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工程总承包模式下的风险分担理论与实证研究
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摘要
工程总承包模式以其有效地缩短建设周期、降低工程造价、减少项目纠纷等优势而逐渐被国际工程建设领域所采用,并呈现快速增长的发展趋势。在工程总承包模式的应用过程中,业主与总承包商之间不能合理分担风险,是阻碍总承包项目资源优化甚至导致项目失败的重要原因。
     本论文的研究目的是从项目整体绩效的角度,以风险管理理论和经济学理论为基础,结合工程总承包模式的主客体属性,建立一个合理的风险分担理论模型,以降低总承包项目的交易成本,避免或减少项目参与方的道德风险,为我国编制工程总承包合同范本提供理论参考。
     本论文研究首先对工程项目风险管理理论和经济学领域的契约理论进行了分析,并选用契约理论中适合本论文研究的两个重要分支作为本论文研究的理论基础。其后,分别就工程总承包模式的客体属性(特征、项目环境、合同关系、合同类型)和主体属性(项目主体的风险态度)进行研究,建立工程项目的风险因素分类框架,并以风险理论和契约理论为基础,分析总承包模式下风险分担的基本原则。在此基础上建立工程总承包模式下风险分担的理论模型,并结合国际咨询工程师联合会出版的生产设备和设计-施工合同条件,以及我国石油建设领域的一个大型总承包项目对上述理论模型进行了实证分析。
The Design-Build and EPC/Turnkey prevail in the construction industry around the world for shorter period, lower construction cost and less disputes. The improper risk allocation between the client and the general contractor in Design-Build and EPC/Turnkey projects is the important reason for poor project resource optimization, even project failure.
     Based on risk management theory and economics theory, this thesis aims to propose a proper risk allocation model from the perspective of the overall project performance.
     First the basic theories were analyzed, which are the project risk management theory and contract theory in economics. The two important branches from the contract theory were selected. Then the objective attributes (characteristics, project context, contract relations, and contract types) and subjective attributes (project stakeholders’attitude against the risk) of Design-Build and EPC/Turnkey projects were studied and the risk factors classification framework was established. With this framework, risk allocation principles in Design-Build and EPC/Turnkey projects are analyzed based on risk and contract theory. Then the theoretical model of risk allocation in Design-Build and EPC/Turnkey projects is put forward. With the reference of Conditions of Contract for Plant and Design-Build issued by FIDIC and a large Design-Build petroleum project, the model is analyzed.
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