzhou District,Zhangye Prefecture[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2015,37(5):1333-1342.]
[7]Charnes A,Cooper W,Wei Q L,et al.Cone radio data envelopment analysis and multi-objective programming[J].International Journal of System Science,1989,20(7):1099-1118.
[8]Bertinelli L,Zou B.Does urbanization foster human capital accumulation[J].Journal of Developing Areas,2008(2):171-184.
[9]孙东琪,张京祥,张明斗,等.长江三角洲城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合关系[J].地理科学进展,2013,32(7):1060-1071.[Sun Dongqi,Zhang Jingxiang,Zhang Mingdouet al.Coupling relationship between urbanization efficiency and economic development level in the Yangtze River Delta[J].Progress in Geography,2013,32(7):1060-1071.]
[10]刘雷,张华.山东省城市化效率与经济发展水平的时空耦合关系[J].经济地理,2015,35(8):75-82.[Liu Lei,Zhang Hua.Spatial and temporal coupling relationship between urbanization efficiency and economic development level in Shandong province[J].Economic Geography,2015,35(8):75-82.]
[11]武翠芳,赵琦,易海迎,等.基于GIS技术的甘肃省区位优势度分析[J].冰川冻土,2017,39(6):1365-1373.[Wu Cuifang,Zhao Qi,Yi Haiying,et al.Analysis of location advantages of Gansu Province based on GIS technology[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2017,39(6):1365-1373.]
[12]李红锦,李胜会.基于DEA模型的城市化效率实证研究--我国三大城市群的比较[J].大连理工大学学报(社会科学版),2012,33(3):51-56.[Li Hongjin,Li Shenghui.An empirical study of urbanization efficiency based on DEA model-comparison of three urban agglomerations in China[J].Journal of Dalian University of Technology(Social Sciences Edition),2012,33(3):51-56.]
[13]袁小英.基于熵值法的中国广西壮族自治区农业循环经济发展水平评价[J].世界农业,2017(6):218-223.[Yuan Xiaoying.Evaluation of agricultural circular economy development level in Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region based on entropy method[J].World Agriculture,2017(6):218-223.]
[14]王秀,姚玲玲,李阳,等.新型城镇化与土地集约利用耦合协调性及其时空分异--以黑龙江省12个地级市为例[J].经济地理,2017,37(5):173-180.[Wang Xiu,Yao Lingling,Li Yang,et al.Coordination and its spatial-temporal differentiation of new-type urbanization and intensive land use:Case studies of cities in Heilongjiang province[J].Economic Geography,2017,37(5):173-180.]
[15]叶超,祝佳佳.“一带一路”背景下城镇化与农业现代化的协调发展--以河西走廊地区为例[J]苏州大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2018(1):21-27.[Ye Chao,Zhu Jiajia.The evolution of urbanization and agricultural modernization under the Belt and Road Initiative:the Hexi Corridor as a case[J].Journal of Soochow University(Philosophy&Social Science Edition),2018(1):21-27.]