高等学校教育装备管理决策支持研究
|
摘要
高等学校教育装备在学校的教学、科研中发挥着重要作用,而且教育装备的配备水平在一定程度上代表了学校的水平和层次,因此,教育装备的重要性日趋突显,教育装备的投入也随之逐年增加。在此形势之下,高等学校对教育装备的科学化、规范化管理越来越重视,教育装备作为一个新兴的课题也得到越来越多研究者的关注。
本文采用大系统与小专题相结合、理论与实例相结合、定性与定量相结合的方法,针对教育装备使用过程管理开展了系统的研究。
给出了教育装备效能的概念,通过深入研究教育装备效能评价方法,将ADC方法引入到教育装备效能评价中,对影响教育装备能力的因素构建层次结构图,利用加速遗传算法改进的层次分析法得到能力矩阵,最终对教育装备的效能进行量化。
从教育装备的寿命周期费用入手,分析了寿命周期费用的构成,给出了预测经济寿命的流程。采用改进的灰色预测模型解决了,仅知从投入使用年开始的少量费用数据的教育装备经济寿命预测问题；采用一元线性回归预测模型解决了历史数据缺失,而仅知最近几年的费用数据的教育装备经济寿命预测问题。
通过分析影响教育装备更新决策的因素,构建了递阶的层次结构图,采用模糊综合评判方法给出更新决策。采用组合赋权法和基于贴近度的最大隶属度原则改进模糊综合评判,使教育装备更新决策更准确。
根据目前各高校对教育装备的管理模式,以及教育装备自身的特点,预防性维修能够大大降低教育装备的故障率、提高可靠性。预防性维修周期的确定需要同时考虑稳态有效度、维修费用、可靠度等因素,本文通过采用多目标最优化方法确定预防性维修周期。
本文对教育装备的效能、经济寿命、更新及维修进行了深入研究。提出了教育装备效能定量评价方法;根据已知的不同数据内容构建了教育装备经济寿命预测模型；构建了教育装备更新方式的决策模型；构建了教育装备预防性维修的最优时间模型；并通过实例验证了上述方法的可行性和有效性。本文所构建的模型和提出的方法将对高等学校的教育装备管理及决策有重要的指导作用。
Education equipment in univesity takes an important part in teaching and researching works, and its level, in some extent, represents the school's level and hierarchy. Thus, the importance of education equipment is more and more outstanding, and investment on it is growing up year by year. In such condition, university put much more attention on sicientific and standard education equipment management, and, as a new item, education equipment is also attracting more and more researchers.
This paper takes a series of researches on using mannagement by adapting the mathod of combination of big system and small items, theroy and examples, quality and quantity.
This paper proposes the conception of education equipment efficiency and does a lot research its evaluation. we adapt the ADC mathod in equiment assessment. In this paper, we construct hierarchical stucture according to factors' ablity of infuency on education equioment, get the capacity matrix by using accelerating genetic algorithm to improve analsis hierarchy process, and finally quantify the efficency of aducation equiment.
We research the ilfe cycle cost of edaucation equiment, analyse its composition, and draw the procedure of forcasting economic life on education equipment. The improved grey prediction model is used to solve education equipment economic life forcasting problem which only know very few cost date from beginning to use; the one variable linear regression forecasting model is served to figure out another forcasting problem which lacks historical data and only has recent use records of education equipment.
This paper analyses the influence factors of renewal decision, constructs hierarchical stucture, and adapes fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to solve the unquantified problem. The classical fuzzy comprehensive evaluation has some defects, and we improve it by using combination assigning method and based on closeness maximum membership degree law to make the decision much more accurate.
According to the mannagement modle on education equipment in high shool and university and its characteristics, preventive maintenance can largely reduce its failure rate, and raise the reliability. The preventive maintenance cycle is influenced by factors, such as stable state availability, maintain cost, reliability. This paper adapes multi-objective optimization method to get the preventive maintenance cycle.
This paper has researched education equipment's efficency, econmic life, renewal and maintenace problems. The quantitative evaluation method on education equipment efficiency is proposed; the education equipment economic life forcasting model is builded based on different recording data; the decision model of education equipment renewal is constructed; the optimum time model on preventive maintenance is also builded; experiments is taken to testify the feasibility and validity of all above mathods. All these models and methods in this paper have important to direct the management and dicision on education equipment in high schools and universities.
本文采用大系统与小专题相结合、理论与实例相结合、定性与定量相结合的方法,针对教育装备使用过程管理开展了系统的研究。
给出了教育装备效能的概念,通过深入研究教育装备效能评价方法,将ADC方法引入到教育装备效能评价中,对影响教育装备能力的因素构建层次结构图,利用加速遗传算法改进的层次分析法得到能力矩阵,最终对教育装备的效能进行量化。
从教育装备的寿命周期费用入手,分析了寿命周期费用的构成,给出了预测经济寿命的流程。采用改进的灰色预测模型解决了,仅知从投入使用年开始的少量费用数据的教育装备经济寿命预测问题；采用一元线性回归预测模型解决了历史数据缺失,而仅知最近几年的费用数据的教育装备经济寿命预测问题。
通过分析影响教育装备更新决策的因素,构建了递阶的层次结构图,采用模糊综合评判方法给出更新决策。采用组合赋权法和基于贴近度的最大隶属度原则改进模糊综合评判,使教育装备更新决策更准确。
根据目前各高校对教育装备的管理模式,以及教育装备自身的特点,预防性维修能够大大降低教育装备的故障率、提高可靠性。预防性维修周期的确定需要同时考虑稳态有效度、维修费用、可靠度等因素,本文通过采用多目标最优化方法确定预防性维修周期。
本文对教育装备的效能、经济寿命、更新及维修进行了深入研究。提出了教育装备效能定量评价方法;根据已知的不同数据内容构建了教育装备经济寿命预测模型；构建了教育装备更新方式的决策模型；构建了教育装备预防性维修的最优时间模型；并通过实例验证了上述方法的可行性和有效性。本文所构建的模型和提出的方法将对高等学校的教育装备管理及决策有重要的指导作用。
Education equipment in univesity takes an important part in teaching and researching works, and its level, in some extent, represents the school's level and hierarchy. Thus, the importance of education equipment is more and more outstanding, and investment on it is growing up year by year. In such condition, university put much more attention on sicientific and standard education equipment management, and, as a new item, education equipment is also attracting more and more researchers.
