用户名: 密码: 验证码:
面向低碳经济的中国铅锌工业发展研究
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
铅锌工业因其处于其它许多产业的上游,其发展状况与水平对其它产业直接产生影响。铅锌工业属传统的“高耗能、高排放、高污染”产业,面对低碳经济发展浪潮的冲击,研究中国铅锌工业低碳发展不仅具有重要的理论意义,而且还是当前发展新型化低碳铅锌工业急需要解决的紧迫问题。论文的主要工作和创新如下:
     1.构建了面向低碳经济的中国铅锌工业发展水平评价指标体系。虽然针对工业发展水平评价的指标体系已有相关研究,但尚未形成共识,而且面向低碳经济构筑我国铅锌工业发展水平评价的指标体系尚未见文献报导。论文基于低碳经济发展的要求,针对我国铅锌工业低碳发展的具体现状、问题、特点和未来发展的方向,遴选了铅锌工业发展水平评价的9个指标类115个指标项。这些指标项的构建除了考虑低碳经济发展要求的指标项,还考虑到了企业间的复杂价值网络关系和企业网络资源获取能力等指标项,这是论文相对于同类研究的独特之处,实证结果进一步证实了这些指标在网络交易环境下对铅锌工业发展的重要性,证实了该评价指标体系更适合评价铅锌工业的低碳发展水平。
     2.提出了面对低碳经济的中国铅锌工业发展水平评价模型。论文在总结现有铅锌工业发展水平定性、定量评价方法的基础上,针对低碳和铅锌工业低碳发展的特点和内在规律,提出了适合铅锌工业低碳发展水平评价指标赋权的DS法、Entropy-ANP-SSD法,构建了中国铅锌工业低碳发展水平的“DS-BP”评价模型、中国铅锌工业低碳发展水平的Entropy-ANP-SSD二级模糊层综合评价模型和中国铅锌工业低碳发展水平的混合多层综合评价模型,丰富了现有铅锌工业发展的评价理论和评价方法。
     3.提出了面向低碳经济的中国铅锌工业系统五个子系统的发展动力基模,揭示了中国铅锌工业子系统各组成要素之间内在主要因果关系和主要动力反馈机制,并以中国铅锌工业系统发展的五个上限基模为例,明晰了中国铅锌工业低碳发展上限的形成过程和发展动力不足的原因,从而为中国铅锌工业低碳发展策略的制定、实施及误区规避提供了决策理论基础。
     4.提出了面向低碳经济的中国铅锌工业发展策略与误区规避措施。发展策略主要包括调整铅锌工业发展理念,构建低碳循环的经济发展体系;调整中国铅锌工业资源配置关系,优化铅锌工业资源配置方式;注重培育铅锌价值网演化序参量,促进铅锌工业系统的共生演化;适应现代铅锌工业发展环境,促进铅锌工业运营模式的低碳转型。误区规避措施包括四个“必须”,即必须防范铅锌工业的过度竞争,必须防范铅锌工业价值网脆弱性扩散,必须加强企业间的联合,必须顺应低碳经济要求。这些策略的实施与误区的规避,将促进中国铅锌工业“又好又快”地健康低碳发展。
     5.以湖南水口山有色金属有限责任公司为背景,对论文进行了实证研究。论文分析了湖南水口山有色金属有限责任公司发展的现状,并运用DS-BP评价模型评价了公司低碳发展水平,分析了湖南水口山有色金属有限责任公司低碳发展的总体指导思想与目标规划,提出了公司发展策略及其保障措施,其研究成果不仅对其它的铅锌工业企业的低碳发展具有指导意义,而且对其他有色金属工业、钢铁工业及其他工业企业的低碳发展也有借鉴意义。
Lead and zinc industry is a kind of upstream industries, and its development level will directly impact on other industries. Lead and zinc industry is a traditional "high energy consumption, high emission and high pollution" industry, in the wave of low-carbon economy, the development of lead and zinc industry has not only important theoretical significance, but also the urgent problem. The main work and innovations in the paper are as follows:
     Firstly, Building a development evaluation index system for lead and zinc industry facing on low carbon economy. The level of industrial development for the evaluation index system has been related research, but has not yet reached a consensus, and the literature how to build a development level of lead and zinc industry assessment index system has not been reported facing on low carbon economy. The 9 index entries in 115 categories were selected based on the requirements of the development of low-carbon economy, and specific low-carbon development situation,problems, features and the future development direction of lead and zinc industry in China. Construction of these indicators takes low-carbon options into account, and the complex inter-enterprise value network relationships and ability to access corporate network resources. Some indexes are unique in the paper, and empirical results had confirmed that these indicators in the online trading environment is important, the index system is more suitable for low carbon development evaluation of lead and zinc industry.
     Scondly,Making three evaluation models of lead and zinc industry development level facing low-carbon economy. The paper summarized the qualitative and quantitative evaluation methods based on the characteristics of low-carbon development and internal rules, and proposed“DS-BP”evaluation model, Entropy-ANP-SSD two layer fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and multi-level evaluation model about the lead and zinc industry low-carbon development, enriching lead and zinc theory and evaluation methods.