This paper takes a series of researches on using mannagement by adapting the mathod of combination of big system and small items, theroy and examples, quality and quantity.
This paper proposes the conception of education equipment efficiency and does a lot research its evaluation. we adapt the ADC mathod in equiment assessment. In this paper, we construct hierarchical stucture according to factors' ablity of infuency on education equioment, get the capacity matrix by using accelerating genetic algorithm to improve analsis hierarchy process, and finally quantify the efficency of aducation equiment.
We research the ilfe cycle cost of edaucation equiment, analyse its composition, and draw the procedure of forcasting economic life on education equipment. The improved grey prediction model is used to solve education equipment economic life forcasting problem which only know very few cost date from beginning to use; the one variable linear regression forecasting model is served to figure out another forcasting problem which lacks historical data and only has recent use records of education equipment.
This paper analyses the influence factors of renewal decision, constructs hierarchical stucture, and adapes fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to solve the unquantified problem. The classical fuzzy comprehensive evaluation has some defects, and we improve it by using combination assigning method and based on closeness maximum membership degree law to make the decision much more accurate.
According to the mannagement modle on education equipment in high shool and university and its characteristics, preventive maintenance can largely reduce its failure rate, and raise the reliability. The preventive maintenance cycle is influenced by factors, such as stable state availability, maintain cost, reliability. This paper adapes multi-objective optimization method to get the preventive maintenance cycle.
This paper has researched education equipment's efficency, econmic life, renewal and maintenace problems. The quantitative evaluation method on education equipment efficiency is proposed; the education equipment economic life forcasting model is builded based on different recording data; the decision model of education equipment renewal is constructed; the optimum time model on preventive maintenance is also builded; experiments is taken to testify the feasibility and validity of all above mathods. All these models and methods in this paper have important to direct the management and dicision on education equipment in high schools and universities.
引文
[1]Paul Z. Perjes.解读教育装备-来自教育界专家的声音[J].中国教育技术装备.2004(6)：40-41页
[2]艾伦.教育装备与一般装备制品差异分析[J].中国教育技术装备.2006(2)：5页
[3]殷常鸿,李翠萍,艾伦.教育装备费效分析[J].实验技术与管理.2010,27(12)：228-231页
[4]徐宗昌,黄益嘉,杨宏伟等.装备保障性工程与管理[M].北京：国防工业出版社,2006
[5]郭齐胜,袁益民,郅志刚.军事装备效能及其评估方法研究[J].装甲兵工程学院学报.2004(3)：1-6页
[6]杜正平.电子对抗系统效能分析[J].电子对抗技术.2005,20(5)：46-48页
[7]陈文奇.防空导弹武器系统作战效能评估分析[D].厦门大学硕士论文.2006
[8]Jaiswal. Military Modeling for Decision Making[M],3rd Edition. Military Operations Research Society, Inc.1997
[9]杨晓峰,李旭东,芮勇等.基于ADC模型的野战油料装备效能评估[J].后勤工程学院学报.2008,24(2)：89-93页
[10]周旋.基于贝叶斯网络的作战效能评估与分析方法研究[D].国防科技大学硕士论文.2008
[11]徐瑞恩.武器装备效能模型和方法概论[J].装备指挥技术学院学报.2002,13(1)：1-5页
[12]牛坤,庞志兵.基于多目标决策理论武器装备效能综合评估方法[J].情报指挥控制系统与仿真技术.2005,27(1)：50-53页
[13]刘铭,宁伟华,陈永革等.基于改进BP算法的装备效能评估[J].空军工程大学学报.2001,2(3)：18-21页
[14]肖飞生.中小学信息化教育装备综合效能评价指标体系研究[D].浙江师范大学硕士论文.2009
[15]张鸽,胡又农.AHP法在教育装备综合评价中的应用[J].中国教育技术装备.2008 (10)：1-3页
[16]张鸽.基于综合评价理论的教育装备评价方法探究[J].中国教育技术装备.2007(03)：3-5页
[17]黄明东.构建教育装备效益评价体系的探索[J].中国教育技术装备.2009(15)：3-4页
[18]殷常鸿,艾伦,牛永波.教育装备综合效益评估模型研究[J].现代教育技术装备.2009(2)：3-5页
[19]Boer, Jan-Floris. Helicopter life cycle cost reduction through pre-design optimization. National Aerospace Laboratory NLR-32nd European Rotorcraft Forum.2006, 2:655-664P
[20]Takahashi, Toshiki; Takeda, Nobufumi; Sogo, Shigeyuki. A study on minimization of life cycle cost for concrete structures using genetic algorithm[J]. Transactions of the Japan Concrete Institute.2001,23:157-164P
[21]Kong, Jung S. Cost-reliability interaction in life-cycle cost optimization of deteriorating stractures[J]. Journal of Structural Engineering.2004,130(11):1704-1712P
[22]徐力,姚玉琴,马艳霞.教育装备寿命周期费用分析研究[J].现代教育技术.2006,16(1)：60-62页
[23]董振旗,李明志,郑钦等.寿命周期费用方法在教学设备管理中的应用.中国设备管理协会寿命周期费用委员会第七次年会,山西太原,中国设备管理协会设备寿命周期费用委员会,2006.170-175页
[24]胡又农,赵锦红.教育装备管理中的全系统全寿命全费用研究[J].中国教育技术装备.2005,(7)：1-3页
[25]王树鹏.设备寿命周期费用研究及其应用[D].南京航空航天大学硕士论文.2007
[26]李伟.教育装备运行费用影响因素的研究[D].首都师范大学硕士论文.2007
[27]郑芳.高校实验设备综合管理中关键经济性影响要素研究[D].西北工业大学硕士论文.2005
[28]王凌.维修决策模型和方法的理论与应用研究[D].浙江大学博士论文.2007
[29]Lewis, E.E. Introduction to reliability engineering, Second Edition, New York:John Wiley & Sons, Inc.,1994
[30]Nakagawa T. Mean time to failure with preventive maintenance. IEEE Trans on Reliability.1980,29(4):341P
[31]Nakagawa T. Periodic and sequential preventive maintenance policy[J]. Journal of Applied Probability.1986,23(2):536-542P
[32]Sheu, Shey-Huei. A generalized periodic preventive maintenance model with virtual age for a system subjected to shocks[J]. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods.2010,39(13):2379-2393P
[33]Life C H and Chun Y H. An algorithm for preventive maintenance policy[J]. IEEE Transactions on Reliability,1986,35(1):71-75P
[34]韩帮军,范秀敏,马登哲等.用遗传算法优化制造设备的预防性维修周期模型[J].计算机集成制造系统-CIMS.2003,9 (3):206-209 页
[35]韩邦军,范秀敏,马登哲.生产系统设备预防性维修控制策略的方针优化[J].计算机集成制造系统.2004,10(7)：853-857页
[36]李剑涛,蒋里强,黄立坡.装备最佳预防性维修间隔时间研究[J].装备指挥技术学院学报.2004,15(3)：26-29页
[37]张晨.基于可靠性的设备经济寿命与预防性维修周期的研究[D].南京理工大学硕士论文.2006
[38]胡又农,赵锦红.打造教育装备三级维修体系[J].中国教育技术装备.2009(17)：10-14页
[39]李刚.教育装备维修工作现状的调查分析[D].首都师范大学硕士论文.2006
[40]薛胜兰.多媒体教学系统故障模式及影响因素研究[D].首都师范大学硕士论文.2006
[41]Hartman JL, Rogers JC. Dynamic programming approaches for equipment replacement problems with continuous and discontinuous technological change[J].IMA Journal Management Mathematics.2006,17(2):143-158P
[42]Hartman JC, Rogers JL. Replacement analysis under continuous and probabilistic discontinuous technological change. ⅡE annual conference and exposition,2005:5P
[43]Rogers JL, Hartman JC. Equipment replacement with continuous technological change and uncertain breakthroughs.ⅡE annual conference and exhibition,2004:2057-2062P
[44]Goff, Wayne H. Equipment replacement analysis:an application of the van horn model. Minutes of the meeting-Pennsylvania electric association[J]. Engineering Section. 1979,2:19-21P
[45]Hartman JC, Liedtka, Stephen L, Snyder, Lawrence V. The impact of us tax depreciation law on asset location and ownership decisions[J]. Computers and Operations Research.2007,34 (12):3560-3568P
[46]Iwamoto, Kazuki. Discrete repair-cost limit replacement policies with/without imperfect repair[J].Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research.2008,25(6): 735-751P
[47]Love, C.E. Utilizing Weibull failure rates in repair limit analysis for equipment replacement/preventive maintenance decisions[J]. Journal of the Operational Research Society.1996,47(11):1366-1376P
[48]Anderson S. Monotone optimal preventive maintenance policies for stochastically failing equipment[J]. Naval Research Logistics Quarterly.1981,28(3):347-358P
[49]Kobbacy KAH, Nicol SD. Sensitivity analysis of rent replacement models[J], International Journal of Production Economics.1994,36(3):267-279P
[50]H.Paul Barringer, P.E. and David P.Weber. Life Cycle Cost Tutorial.Fifth International Conference on Process Plant Reliability, Gulf Publishing Company, Houston, TX,1996
[51]Stethen F. Weber. A Modified Analytic Hierarchy Process for Automated Manufacturing Decisions[J]. INTERFACES.1993(23):75-84P
[52]Scarf PA, Hartman JC. Engineering Economy and the Decision-Making Process. Prentice Hall,2006
[53]Hartman JC; Murphy A. Finite-horizon equipment replacement analysis. HE Transactions.2006,38(5):409-419P
[54]傅家骥,全允桓.工业技术经济学.北京：清华大学出版社,1991
[55]刘东坡.基于滚动机制的有限时域设备更新方法[D].山东大学硕士论文.2010
[56]彭楠,何明.设备更新的最优策略及模糊评价方法[J].西南石油学院学报.2001,23 (1)：53-56页
[57]谢家平,孔令丞.设备更新的灰色层次综合评价模型[J].地质技术经济管理.1997,19(4)：58-63页
[58]陈步英.设备更新决策[D].河北农业大学硕士论文.2002
[59]徐安,吕振华.汽车更新理论及更新函数的研究[J].汽车工程.1995,17(5)：282-290页
[60]胡宝民.设备更新决策方法的比较与评价[J].河北工业大学学报.1997,26(2)：65-70页
[61]高尚.武器装备更新模型[J].飞航导弹.2000(2)：29-32页
[62]杨媛媛,翟源景.装备更新决策综合方法[J].装备指挥技术学院学报.2002,13(4)：25-28页
[63]夏水春,魏丽娟.后勤装备更新的全寿命周期成本分析[J].科技创业2010(3)：68-70页
[64]吕伟,娄寿春,李同州.装备更新的技术经济分析与探讨[J].战术导弹技术.2006,(3)：62-64页
[65]沈贵林,何宏,宋志强.基于动态规划的物流装备更新决策方法[J].物流科技.2006,29(136)：74-76页
[66]彭楠,何明.设备更新的最优策略及模糊评价方法[J].西南石油学院学报.2001,23(1)：54-57页
[67]Konstantinos N. Pantazopoulos, Lefleri H. Tsoukalas. Financial prediction and trading strategies using neurofuzzy approaches[J]. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybemetics-PartB:Cybernetics.1998,28(4):520-531P