     Thirdly, Proposing for the five sub-base development model about China's zinc industry impetus low-carbon economy system, revealing the main driving force by feedback mechanism and the main causation in lead and zinc industry system, and China development of industrial systems of the five lead-zinc subsystems limit schema, for example, clarity of lead and zinc industry in China limit the formation of low-carbon development and development of power is insufficient reason for China to lead and zinc industry to develop low-carbon development strategy, implementation and avoiding misunderstanding provides a theoretical basis for decision-making.
     Fourthly, Puttinfg forward a low carbon economy-oriented industrial development strategy and errors avoidance measures in China. Development strategies include adjusting lead and zinc industry development concept, building the economic development of low-carbon cycle system; adjusting the allocation of resources between the Chinese lead and zinc industry, optimizing the allocation of resources lead and zinc industry; paying attention to nurturing the evolution Pb order parameter value network, and promoting lead-zinc symbiotic evolution of industrial systems; adapting to the modern lead and zinc for industrial development, lead and zinc industry business model to promote low-carbon transition. Mistakes to avoid include four "must", that is, lead and zinc industry must guard against excessive competition, lead and zinc industry value network must prevent proliferation of vulnerability, the need to strengthen the joints among enterprises must comply with requirements of low-carbon economy. The implementation of these strategies can promote "fast" and "healthy" low-carbon development of China's lead and zinc industry.
     Fifthly, empirical study based on Hunan Shuikoushan Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. This paper analyzed the status of the development of the Hunan Shuikoushan Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd.,and evaluated the company's low-carbon development level by DS-BP model, studied low-carbon development guidelines and the overall planning objectives of Hunan Shuikoushan Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd., proposed some development strategies for its security measures, its results had not only guidances for lead and zinc enterprises, but also for other non-ferrous metals industry, steel industry and other industrial companies.
引文
[1]李志青.“后危机时代”与低碳经济[N].文汇报,2009-07-02.
    [2]鲍健强,苗阳,陈锋.低碳经济:人类经济发展方式的新变革[J].中国工业济经,2008(4):153-160.
    [3]陈宗兴.为何选择低碳经济[N].人民日报海外版,2009.10.31.
    [4]吴昌华.城市引领中国低碳经济转型[J].中国投资,2009(2):34-36.
    [5]李俊峰,马玲娟.低碳经济方兴未艾:低碳经济是规制世界发展格局的新规则[J].世界环境,2008(2):17-20.
    [6]庄贵阳.中国发展低碳经济的困难与障碍分析[J].江西社会科学,2009,(7):74-76.
    [7]李友华,王虹.中国低碳经济发展对策研究[J].哈尔滨商业大学学报,2010,(6):53-55.
    [8]Mdluli, TN; Vogel, CH. Challenges to Achieving a Successful Transition to a Low Carbon Economy in South Africa:Examples From Poor Urban Communities [J].Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change,2010,15(3):205-222.
    [9]Jiang, B; Sun, ZQ; Liu, MQ. China's Energy Development Strategy Under the Low-Carbon Economy [J]. Energy,2010,35(11):4257-4264.
    [10]Liu, HW; Gallagher, KS. Catalyzing Strategic Transformation to a Low-Carbon[J]. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy,2009,24(5):632-637.
    [11]Strachan, N; Balta-Ozkan, N; Joffe, D, et al.Soft-Linking Energy Systems and GIS Models To Investigate Spatial Hydrogen Infrastructure Development in a Low-Carbon UK Energy System [J].International Journal of Hydrogen Energy,2009,34(2):642-657.
    [12]Robinson, L. Linking Transformational Materials and Processing for an Energy-Efficient and Low-Carbon Economy[J]JOM,2010,62(3):11-12.
    [13]Zhang, YC; Luo, HB. Innovation of Fiscal policy of Promoting the Development of Low Carbon Economy[C].In proceedings of the 2009 International Conference on Public Economics and Management ICPEM 2009,VOL8:257-262.
    [14]Wang, ZW; Chen, J. Achieving Low-carbon Economy by Disruptive Innovation in China [C].2OO8 IEEE International Conference on Management of Innovation and Technology,2008,VOLS 1-3:687-692.
    [15]Dagoumas, AS; Barker, TS. Pathways to a Low-Carbon Economy for the UK with the Macro-Econometric E3MG Model [J]. Energy Policy,2010,38(6):3067-3077.
    [16]L A Costanzo, K Keasey, H Short. A Strategic Approach to the Study of Innovation in the Financial Services Industry [J] Journal of Marketing Management,2003(19):259-4281.
    [17]Malte Schneider, Andreas Holzer, Volker H, Hoffman. Understanding The CDM's Contribution to Technology Transfer[J].Energy policy,2008,36(8):2930-2938.
    [18]M I Hoffert. Advanced Technology Paths to Global Climate Stability:Energy for Green House Planet[J].Science,2002,298(5595):981-987.
    [19]Kawase R, Matsuoka Y, Fujino J. Decomposition Analysis of CO2 Emission in Long-term Climate Stabilization Scenarios[J].Energy Policy,2006,34(15):2113-2122.
    [20]任力.低碳经济与中国经济可持续发展[J].社会科学家,2009(2):47-50.
    [21]杨凤勇,李娟.我国低碳经济发展对策架构分析[J].商业时代,2010,(24):25-28.
    [22]李金栋,王建中.我国发展低碳经济的困境与应对措施[J].环渤海经济瞭望济,2010,(8):31-33.
    [23]陈滢,王爱兰.信息化与工业化融合是发展低碳经济的有效途径[J].资源开发与市场,2010,26(8):34-36.
    [24]王诺斯.基于三螺旋理论的我国低碳经济发展构想[J].科技情报开发与经济,2010,20(24):24-27.
    [25]段红霞.低碳经济发展的驱动机制探析[J].当代经济研究.2010,(02):131-133.
    [26]Zhang, ZX. China in the Transition to a Low-Carbon Economy [J]. Energy policy,2010, 38(11):6638-6653.
    [27]Chen, QX; Kang, CQ; Xia, Q, et al. Power Generation Expansion Planning Model towards Low-Carbon Economy and Its Application in China [J].IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2010,25(2):1117-1125.
    [28]张丰兰,张秉云.低碳经济与矿产资源型产业转型探寻——以内蒙古中西部为例[J].工业技术经济,2010,29(8):34-35.
    [29]陈诗一.节能减排与中国工业的双赢发展.2009--2049[J].经济研究.2010(3):36-38.
    [30]王锋正.低碳经济视角下内蒙古工业企业节能减排技术创新路径研究[J].科学管理研究,2010,28(3):40-45.
    [31]刘焕彬.低碳经济视角下的造纸工业节能减排[J].中国纸业,2009,(12):10-12.
    [32]杨光.低碳发展模式下中国核电产业及核电经济性研究[D].华北电力大学博士论文,2010年6月.
    [33]谢传胜,徐欣,侯文甜,许凤茹.城市低碳经济综合评价及发展路径分析[J].技术经济,2010,29(8):34-36.
    [23]倪外,曾刚.国外低碳经济研究动向分析[J].经济地理,2010,30(8):126-130.
    [35]朱新春,吴兆雪.低碳经济及其影响因素的多维度比较分析[J].社会科学研究,2010,(5):34-36.
    [36]何建坤.发展低碳经济,关键在于低碳技术创新[J].绿叶,2009,(1):46-50.
    [37]洪芳柏.低碳经济与温室气体核算[J].杭州化工,2009,(1):4-6.
    [38]金涌等.低碳经济:理念·实践·创新[J].中国工程科学,2008,(9):4-13;
    [39]成万牍.我国发展“碳金融”正当其时[J].上海投资,2008,(7):33-37.
    [40]庄贵阳.节能减排与中国经济的低碳发展[J].气候变化研究进展,2008,(5):303-308;
    [41]邱东.多指标综合评价方法的系统分析[J]中国统计出版社,1991,(12):24-27.
    [42]王硕平用数学方法选择社会经济指标[J].统计研究,1996,(6):54-58.
    [43]张尧庭等.从一组指标中选择部分有代表性指标的方法[J].统计研究,1989,(5):32-37.
    [44]甘寿国.对广东各地经济发展水平的综合评价[J].统计与预测,1996(6):54-56.
    [45]何湘藩.关于“三力”建标法与最优评价指标体系[J].数量经济技术经济研究,1993(7):34-36.
    [46]王庆石.统计指标间信息重迭的消减办法[J].财经问题研究,1994,(1):124-130.
    [47]温素彬.经济增长综合评价指标体系的设置[J].江苏统计,1996,(8):114-115.
    [48]魏贤.企业信用等级综合评价方法及应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,1998,(2):34-36.
    [49]高长元,王宏起.高新技术产品评价系统研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,1999,(2):124-127.
    [40]金式容,叶民强.闽东南地区区域可持续发展评估研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究.1998,(5):65-68.
    [51]苏为华.统计权数理论[J].统计研究,1991,(3):84-86.
    [52]苏为华.统计指标理论与方法研究[M].中国物价出版社,1998年5月.
    [53]Azapagic, A. Developing Frame Work for Sustainable Development Indicators for the Mining and Minerals Industry [J]. Cleaner Prod,2004, (12):639-662.
    [54]Hilson, G., Murck, B.Sustainable Development in The Mining Industry:Clarifying the Corporate Perspective [J].Resources Policy,2000, (6):227-238.
    [55]Hilson, G. Putting Theory Into Practice:How Has the Gold Mining Industry Interpreted the Concept of Sustainable Development? [J]. Mineral Resources Engineering,2001,10(4): 397-413.
    [56]Hilson, G., Basu, A. J. Devising Indicators of Sustainable Development for the Mining and Minerals Industry:An Analysis Of Critical Background Issues [J]. The International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology,2003, (10):319-332.