[68]Kun-Long Ho,et al. Short term load forecasting using a multiplayer neural network with an adaptive learning algorithm[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.1992, 7(1):141-149P
[69]Alireza Khotartzd. ANNSTLF-A neural network based electric load forecasting system[J]. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks.1997,8(4):835-846P
[70]李莉.油气管道水工保护工程效能评价研究[D].天津大学博士论文.2010：27-28页
[71]郭齐胜,郅志刚.装备效能评估概论[M].北京：国防工业出版社,2005：1-2页
[72]胡又农.教育装备评价简明教程[M].北京大学出版社,2008
[73]蒋丽萍.武器系统效能评估与仿真研究[D].南京理工大学硕士学位论文.2010：8-9页
[74]Staker R. Knowledge Based Soft Systems Engineering for Military Systems of Systems [A]. In Proc. of the SETE2000 Conference, Brisbane, Queensland,2000: 213-221P
[75]夏勇其,吴祈宗.一种混合型多属性决策问题的TOPSIS方法[J].系统工程学报.2004,19(6)：630-634页
[76]何晓群.现代统计分析方法与应用[M].中国人民大学出版社,1998
[77]金国华,陈桂明,董振旗.主成分分析法在武器装备管理中的应用[J].武器指挥技术学院学报.2006,17(2)：22-25页
[78]Kors JA. The Delphi method. A review of its application in medicine[M].Netherlands: the Netherlands press,1989
[79]Earl Babble. The practice of social research[M]. Belmont:Wadsworth publishing company,1994
[80]梁冬,陈旭铁,樊延平等.基于ADC的装甲装备体系作战效能评估研究[J].微计算机信息.2010,26(1)：15-17页
[81]许树柏.层次分析法原理[M].天津大学出版社,1988
[82]季根蔡.基于层次分析法的水库大坝安全鉴定的综合评价[J].红河水,2007,26(1)：133-136页
[83]金菊良,杨晓华,丁晶.标准遗传算法的改进方案—加速遗传算法[J].系统工程理论与实践.2001(4)：8-13页
[84]潘金锋.改进的层次分析法及其在城市系统工程中的应用[D].合肥工业大学硕士论文.2003
[85]许成果.教育装备效能综合评价研究[D].首都师范大学硕士论文.2007：25-40页
[86]殷常鸿,艾伦,牛永波.教育装备系统建设成本-效益探究[J].实验室研究与探索.2010,29(6)：175-177页
[87]王国红,宗斌,王二平.对实验类型的关注不要走入误区[J]].实验科学与技术.2007,5(6)：62-64页
[88]王汉功,甘茂治,陈学楚,罗云.装备全系统全寿命管理[M].国防工业出版社,2003：87-88页
[89]刘国利,陶英歌,郭乃林.地空导弹武器经济寿[J].战术导弹技术.2002,(6)：4144页
[90]Warranties In Weapon Procurement:Theory and Practics[M], Westview Press,1988
[91]Rigina H.E. Cowen. Defense Procurement In The Federal Republic of Germany[M]. Westview Press,1986
[92]Intruduction to Defense Acquisition Management[M]. Published by the Defense Management College Press, U.S.A.,1987
[93]Weissmann, Jose.Equipment replacement decisions based on life-cycle cost analysis. 60th International Astronautical Congress 2009. I AC 2009,5:4090-4099P
[94]陈玉祥,张汉亚.预测技术与应用[M].机械工业出版社,1989：1-3页
[95]傅毓维,张凌.预测决策理论与方法[M].哈尔滨工程大学出版社,2003：3-4页
[96]姜仁峰,卢兵.实用预测技术[M].哈尔滨船舶工程学院出版社,1993
[97]刘思峰,党耀国.预测方法与技术[M].高等教育出版社,2005：5-7页
[98]徐力,姚玉琴,马艳霞.教育装备寿命周期费用分析研究[J].现代教育技术.2006,16(1)：60-62页
[99]刘思峰,党耀国,方志耕等.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].第三版,北京：科学出版社,2005：126-129页
[100]杨丰玉,赵燕伟,董红召.高志明等.第三方物流中货物需求的灰色模型预测及应用[J].计算机工程与应用,2006,(11)：218-222
[101]邓聚龙.灰估算与灰决策[M].武汉：华中科技大学出版社,2002
[102]Deng J L. Introduction to Grey System Theory[J].Journal of Grey Systems,1989,1(1)
[103]罗党,刘思峰,党耀国.灰色模型GM(1,1)优化[J].中国工程科学,2003(8)：50-53页
[104]刘乐,王洪国,王宝伟.基于背景值构造方法的GM(1,1)模型优化[J].统计与决策,2009,277(1)：153-155页
[105]张大海,江世芳,史开泉.灰色预测公式的理论缺陷及改进[J].系统工程理论与实践.2002,22(8)：140-142页
[106]刘思峰,郭天榜,党耀国.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].第二版.北京：科学出版社,1999
[107]邓聚龙.灰理论基础[M].武汉：华中科技大学出版社,2002
[108]傅立.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].北京：科学技术文献出版社,1992：68-72页
[109]党耀国,刘思峰,刘斌.以X(1)(n)为初始条件的GM模型[J].中国管理科学.2005(1)：132-134页
[110]邓聚龙.累加生成灰指数律[J].华中工学院学报.1987,15(5)：7-12页
[111]吴清烈,蒋尚华.预测与决策分析[M].南京：东南大学出版社,2004：36-41页
[112]李德源,杨华龙.现代设各经济管理[M].大连：人民交通出版社,2000
[113]徐扬光.设备综合工程学概论[M].北京：国防工业出版社,1988
[114]杨保安,张科静.多目标决策分析理论、方法与应用研究[M].东华大学出版社,2008：1-2页
[115]胡宝民.设备更新据侧方法的比较与评价[J].河北工业大学学报.1997,26(2)：65-70页
[116]刘普寅,吴孟达.模糊理论及其应用[M].长沙：国防科技大学出版社,1998
[117]陈水利,李敬功,王向公.模糊集理论及其应用[M].北京：科学出版社,2005
[118]陈耀辉,孙春燕.模糊综合评判法中的最大隶属原则有效度[J].重庆师范学院学报(自然科学版).2001,18(1)：45-47页
[119]刘善任,凌文辁.德尔菲法在企业人力资源预测中的应用[J].企业经济.2003,(2)：116-117页
[120](美)安德森(Anderson, D.R)等.数据、模型与决策.于淼等译.北京：机械工业出版社,2003：525-532页
[121]Seott Morton, M.S..Management Deeision support:computer based support for decision making. Division of Researeh, Harvard University, Cambridge Mass.,1971
[122]Shannon C E. A Mathematical Theory of Communication[J]. Bell System Technical Journal.1984,27(3):379-423P
[123]李萍,魏朝富,邱道持.基于熵权法赋权的区域耕地整理潜力评价[J].中国农学通报.2007,23(6)：536-541页
[124]李传镔,张远芳,高盟.基于熵权的模糊综合评判法在盐渍土划分中的应用[J].水资源与水工程学报.2006,17(5)：24-26页
[125]Otwinowski, H.Energy and population balances in comminution process modeling based on the informational entropy[M]. Powder Technology,2006,167(1):33-44P