    [57]王玉平,卜善祥.中国矿产资源经济承载力研究[J].煤炭经济研究,1998,(12):15-18.
    [58]汤万金,高林,李祥仪.矿区可持续发展指标体系与评价方法研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,1999,(12):114-119.
    [59]周晓山,吕欣,吕广忠.矿区资源可持续发展评价指标体系的构建[J].矿产综合利用,2006,(5):46-50.
    [60]汤万金.矿区可持续发展指标体系与评价方法研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,1999, (12):114-119.
    [61]汤万金.矿区可持续生态环境管理规划方法研究[J].世界标准化与质量管理,2003,(1):29-38.
    [62]余敬明著.矿产资源可持续力评估[M].北京:中国地质大学出版社,2003年10月.
    [63]骆正山.矿产资源可持续开发评价指标体系的研究[J].金属矿山,2005,346(4):1-3.
    [64]吴绍中.循环经济是经济发展的新增长点[J].社会科学,1998,(10):18-19.
    [65]张宏伟,杨凯,王震.城市包装废弃物减量化及回收体系构建的国际比较[J].世界地理研究,2002,(4):54-63.
    [66]宗利.当前国外包装资源回收利用的发展趋势[J].中国包装工业,1998(2):23-26.
    [67]王震,杨凯.包装废弃物的全过程减量化控制[J].环境导报,2000,(1):4-6.
    [68]任福兵,吴青芳,郭强.低碳社会的评价指标体系构建[J].科技与经济,2009,133(2):34-36.
    [69]刘嵘,徐征,李悦.低碳经济评价指标体系及实证研究——以河北省某县为例[J].经济论坛,2010,47(5):34-36.
    [70]宋光兴,杨德礼.基于决策者偏好及赋权法一致性的组合赋权[J].系统工程与电子技术,2004,(9):77-78.
    [71]Z.S.Xu, C.P.Wei. A Consistency Improving Method in the Analytic Hierarchy Process [J].Euro pean Journal of Operational Research,1999,(2):443-449.
    [72]Z.S.Xu.On Consistency Y of the Weighted Geometric Mean Complex Judgment Matrix in AHP [J].European Journal of Operational Research,2000,(3):683-687.
    [73]王应明,傅国伟.主成分分析在有限方案多目标决策中的应用[J].系统工程理论方法应用,1993,(2):43-48.
    [74]樊治平.多属性决策的一种新方法[J].系统工程,1994,(1):25-28.
    [75]樊治平,赵萱.多属性决策中权重确定的主客观赋权法[J].决策与决策支持系统,1997,(4):87-91.
    [76]王应明.离差平方和的多指标决策方法及其应用[J].中国软科学,2000,(3):110-113.
    [77]徐泽水,达庆利.多属性决策的组合赋权方法研究[J].中国管理科学,2002,(2):84-87.
    [78]周宇峰.魏法杰.基于相对熵的多属性决策组合赋权方法[J].运筹与管理,2006,(5):48-53.
    [79]Forrester, Jay W. Urban Dynamites [M].Cambridge. Mass:The MIT Press.1969.
    [80]Forrester J W. Industrial Dynamites [M].Cambridge. Mass The MIT Press,1961.
    [81]Sellge Peter M.The Fifth Discipline:The Art and Practice of Leaning organization [M]. Doubleday,1990.
    [82]Simon Kuznets. Modern Economic Growth:Rate. Structure and Spread[M].New Haven and London, Yale University Press,1980.
    [83]Wang G Fads. Theory and Application of System Dynamites [M]. Beijing:New Time Press.1987.
    [84]王其藩.高级系统动力学[M].北京:清华大学出版社,1995.
    [85]ForresterJ.W.System Dynamics, Systems Thinking and Soft OP[J].System Dynamics Review,1994,10(4):245-256.
    [86]Paieh M.Generic structure[J].System Dynamites Review,1985,1(2):126-132.
    [87]Bany Richmond. Systems Thinking—Let, s just on with it, Proceedings of the 1994.International System Dynamics Conference, Sterling, Scotland.
    [88]Googman M, Kleiner A.The Archetype family tree[A].In The fifth Discipline Field book[C].Senge P, Ross BJ, Smith BJ(Eds), Nicholas Bradley Publishing:London.
    [89]Senge Peter M.Th. Fifth Discipline Field book Strategies and Tools for Building a leaking Organization [M]. The Marsh Agency, England and the Spieler Agency, New York,1994.
    [90]Senge Peter M.The Leader, Newwork:Building Leaning Organization[J].Sloan Management Review,1990, (11):7-23.
    [91]Lane DC, Smart. Reinterpreting"Generic Structure":Evolution, Application and Limitations Ofa Concept[J].System Dynamics Review,1996,12(2):87-120.
    [92]Lane DC. Can We Have Confidence in Generic Structure? [A]In Proceedings of the 1996 Interactional System Dynamites Conference[C].System Dynamites Society.