[126]Murray K S, D T Rogers. Groundwater vulnerability, Brownfield Redevelopment and Land Use Planning [J]. Journal of Environmental Planning & Management. 1999,42(6):801-806P
[127]徐泽水,达庆利.多属性决策的组合赋权方法研究.中国管理科学[J].2002,10(2)：84-87页
[128]Lin, Y. D. and Trani. Airport automated People mover systems:analysis with a hybrid simulation model[J].Transportation Research Record.2000(1703):45-57P
[129]刘力,周建中,杨俊杰,安学利等.基于信息熵的改进模糊综合评价方法[J].计算机工程,2009,35(18)：4-6页
[130]张小平.基于贴近度的模糊综合评判结果的集化[J].山东大学学报(理学版).2004,39(2)：25-29页
[131]李本海.贴近度分析法在等级划分中的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,1990,10(3)：43-48页
[132]Zhang Y., Yang Z. Analyses of urban ecosystem based on information entropy[J]. Ecological Modeling,2006,197(1-2):1-12P
[133]British Standard Institution.BS3811 Glossary of maintenance terms in Terotechnology. BSI, London,1984
[134]Dekker, R.. Applications of maintenance optimization models:A review and analysis[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety,1996,51 (3):229-240P
[135]陈学楚.现代维修理论[M].北京：国防工业出版社.2003：1-3页
[136]吕策尔.设备维修[M].张友诚译.宇航出版社,2004
[137]Geert Waeyenbergh, Liliane Pintelon. Maintenance Concept Development:A Case Study[J]. International Journal of Production Economics,2004,89:395-405P
[138]国家电力公司.火力发电厂实施设备状态检修的指导意见.中国电力,2002,35(2)：1-5页
[139]Tahara, A., Nishida, T..Optimal replacement policy for minimal repair model. Journal of Operations Research Society of Japan,1975,18 (3-4):113-124P
[140]Nakagawa, T.. Optimal policy of continuous and discrete replacement with minimal repair at failure[J]. Naval Research Logistics Quarterly,1984,31 (4):543-550P
[141]Block, H. W., Langberg, N. A., Savits, T. H..Repair replacement policies[J]. Journal of Applied Probability,1993,30 (1):194-206P
[142]Dagpunar, J. S., Jack, N.. Preventive maintenance strategy for equipment under warranty[J]. Microelectronics and Reliability,1994,34 (6):1089-1093P
[143]Chun, Y. H..Optimal number of periodic preventive maintenance operations under warranty[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety,1992,37 (3):223-225P
[144]Beichelt, F.. A replacement policy based on limits for the repair cost rate[J]. IEEE Transactions on Reliability R,1982,31 (4):401-402P
[145]Bergman, B.. Optimal replacement under a general failure model[J]. Advances in Applied Probability,1978,10 (2):431-451P
[146]Morimura, H., Makabe, H. A new policy for preventive maintenance. Journal of the Operations Research Society of Japan,1963,5:110-124P
[147]Morimura, H.. On some preventive maintenance policies for IFR. Journal of the Operations Research Society of Japan,1970,12 (3):94-124P
[148]吴波,丁毓峰,黎明发.机械系统可靠性维修及决策模型[M].北京：化学工业出版社,2007：91页
[149]Dedopoulos I T, Smeers Y. An age reduction approach for finite horizon optimization of preventive maintenance for single units subject to random failure[J]. Computers&Industrial Engineering,1998,34(3):643-65P
[150]朱闰炎,范兴平,邹岳华,秦永烈.核岛内外设备的维修策略及最佳维修周期模型[J].华东工业大学学报.1997,19(3)：90-98页
[151]曹晋化,程侃.可靠性数学引论[M].修订版.北京：高等教育出版社,2006：328-344页
[152]王世平,朱敏波.电子机械可靠性与维修性[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2000：116-120页
[153]胡毓达.使用多目标最优化[M].上海：上海科学技术出版社,1990：47-48页
[154]谢可新,韩健,林友联.最优化方法[M].天津：天津大学出版社,2006：229-231页
[155]张民悦,杨荔贤.预防性维修周期的一种多目标最优化模型[J].兰州理工大学学报,2011,37(3)：138-143页
[156]Amos E. Gem, EITA, Ashdod.The modified exponentialted-Weibull distribution for life modeling.1997 Proceedings Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium: 149-152P
[157]Gianpaolo Pulcini. An exponential reliability-growth model in multieopy testing program[J]. IEEE Transactions on Reliabilit.2001,50(4):365-373P
[2]艾伦.教育装备与一般装备制品差异分析[J].中国教育技术装备.2006(2)：5页
[3]殷常鸿,李翠萍,艾伦.教育装备费效分析[J].实验技术与管理.2010,27(12)：228-231页
[4]徐宗昌,黄益嘉,杨宏伟等.装备保障性工程与管理[M].北京：国防工业出版社,2006
[5]郭齐胜,袁益民,郅志刚.军事装备效能及其评估方法研究[J].装甲兵工程学院学报.2004(3)：1-6页
[6]杜正平.电子对抗系统效能分析[J].电子对抗技术.2005,20(5)：46-48页
[7]陈文奇.防空导弹武器系统作战效能评估分析[D].厦门大学硕士论文.2006
[8]Jaiswal. Military Modeling for Decision Making[M],3rd Edition. Military Operations Research Society, Inc.1997
[9]杨晓峰,李旭东,芮勇等.基于ADC模型的野战油料装备效能评估[J].后勤工程学院学报.2008,24(2)：89-93页
[10]周旋.基于贝叶斯网络的作战效能评估与分析方法研究[D].国防科技大学硕士论文.2008
[11]徐瑞恩.武器装备效能模型和方法概论[J].装备指挥技术学院学报.2002,13(1)：1-5页
[12]牛坤,庞志兵.基于多目标决策理论武器装备效能综合评估方法[J].情报指挥控制系统与仿真技术.2005,27(1)：50-53页
[13]刘铭,宁伟华,陈永革等.基于改进BP算法的装备效能评估[J].空军工程大学学报.2001,2(3)：18-21页
[14]肖飞生.中小学信息化教育装备综合效能评价指标体系研究[D].浙江师范大学硕士论文.2009
[15]张鸽,胡又农.AHP法在教育装备综合评价中的应用[J].中国教育技术装备.2008 (10)：1-3页