    [93]Senge Peter M.The Fifth Discipline, The Art and Practice of leaving organization[M].Doubleday,1990.
    [94]Wolstenholme EF.System Enquiry-a System Dynamics Approach[M].Wiley:Chiehes er, 1990.
    [95]Wolstenholme EF. Towards a Core Set of System Archetypes in System Dynamies[C]. Proceedings of the 1993 International System Dynamics Conference, Cancun, Mexico.
    [96]Wolstenholme EF.Qualitative Vs. Quantitative System Dynamites:The Evolving Balances [J]. Journal of the Operational Research Society,1999,50:422-428.
    [97]Wolstenholme EF. Towards The Definition and Use of a Core Set of Archetypal Structures in System Dynamics[J].System Dynamics Review,2003,19(1):7-26.
    [98]Wolstenholme EF, Coyle RG.The Development of System Dynamics As a Methodology for System Description and Qualitative Analysis [J]. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 1983,34(2):569-581.
    [99]Sameer Kumar,Teruyuki Yamaoka.Systerm Dynamics Study of The Japanese Automotive Industry Closed Loop Supply Chain[J].Journal Manufacturing Technology management, 2007,18(2):115-138.
    [100]Dimitrios Vlachos, Patroklos Georgiadis.A System Dynamics Model for Dynamic Capacity Planning Of Remanufacturing Inclosed-Loop Supply Chains[J].Computers Operations Research,2007,34(2):367-394.
    [101]Wang, HW; Cai, LR; Zeng, W. Research On the Evolutionary Game of Environmental Pollution in System Dynamics Model [J].Journal of Experimental& Theoretical Artificial Intelligence,2011,23(1):39-50.
    [102]Folcik, VA; Broderick, G; Mohan, S, et al. Using An Agent-Based Model To Analyze The Dynamic Communication Network Of The Immune Response [J].Theoretical Biology and Medical Modeling,2011,8(1):223-235.
    [103]Ghotboddini, MM; Rabbani, M; Rahimian, H.A Comprehensive Dynamic Cell Formation Design:Benders'Decomposition Approach [J].Expert Systems with Applications,2011, 38(3):2478-2488.
    [104]Khajuria, H; Pistikopoulos, EN. Dynamic Modeling And Explicit/Multi-Parametric MPC Control Of Pressure Swing Adsorption Systems [J].Journal of Process Control,2011,21(1): 151-163.
    [105]Zhang, JF; Xia, XH. A model predictive approach to the periodic implementation of the solutions of the optimal dynamic resource allocation problem [J].Automatic,2011,47(2): 358-362.
    [106]Azman, K; Kocijan, J. Dynamical Systems Identification Using Gaussian Process Models with Incorporated Local Models [J].Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence,2011, 24(2):398-408.
    [107]贾仁安,胡玲,丁荣华等.系统动力学简化流率基本入树模型及应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,2001,21(10):137-144.
    [108]Jia Renan, Hu Ling.Future Analysis of Energy and Ecology System Feedback Structure in Village [A].China Joints WTO:The Impaction Chinese Enter Pries Management,2000.
    [109]向卓元,叶芬.基于系统动力学的区域信息化测度模型研究[J].软件导刊,2007,(11):82-84.
    [110]邱唯民,赖茂生.中国软件产业规模和软件人才趋势的系统动力学分析[J].情报科学,2007,(9):80-86.
    [111]刘涛.江苏省信息产业经济系统动态仿真研究[D].南京:江苏大学,2003.6.
    [112]杨波.软件产业发展研究及系统动力学仿真分析[D].南昌:南昌大学,2003.6.
    [113]陈甲斌.铅锌产业链结构状况及海外资源战略[J].地质学刊,2009,33(1):102-107.
    [114]Omwoma, Solomon; Lalah, Joseph O.; Ongeri, David M. K., et al. Impact of Fertilizers on Heavy Metal Loads in Surface Soils in Nzoia Nucleus Estate Sugarcane Farms in Western Kenya [J].Bulletin of Environmental Contamination and Toxicology,2010,85(6):602-608.
    [115]Turnau, Katarzyna; Ostachowicz, Beata; Wojtczak, Grzegorz, et al. Metal Uptake By Xerothermic Plants Introduced into Zn-Pb Industrial Wastes [J].Plant and Soil,2010, 337(1-2):299-311.
    [116]Gupta, R. K.; Bhanarkar, A. D.; Tamhane, S. M., et al. Assessment of In-Plant Particulate Matter and its Toxic Metals Contents of Sponge Iron Industry in Goa, India[J].Bulletin of Environmental Contamination and Toxicology,2010,85(6):614-618.
    [117]Matthews, S; James, B. Review Of Thermal Spray Coating Applications In The Steel Industry:Part 2-Zinc Pot Hardware In The Continuous Galvanizing Line [J]Journal Of Thermal Spray Technology,2010,19(6):1277-1286.
    [118]张正洁,李东红,许增贵.我国铅污染现状、原因及对策[J].环境保护科学,2005,31(130):41-47.