[16]张鸽.基于综合评价理论的教育装备评价方法探究[J].中国教育技术装备.2007(03)：3-5页
[17]黄明东.构建教育装备效益评价体系的探索[J].中国教育技术装备.2009(15)：3-4页
[18]殷常鸿,艾伦,牛永波.教育装备综合效益评估模型研究[J].现代教育技术装备.2009(2)：3-5页
[19]Boer, Jan-Floris. Helicopter life cycle cost reduction through pre-design optimization. National Aerospace Laboratory NLR-32nd European Rotorcraft Forum.2006, 2:655-664P
[20]Takahashi, Toshiki; Takeda, Nobufumi; Sogo, Shigeyuki. A study on minimization of life cycle cost for concrete structures using genetic algorithm[J]. Transactions of the Japan Concrete Institute.2001,23:157-164P
[21]Kong, Jung S. Cost-reliability interaction in life-cycle cost optimization of deteriorating stractures[J]. Journal of Structural Engineering.2004,130(11):1704-1712P
[22]徐力,姚玉琴,马艳霞.教育装备寿命周期费用分析研究[J].现代教育技术.2006,16(1)：60-62页
[23]董振旗,李明志,郑钦等.寿命周期费用方法在教学设备管理中的应用.中国设备管理协会寿命周期费用委员会第七次年会,山西太原,中国设备管理协会设备寿命周期费用委员会,2006.170-175页
[24]胡又农,赵锦红.教育装备管理中的全系统全寿命全费用研究[J].中国教育技术装备.2005,(7)：1-3页
[25]王树鹏.设备寿命周期费用研究及其应用[D].南京航空航天大学硕士论文.2007
[26]李伟.教育装备运行费用影响因素的研究[D].首都师范大学硕士论文.2007
[27]郑芳.高校实验设备综合管理中关键经济性影响要素研究[D].西北工业大学硕士论文.2005
[28]王凌.维修决策模型和方法的理论与应用研究[D].浙江大学博士论文.2007
[29]Lewis, E.E. Introduction to reliability engineering, Second Edition, New York:John Wiley & Sons, Inc.,1994
[30]Nakagawa T. Mean time to failure with preventive maintenance. IEEE Trans on Reliability.1980,29(4):341P
[31]Nakagawa T. Periodic and sequential preventive maintenance policy[J]. Journal of Applied Probability.1986,23(2):536-542P
[32]Sheu, Shey-Huei. A generalized periodic preventive maintenance model with virtual age for a system subjected to shocks[J]. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods.2010,39(13):2379-2393P
[33]Life C H and Chun Y H. An algorithm for preventive maintenance policy[J]. IEEE Transactions on Reliability,1986,35(1):71-75P
[34]韩帮军,范秀敏,马登哲等.用遗传算法优化制造设备的预防性维修周期模型[J].计算机集成制造系统-CIMS.2003,9 (3):206-209 页
[35]韩邦军,范秀敏,马登哲.生产系统设备预防性维修控制策略的方针优化[J].计算机集成制造系统.2004,10(7)：853-857页
[36]李剑涛,蒋里强,黄立坡.装备最佳预防性维修间隔时间研究[J].装备指挥技术学院学报.2004,15(3)：26-29页
[37]张晨.基于可靠性的设备经济寿命与预防性维修周期的研究[D].南京理工大学硕士论文.2006
[38]胡又农,赵锦红.打造教育装备三级维修体系[J].中国教育技术装备.2009(17)：10-14页
[39]李刚.教育装备维修工作现状的调查分析[D].首都师范大学硕士论文.2006
[40]薛胜兰.多媒体教学系统故障模式及影响因素研究[D].首都师范大学硕士论文.2006
[41]Hartman JL, Rogers JC. Dynamic programming approaches for equipment replacement problems with continuous and discontinuous technological change[J].IMA Journal Management Mathematics.2006,17(2):143-158P
[42]Hartman JC, Rogers JL. Replacement analysis under continuous and probabilistic discontinuous technological change. ⅡE annual conference and exposition,2005:5P
[43]Rogers JL, Hartman JC. Equipment replacement with continuous technological change and uncertain breakthroughs.ⅡE annual conference and exhibition,2004:2057-2062P
[44]Goff, Wayne H. Equipment replacement analysis:an application of the van horn model. Minutes of the meeting-Pennsylvania electric association[J]. Engineering Section. 1979,2:19-21P
[45]Hartman JC, Liedtka, Stephen L, Snyder, Lawrence V. The impact of us tax depreciation law on asset location and ownership decisions[J]. Computers and Operations Research.2007,34 (12):3560-3568P
[46]Iwamoto, Kazuki. Discrete repair-cost limit replacement policies with/without imperfect repair[J].Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research.2008,25(6): 735-751P
[47]Love, C.E. Utilizing Weibull failure rates in repair limit analysis for equipment replacement/preventive maintenance decisions[J]. Journal of the Operational Research Society.1996,47(11):1366-1376P
[48]Anderson S. Monotone optimal preventive maintenance policies for stochastically failing equipment[J]. Naval Research Logistics Quarterly.1981,28(3):347-358P
[49]Kobbacy KAH, Nicol SD. Sensitivity analysis of rent replacement models[J], International Journal of Production Economics.1994,36(3):267-279P
[50]H.Paul Barringer, P.E. and David P.Weber. Life Cycle Cost Tutorial.Fifth International Conference on Process Plant Reliability, Gulf Publishing Company, Houston, TX,1996
[51]Stethen F. Weber. A Modified Analytic Hierarchy Process for Automated Manufacturing Decisions[J]. INTERFACES.1993(23):75-84P
[52]Scarf PA, Hartman JC. Engineering Economy and the Decision-Making Process. Prentice Hall,2006
[53]Hartman JC; Murphy A. Finite-horizon equipment replacement analysis. HE Transactions.2006,38(5):409-419P
[54]傅家骥,全允桓.工业技术经济学.北京：清华大学出版社,1991
[55]刘东坡.基于滚动机制的有限时域设备更新方法[D].山东大学硕士论文.2010
[56]彭楠,何明.设备更新的最优策略及模糊评价方法[J].西南石油学院学报.2001,23 (1)：53-56页
[57]谢家平,孔令丞.设备更新的灰色层次综合评价模型[J].地质技术经济管理.1997,19(4)：58-63页
[58]陈步英.设备更新决策[D].河北农业大学硕士论文.2002
[59]徐安,吕振华.汽车更新理论及更新函数的研究[J].汽车工程.1995,17(5)：282-290页
[60]胡宝民.设备更新决策方法的比较与评价[J].河北工业大学学报.1997,26(2)：65-70页
[61]高尚.武器装备更新模型[J].飞航导弹.2000(2)：29-32页
[62]杨媛媛,翟源景.装备更新决策综合方法[J].装备指挥技术学院学报.2002,13(4)：25-28页
[63]夏水春,魏丽娟.后勤装备更新的全寿命周期成本分析[J].科技创业2010(3)：68-70页
[64]吕伟,娄寿春,李同州.装备更新的技术经济分析与探讨[J].战术导弹技术.2006,(3)：62-64页
[65]沈贵林,何宏,宋志强.基于动态规划的物流装备更新决策方法[J].物流科技.2006,29(136)：74-76页
[66]彭楠,何明.设备更新的最优策略及模糊评价方法[J].西南石油学院学报.2001,23(1)：54-57页
[67]Konstantinos N. Pantazopoulos, Lefleri H. Tsoukalas. Financial prediction and trading strategies using neurofuzzy approaches[J]. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybemetics-PartB:Cybernetics.1998,28(4):520-531P
[68]Kun-Long Ho,et al. Short term load forecasting using a multiplayer neural network with an adaptive learning algorithm[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.1992, 7(1):141-149P
[69]Alireza Khotartzd. ANNSTLF-A neural network based electric load forecasting system[J]. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks.1997,8(4):835-846P
[70]李莉.油气管道水工保护工程效能评价研究[D].天津大学博士论文.2010：27-28页
[71]郭齐胜,郅志刚.装备效能评估概论[M].北京：国防工业出版社,2005：1-2页
[72]胡又农.教育装备评价简明教程[M].北京大学出版社,2008
[73]蒋丽萍.武器系统效能评估与仿真研究[D].南京理工大学硕士学位论文.2010：8-9页
[74]Staker R. Knowledge Based Soft Systems Engineering for Military Systems of Systems [A]. In Proc. of the SETE2000 Conference, Brisbane, Queensland,2000: 213-221P
[75]夏勇其,吴祈宗.一种混合型多属性决策问题的TOPSIS方法[J].系统工程学报.2004,19(6)：630-634页
[76]何晓群.现代统计分析方法与应用[M].中国人民大学出版社,1998
[77]金国华,陈桂明,董振旗.主成分分析法在武器装备管理中的应用[J].武器指挥技术学院学报.2006,17(2)：22-25页
[78]Kors JA. The Delphi method. A review of its application in medicine[M].Netherlands: the Netherlands press,1989
[79]Earl Babble. The practice of social research[M]. Belmont:Wadsworth publishing company,1994
[80]梁冬,陈旭铁,樊延平等.基于ADC的装甲装备体系作战效能评估研究[J].微计算机信息.2010,26(1)：15-17页
[81]许树柏.层次分析法原理[M].天津大学出版社,1988
[82]季根蔡.基于层次分析法的水库大坝安全鉴定的综合评价[J].红河水,2007,26(1)：133-136页
[83]金菊良,杨晓华,丁晶.标准遗传算法的改进方案—加速遗传算法[J].系统工程理论与实践.2001(4)：8-13页
[84]潘金锋.改进的层次分析法及其在城市系统工程中的应用[D].合肥工业大学硕士论文.2003
[85]许成果.教育装备效能综合评价研究[D].首都师范大学硕士论文.2007：25-40页
[86]殷常鸿,艾伦,牛永波.教育装备系统建设成本-效益探究[J].实验室研究与探索.2010,29(6)：175-177页
[87]王国红,宗斌,王二平.对实验类型的关注不要走入误区[J]].实验科学与技术.2007,5(6)：62-64页
[88]王汉功,甘茂治,陈学楚,罗云.装备全系统全寿命管理[M].国防工业出版社,2003：87-88页
[89]刘国利,陶英歌,郭乃林.地空导弹武器经济寿[J].战术导弹技术.2002,(6)：4144页
[90]Warranties In Weapon Procurement:Theory and Practics[M], Westview Press,1988
[91]Rigina H.E. Cowen. Defense Procurement In The Federal Republic of Germany[M]. Westview Press,1986
[92]Intruduction to Defense Acquisition Management[M]. Published by the Defense Management College Press, U.S.A.,1987
[93]Weissmann, Jose.Equipment replacement decisions based on life-cycle cost analysis. 60th International Astronautical Congress 2009. I AC 2009,5:4090-4099P
[94]陈玉祥,张汉亚.预测技术与应用[M].机械工业出版社,1989：1-3页
[95]傅毓维,张凌.预测决策理论与方法[M].哈尔滨工程大学出版社,2003：3-4页
[96]姜仁峰,卢兵.实用预测技术[M].哈尔滨船舶工程学院出版社,1993
[97]刘思峰,党耀国.预测方法与技术[M].高等教育出版社,2005：5-7页
[98]徐力,姚玉琴,马艳霞.教育装备寿命周期费用分析研究[J].现代教育技术.2006,16(1)：60-62页
[99]刘思峰,党耀国,方志耕等.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].第三版,北京：科学出版社,2005：126-129页
[100]杨丰玉,赵燕伟,董红召.高志明等.第三方物流中货物需求的灰色模型预测及应用[J].计算机工程与应用,2006,(11)：218-222
[101]邓聚龙.灰估算与灰决策[M].武汉：华中科技大学出版社,2002
[102]Deng J L. Introduction to Grey System Theory[J].Journal of Grey Systems,1989,1(1)
[103]罗党,刘思峰,党耀国.灰色模型GM(1,1)优化[J].中国工程科学,2003(8)：50-53页
[104]刘乐,王洪国,王宝伟.基于背景值构造方法的GM(1,1)模型优化[J].统计与决策,2009,277(1)：153-155页
[105]张大海,江世芳,史开泉.灰色预测公式的理论缺陷及改进[J].系统工程理论与实践.2002,22(8)：140-142页
[106]刘思峰,郭天榜,党耀国.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].第二版.北京：科学出版社,1999
[107]邓聚龙.灰理论基础[M].武汉：华中科技大学出版社,2002
[108]傅立.灰色系统理论及其应用[M].北京：科学技术文献出版社,1992：68-72页
[109]党耀国,刘思峰,刘斌.以X(1)(n)为初始条件的GM模型[J].中国管理科学.2005(1)：132-134页
[110]邓聚龙.累加生成灰指数律[J].华中工学院学报.1987,15(5)：7-12页
[111]吴清烈,蒋尚华.预测与决策分析[M].南京：东南大学出版社,2004：36-41页
[112]李德源,杨华龙.现代设各经济管理[M].大连：人民交通出版社,2000
[113]徐扬光.设备综合工程学概论[M].北京：国防工业出版社,1988
[114]杨保安,张科静.多目标决策分析理论、方法与应用研究[M].东华大学出版社,2008：1-2页
[115]胡宝民.设备更新据侧方法的比较与评价[J].河北工业大学学报.1997,26(2)：65-70页
[116]刘普寅,吴孟达.模糊理论及其应用[M].长沙：国防科技大学出版社,1998
[117]陈水利,李敬功,王向公.模糊集理论及其应用[M].北京：科学出版社,2005