    [119]金士荣.铅锌产业链的现状与协调发展[J].中国金属通报,2008,(10):5-11.
    [120]马茁卉.我国铅锌资源现状及发展政策建议[J].西部资源发展,2008,(2):21-25.
    [121]胡德勇.金融危机下我国铅锌工业的结构调整[J].中国有色金属,2009,(14):36-39.
    [122]陈喜峰,彭润民.中国铅锌矿资源形势及可持续发展对策[J].有色金属,2008,60(3):129-132.
    [123]李四林,马瑶瑶.我国铅锌矿资源开发治理模式及政策研究——以陕西省卡子镇铅锌矿资源为例[J].安全与环境工程,2010,17(6):88-93.
    [124]张福良,胡郅虹,尹仲年.矿产资源开发整合理论和模式初探[J].金属矿业,2009,(9):51-53.
    [125]曾伏娥,严萍.“新竞争”环境下企业关系能力的决定与影响:组织间合作战略视角[J].中国工业经济,2010,(11):34-36.
    [126]周军,李健.组织间合作对企业竞争能力的影响研究[J].企业管理2008,(4):33-35.
    [126]冯君从.转型期的铅锌市场变化[J].资源再生,2010,26(2):24-25.
    [127]李四林,马瑶瑶.我国铅锌矿资源开发治理模式及政策研究——以陕西省卡子镇铅锌矿资源为例[J].安全与环境工程,2010,17(6):88-93.
    [128]张小国,牛秀林,孙降龙.河南省铅锌产业“十二五”发展战略调研[J].江西有色金属,2010,24(3-4):43-46.
    [129]胡德勇.金融危机下我国铅锌工业的结构调整[J].中国有色金属,2009,(14):36-39.
    [130]曹异生.国际锌工业进展及前景[J].中国金属通报,2009,(21):34-37.
    [131]张福良,胡郅虹,尹仲年.矿产资源开发整合理论和模式初探[J].金属矿业,2009,(9):51-53.
    [132][美]威廉·N·邓恩.公共政策分析导论(第2版)[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2002:78-104.
    [134]卢山冰,黄孟芳.低碳产业政策工具的理论基础[N].光明日报,2010-04-20.
    [135]查尔斯.C.波里尔,迈克尔.鲍尔.电子供应链管理[M].机械工业出版社,2002.
    [136]Adrian J. Slywotzky, David J. Morrison, Bob Andelman.The Profit Zone:How Strategic Business Design Will Lead You to Tomorrow's Profits [M]. Crown Business,1st Edition, December 29,1997.
    [137]Applegate, L·M. Overview of e-Business models [M]. Boston:Harvard Business School Press,2000.
    [138]琳达·S·桑福德,戴夫·泰勒著.刘曦译.开放性成长——商业大趋势:从价值链到价值网络[M].北京:东方出版社,2008年.
    [139]Kathand Aramanp, Wilsond T. The Future Of Competition:Value-Creating Networks [J]. Industrial Marketing Management,2001,(3):379-389.
    [140]Bing-Sheng Teng.Advantage of Strategic Alliances:Value Net [J] Journal of General Management 2003,29(2):1-21.
    [141]Kristian Moller Arto Rajala.Rise Of Strategic Nets — New Modes of Value Creation [J].Industrial Marketing Management 2007,36(3):895-908.
    [142]Bovet, D, and Marha, J. Value Nets:Reinventing the Rusty Supply Chain for Competitive Advantage[J].Strategy& Leadership,2000,28(4):57-77.
    [143]Michael Ehret. Managing the Trade-off between Relationships and Value Networks:Towards a Value-based Approach of Customer Relationship Management in Business-to-Business Markets[J].Industrial Marketing Management,2004,33 (6):465-473.
    [145]李垣,刘益.基于价值创造的价值网络管理(Ⅰ):特点与形成[J].管理工程学报,2001,(4):55-58.
    [146]胡大立.基于价值网模型的企业竞争战略研究[J].中国工业经济,2006,(9):74-78.
    [147]徐玲,刘艳萍.价值网与传统业务模式的比较分析及启示[J].武汉科技大学学报(社会科学版)2005,(03):34-38.
    [148]周煊.企业价值网络竞争优势研究[J].中国工业经济,2005,(5):24-26.
    [149]欧阳双喜,王世豪.企业价值网络运行机制实证研究[J].价值工程,2008,(01):63-64.
    [150]江积海,龙勇.基于模块化和动态能力的价值网结网机理研究[J].科技管理研究,2009,(01):54-56.
    [151]卜华白.网络交易环境下企业价值链运营模式的局限与改造----一种基于价值网的分析视角[J].珞珈管理评论,2009,(02):111-125.
    [152]姜奇平.从价值链到价值网络—兼论企业的消亡[J].互联网周刊,2009,(3):34-35.
    [153]Jarillo. On Strategic Networks [J]. Strategic Management Journal,1988,(9):235-245.
    [154]J.C.Jarillo. Strategic Networks:Creating the Borderless Organization[M]. Oxford: Butterworth Heineman.1993.
    [155]Borch,Arthur. Strategic Networks among Small Firms:Implications for Strategy Research Methodology[J] Journal of Management Studies,1995, (32):135-142.
    [156]Robin Cowan,Nicolas Jonard. Structural Holes, Innovation and the Distribution Of Ideas[J]. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination,2007,2(2):311-318.
    [157]Robin Cowan, Boschmma, Anne L J.Terwal. Knowledge Networks and Innovative Performance in an Industrial District:The Cast of a Footwear District in South of Italy[J].Industry&Innovation,2007,14 (2):177-199.
    [158]Boris M.Levin. Strategic Networks:the Emerging Business Organization and Its Impact on Production Cost[J].International Journal of Production Economics,1998, (56).
    [159]Joakim Wincent. How Do Firms in Strategic SME Networks Build Competitiveness [J] Journal of Enterprising Culture,2005, Vol:13 (Issue:4):Page 383-408.
    [160]F JRichter. The Strategic Networks:the Art of Interfirm Cooperation in Japan[M].International Business Press,2000.
    [161]Jones, C.,Hesterly, W.,Borgratti, S. A general Theory of Network Governance:Exchange Conditions and Social Mechanisms. Journal of Academy of Management,1997,12(6):7-21.
    [162]Gulati R. Network Location And Learning:The Influence of Network Resources and Firm Capabilities on Alliance Formation [J].Strategic Management Journal,1999,20(5):397-420.
    [163]李新春.企业战略网络的生存发展与市场转型[J].经济研究,1998,(4):34-42.
    [164]谢洪明,刘钢庭,蓝海林.战略网络连接关系的特性[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2003(4):35-41.
    [165]吴荣庆.中国铅锌矿产资源勘查开发取得新进展[J].中国金属通报,2008,2(5):76-78.
    [166]金士荣.2007年中国铅锌行业大企业概况[J]中国金属通报,2008,(34):55-58.
    [167]王小溪.2009年国内外主要铅锌企业经营状况概览[J]中国金属通报,2010,(13):54-56.
    [168]王顺昌.2009年全球锌生产格局[J].世界有色金属,2010,(02):113-115.
    [169]程静,郑定成,吴继权.基于时间序列ARMA模型的广东省能源需求预测[J].能源工程,2010,(1):1-5.
    [170]张丽.天津市人均GDP时间序列模型及预测[J].北方经济,2007,(6):46-48.
    [171]张琳.中国再生铅产业格局生变[J].资源再生,2008,(2):34-36.
    [172]翟昕.制约再生铅行业健康发展的七大问题[J].中国有色金属,:2006,(12):77-80.
    [173]龙少海.中国再生资源回收及再生铅行业发展概况[J].新材料产业,2007,(02):55-58.
    [174]张希忠.中国再生铅工业发展现状及展望[J].资源再生,2008,(11):44-46.
    [175]杨春明,马永刚.中国再生铅产业可持续发展的必然选择[J].有色金属再生与利用, 2005,(3):31-33.
    [176]王树谷,杨建潇.中国再生铅企业既要规模更要规范[J].资源再生,2008,(9):78-80.
    [177]张邦安.中国再生铅生产及与国外的差距[J].中国资源综合利用,2003,(08):55-57.
    []78]何蔼平,郭森魁,郭迅.再生铅生产[J].上海有色金属,2003,(01):33-35.
    [179]Glenn Shafer. A mathematical Theory of Evidence [M].Princeton NJ:Princeton University Press,1976.
    [180]Stra T M. Decision Making Using Belief Function [J].International Journal of Approx. Reason,2009,4(5/6):391-417.
    [181]Beynon M J,Curry B,Morgan P H. The Dumpster-Shafer Theory of Evidence:An Alternative Approach to Multi-criteria Decision Modeling [J].Omega,2009,(1):37-50.
    [182]Malcolm Beyond. DS/AHP Method:A Mathematical Analysis, Including an Understanding of Uncertainty European [J]. Journal of Operational Research 2008,140(6):148-164.
    [183]Smets P. The Combination of Evidence in the Transferable Belief Model[C].IEEE Patten Analysis and Machine Intelligence.2009,12(5):123-128.
    [184]王艳廷,金浩,高素英.基于证据理论的企业管理水平综合评估方法[J].河北工业大学学报,2007,(4):61-66.
    [185]梁昌勇,陈增明,丁勇.基于DS/AHP的供应商选择方法[J].运筹与管理,2005,14(6):33-38.
    [186]刘海燕,赵宗贵,刘熹等.一种应用于数据融合的不确定性推理方法[J].军事运筹与系统工程,2005.19(4):3-7.
    [187]邬永革.基于证据理论的数据融合研究[D].博士学位论文,南京理工大学,1992.
    [188]罗志增,叶明.用证据理论实现相关信息的融合[J].电子与信息学报,2007,23(10)970-974.
    [189]张兰霞,王俊,张燕,吴小康.基于BP网络的人力资源管理风险预警模型[J].南开管理评论,2007,(6):45-51.