[118]陈耀辉,孙春燕.模糊综合评判法中的最大隶属原则有效度[J].重庆师范学院学报(自然科学版).2001,18(1)：45-47页
[119]刘善任,凌文辁.德尔菲法在企业人力资源预测中的应用[J].企业经济.2003,(2)：116-117页
[120](美)安德森(Anderson, D.R)等.数据、模型与决策.于淼等译.北京：机械工业出版社,2003：525-532页
[121]Seott Morton, M.S..Management Deeision support:computer based support for decision making. Division of Researeh, Harvard University, Cambridge Mass.,1971
[122]Shannon C E. A Mathematical Theory of Communication[J]. Bell System Technical Journal.1984,27(3):379-423P
[123]李萍,魏朝富,邱道持.基于熵权法赋权的区域耕地整理潜力评价[J].中国农学通报.2007,23(6)：536-541页
[124]李传镔,张远芳,高盟.基于熵权的模糊综合评判法在盐渍土划分中的应用[J].水资源与水工程学报.2006,17(5)：24-26页
[125]Otwinowski, H.Energy and population balances in comminution process modeling based on the informational entropy[M]. Powder Technology,2006,167(1):33-44P
[126]Murray K S, D T Rogers. Groundwater vulnerability, Brownfield Redevelopment and Land Use Planning [J]. Journal of Environmental Planning & Management. 1999,42(6):801-806P
[127]徐泽水,达庆利.多属性决策的组合赋权方法研究.中国管理科学[J].2002,10(2)：84-87页
[128]Lin, Y. D. and Trani. Airport automated People mover systems:analysis with a hybrid simulation model[J].Transportation Research Record.2000(1703):45-57P
[129]刘力,周建中,杨俊杰,安学利等.基于信息熵的改进模糊综合评价方法[J].计算机工程,2009,35(18)：4-6页
[130]张小平.基于贴近度的模糊综合评判结果的集化[J].山东大学学报(理学版).2004,39(2)：25-29页
[131]李本海.贴近度分析法在等级划分中的应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,1990,10(3)：43-48页
[132]Zhang Y., Yang Z. Analyses of urban ecosystem based on information entropy[J]. Ecological Modeling,2006,197(1-2):1-12P
[133]British Standard Institution.BS3811 Glossary of maintenance terms in Terotechnology. BSI, London,1984
[134]Dekker, R.. Applications of maintenance optimization models:A review and analysis[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety,1996,51 (3):229-240P
[135]陈学楚.现代维修理论[M].北京：国防工业出版社.2003：1-3页
[136]吕策尔.设备维修[M].张友诚译.宇航出版社,2004
[137]Geert Waeyenbergh, Liliane Pintelon. Maintenance Concept Development:A Case Study[J]. International Journal of Production Economics,2004,89:395-405P
[138]国家电力公司.火力发电厂实施设备状态检修的指导意见.中国电力,2002,35(2)：1-5页
[139]Tahara, A., Nishida, T..Optimal replacement policy for minimal repair model. Journal of Operations Research Society of Japan,1975,18 (3-4):113-124P
[140]Nakagawa, T.. Optimal policy of continuous and discrete replacement with minimal repair at failure[J]. Naval Research Logistics Quarterly,1984,31 (4):543-550P
[141]Block, H. W., Langberg, N. A., Savits, T. H..Repair replacement policies[J]. Journal of Applied Probability,1993,30 (1):194-206P
[142]Dagpunar, J. S., Jack, N.. Preventive maintenance strategy for equipment under warranty[J]. Microelectronics and Reliability,1994,34 (6):1089-1093P
[143]Chun, Y. H..Optimal number of periodic preventive maintenance operations under warranty[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety,1992,37 (3):223-225P
[144]Beichelt, F.. A replacement policy based on limits for the repair cost rate[J]. IEEE Transactions on Reliability R,1982,31 (4):401-402P
[145]Bergman, B.. Optimal replacement under a general failure model[J]. Advances in Applied Probability,1978,10 (2):431-451P
[146]Morimura, H., Makabe, H. A new policy for preventive maintenance. Journal of the Operations Research Society of Japan,1963,5:110-124P
[147]Morimura, H.. On some preventive maintenance policies for IFR. Journal of the Operations Research Society of Japan,1970,12 (3):94-124P
[148]吴波,丁毓峰,黎明发.机械系统可靠性维修及决策模型[M].北京：化学工业出版社,2007：91页
[149]Dedopoulos I T, Smeers Y. An age reduction approach for finite horizon optimization of preventive maintenance for single units subject to random failure[J]. Computers&Industrial Engineering,1998,34(3):643-65P
[150]朱闰炎,范兴平,邹岳华,秦永烈.核岛内外设备的维修策略及最佳维修周期模型[J].华东工业大学学报.1997,19(3)：90-98页
[151]曹晋化,程侃.可靠性数学引论[M].修订版.北京：高等教育出版社,2006：328-344页
[152]王世平,朱敏波.电子机械可靠性与维修性[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2000：116-120页
[153]胡毓达.使用多目标最优化[M].上海：上海科学技术出版社,1990：47-48页
[154]谢可新,韩健,林友联.最优化方法[M].天津：天津大学出版社,2006：229-231页
[155]张民悦,杨荔贤.预防性维修周期的一种多目标最优化模型[J].兰州理工大学学报,2011,37(3)：138-143页
[156]Amos E. Gem, EITA, Ashdod.The modified exponentialted-Weibull distribution for life modeling.1997 Proceedings Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium: 149-152P
[157]Gianpaolo Pulcini. An exponential reliability-growth model in multieopy testing program[J]. IEEE Transactions on Reliabilit.2001,50(4):365-373P