    [190]王海燕,刘鲁,刘玲.基于GRA和PCA的BP神经网络应用研究[J].管理评论,2007,(10):35-40.
    [191]张兰霞,周蓉姿,王俊.基于BP网络的企业营销风险预警模型[J].管理评论,2004,(7):40-45.
    [192]刘友金,徐江容.基于BP网络的企业技术创新效果评价模型[J].科学学研究,2001,(01):56-61.
    [193]张方华.知识型企业的社会资本与知识获取关系研究——基于BP神经网络模型的实证分析[J].科学学研究,2006,(01):41-46.
    [194]郭岚,张祥建.基于BP神经网络的企业核心竞争力评价[J].科学学研究,2007,(01):28-33.
    [195]张旭.基于BP神经网络的清洁生产评价模型研究[D].重庆:重庆大学,2009年
    [196]王莲芬、许树柏.层次分析法[M].中国人民大学出版社,1989,(4):34-36.
    [197]梁基超,汤睿,刘兴华.信息 熵赋权法在汽车销售服务质量评价中的应用研究[J].东华大学学报(社会科学版),2010,10(3):26-38.
    [198]Lee,J. W.,Kim,S. H. Using Analytic Network Process and Goal Programming for Interdependent Information System Project Selection[J]. Computers& Operations Research,2000,27(1):367—382.
    [199]Saaty,T. L. The Analytic Network Process:Decision Making with Dependence and Feedback[M]. Pitts—urgh, PA:RWS Publications,2001,(6):84-136.
    [200]Saaty, T. L. Decision Making The Analytic Hierarchy and Net—work Processes(AHP/ ANP)[J]. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering,2004,13(1):1-35.
    [201]Lee,J. W.,Kim,S. H. Using Analytic Network Process and Goal Programming for Interdependent Information System Project Selection[J]. Computers& Operations Research,2000,27(1):367—382.
    [202]Angela Yochem,David Carlson,Tad Stephens.J2EE Applications and BEA Web logic Server[M].北京:电子工业出版社,2005年.
    [203]丁于思.湖南主体功能区建设研究[D].中南大学博士论文,2010年.
    [204]贾仁安,丁荣华.系统动力学---反馈动态性复杂分析[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2002.
    [205]Haken H. Synergetics [M]. Berlin:Springer,1978.
    [206]T. D. Frank · McMichael brink · H.Beckmann-W. I.Schollhorn.A Quantitative Dynamical Systems Approach to Differential Learning:Self-Organization Principle and Order Parameter Equations [J].Biol Cybern,2008,9(8):19-31.
    [207]Cutter, S. L. Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards [J]. Progress in Human Geography, 1996,24(4):529-539.
    [208]Cutter, S. L. Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards [J]. Progress in Human Geography, 1996,24(4):529-539.
    [209]Kates, R. W. Climate Impact Assessment [M]. New York:Wiley,1985.
    [210]Turner, B. L., R. E. Kasperson, R. A. Matson, eta. A Framework for Vulnerability Analysis in Sustainability Science [A].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences [C]. 2003,10(14):8074-8079.
    [211]Pidgeon, N.The Limits to Safety? Culture Politics Learning and Man-made Disasters [J]Journal Contingencies and Crisis Management,1997,3(5):1-14.
    [212]Rudolph, Jenny W. and Repining, Nelson P. Disaster Dynamics:Understanding the Role of Quantity in Organizational Collapse [J]. Administrative Science Quarterly,2002,5(8):1-30.
    [213]池信云.国有企业职代会制度脆弱性探因及对策[J].中国职工教育,2006,(12):48-49.
    [214]张宏亮,李鹏.PFI项目特点对项目风险事件和脆弱性的影响[J].管理工程学报,2007,(1):102-109.
    [215]仲世鑫,王登科,吴星霈.中国铅锌矿资源现状和矿业可持续发展的建议[J].科技风,2009,(10):111-114.
    [216]蒋继穆.中国铅锌冶炼现状与持续发展[J].中国有色金属学报,2004,(1):74-76.
    [217]马茁卉.中国铅锌资源现状及发展政策建议[J].西部资源,2008,(02):87-90.
    [218]黄仲权.中国铅锌工业发展的现状与对策建议[J].世界有色金属,2004,(8):55-57.
    [219]麻国华.试论发展湖南铅锌工业的若干问题[J].湖南有色金属,1996,(02):32-33.
    [220]谢焱石,谭凯旋.水口山铅锌金多金属矿田元素分布的分形特征[J].东华理工大学学报(自然科学版),2008,(1):65-68.
    [221]谭建湘,宛克勇.湖南水口山铅锌金银矿床地球化学特征[J].矿产与地质,2008,(02):63-66.
    [222]邓鑫.奏响创效主旋律——水口山有色金属集团公司经营工作纪实[J].中国有色金属,2009,(8):55-58.
    [223]湖南水口山有色金属有限责任公司[J].湘潮,2007,(1):131-133.

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700