基于科学发展的副省级城市人的全面发展评价模型研究
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摘要
深化对科学发展观基本内涵和精神实质的认识,全面贯彻和落实科学发展观的综合评价体系,其中一个重要方面就是建立符合科学发展观要求的人的全面发展综合评价体系。“以人为本”是科学发展观的核心,人的全面发展是科学发展观的最高标准。把人民的根本利益作为科学发展的根本的出发点和归宿,使人口增长与经济发展、资源环境相协调,在人口、资源与经济社会的协调中可持续地发展。从而实现我国社会主义社会科学发展的最终目标,即实现人的全面发展。
本论文共分五章。第一章绪论。第二章构建了基于科学发展观的人的全面发展评价指标体系。第三章是基于赋权方法筛选的人的全面发展评价模型的建立。第四章是对中国典型的10个副省级城市的人的全面发展的实证研究并提出了政策性建议。第五章是结论。
本论文的主要工作如下:
(1)人的全面发展评价指标体系的构建。根据科学发展观的内涵,以国内外权威机构和在学术文献中整理得出的经典、高频指标为基础,通过设置经济发展环境、社会发展环境、生活质量和人口素质四个准则层并收集14个指标构建了反映人与人和谐、人与社会和谐、人与自然和谐的基于科学发展观的人的全面发展评价指标体系。通过收集国民幸福指数、平均受教育年限等指标贯彻人与人和谐原则;通过收集人均GDP、社会保障覆盖率等指标贯彻人与社会和谐原则;通过收集人均绿地面积等指标贯彻人与自然和谐原则。
(2)基于赋权方法筛选的人的全面发展评价模型的建立。通过模糊聚类分析,对不同赋权方法的权重进行聚类,选取适当的临界点将不适合本文研究对象的赋权方法删除,从而实现了对赋权方法的筛选。在经过筛选后的赋权方法的基础上,以组合权重与各单一权重的相关系数最大为目标函数确定最优的组合权重,最终实现了基于赋权方法筛选的人的全面发展评价模型的建立。
(3)对中国副省级城市的人的全面发展评价。通过对中国10个典型的副省级城市人的全面发展进行评价,并且将10个副省级城市进行聚类分析,找到影响中国副省级城市的主要因素,并针对这些因素在发展中的优势和不足提出政策建议。客观的反映了各城市人的全面发展水平,揭示了各城市人的全面发展现状,有助于各级政府有针对性地制定政策措施和人的全面发展战略规划。
Deepen the understanding of basic content and the spiritual essence of scientific outlook on develo ~2pment; apply the comprehensive assessment system of scientific outlook on development. The important aspect is to establish the Human Ail-Round Development comprehensive assessment system that accords scientific outlook on development. The human-oriented is core of scientific outlook on development. The Human All-Round Development is the highest standard. Consider the fundamental interests of the people as the Starting point and destination; make population growth and economic development, resources and the environment in harmony, make sure that will develop sustainably within the harmony of population、resources、economic and social. So that achieves the ultimate goal of the scientific development of socialism, which is the Human Ail-Round Development.
The paper is divided into five chapters. The first chapter is the introduction. The second chapter expounds the construction of the index system of Human All-Round Development evaluation based on the scientific outlook on development. The third chapter is about the Human All-Round Development of evaluation model which based on weights method for screening. The forth chapter discusses empirical research on the Human All-Round Development of 10 sub-provincial cities of China, and proposes these policy recommendations. In the fifth chapter comes the conclusion.
The major work of this paper is as follows:
(1)This paper constructs the Human All-Round Development evaluation index system. According to the connotation of scientific outlook on development, based on the classic、high frequency which have occurred in the typical documents from the international authorities, by setting four layer guidelines of environment for economic development、environment for social development、the quality of life and quality of the population, we can collect 14 index to establish the Human All-Round Development evaluation index system that accords scientific outlook on development which reflect the principle of the harmony between people、the harmony between people and society、harmony between man and nature. Through collecting Gross National Happiness Index、years of education to execute the principle of the harmony between people; Through collecting the per capita GDP、social security coverage to execute the principle of the harmony between people and society; Through collecting per capita green area and other index to execute the principle of the harmony between man and nature.
(2)The Human All-Round Development of evaluation model which based on weights method for screening. Through fuzzy clustering analysis, cluster weight of different weighting methods, choose critical point is not suitable for deleting the weighting methods of the subjects, then we can filter weights method. According to the filtered Weighting Method, determine an optimal combined weight by maximizing correlation between combined weights and every single weight. The Human All-Round Development of evaluation model which based on weights method for screening is finally established.
(3)Human All-Round Development of Sub-provinces is evaluated. The Human All-Round Development of 10 sub-provincial cities of China is evaluated, put 10 sub-provincial cities in cluster analysis. Finally to find out the key factor that affects sub-provincial cities of China. Propose the policy recommendations according to the strengths and weaknesses of the key factor. This paper reflects the Human All-Round Development levels in different cities, and reveals development status. It is helpful for government at all levels to set out policies and measures and strategic plan of the Human All-Round Development.
本论文共分五章。第一章绪论。第二章构建了基于科学发展观的人的全面发展评价指标体系。第三章是基于赋权方法筛选的人的全面发展评价模型的建立。第四章是对中国典型的10个副省级城市的人的全面发展的实证研究并提出了政策性建议。第五章是结论。
本论文的主要工作如下:
(1)人的全面发展评价指标体系的构建。根据科学发展观的内涵,以国内外权威机构和在学术文献中整理得出的经典、高频指标为基础,通过设置经济发展环境、社会发展环境、生活质量和人口素质四个准则层并收集14个指标构建了反映人与人和谐、人与社会和谐、人与自然和谐的基于科学发展观的人的全面发展评价指标体系。通过收集国民幸福指数、平均受教育年限等指标贯彻人与人和谐原则;通过收集人均GDP、社会保障覆盖率等指标贯彻人与社会和谐原则;通过收集人均绿地面积等指标贯彻人与自然和谐原则。
(2)基于赋权方法筛选的人的全面发展评价模型的建立。通过模糊聚类分析,对不同赋权方法的权重进行聚类,选取适当的临界点将不适合本文研究对象的赋权方法删除,从而实现了对赋权方法的筛选。在经过筛选后的赋权方法的基础上,以组合权重与各单一权重的相关系数最大为目标函数确定最优的组合权重,最终实现了基于赋权方法筛选的人的全面发展评价模型的建立。
(3)对中国副省级城市的人的全面发展评价。通过对中国10个典型的副省级城市人的全面发展进行评价,并且将10个副省级城市进行聚类分析,找到影响中国副省级城市的主要因素,并针对这些因素在发展中的优势和不足提出政策建议。客观的反映了各城市人的全面发展水平,揭示了各城市人的全面发展现状,有助于各级政府有针对性地制定政策措施和人的全面发展战略规划。
Deepen the understanding of basic content and the spiritual essence of scientific outlook on develo ~2pment; apply the comprehensive assessment system of scientific outlook on development. The important aspect is to establish the Human Ail-Round Development comprehensive assessment system that accords scientific outlook on development. The human-oriented is core of scientific outlook on development. The Human All-Round Development is the highest standard. Consider the fundamental interests of the people as the Starting point and destination; make population growth and economic development, resources and the environment in harmony, make sure that will develop sustainably within the harmony of population、resources、economic and social. So that achieves the ultimate goal of the scientific development of socialism, which is the Human Ail-Round Development.
The paper is divided into five chapters. The first chapter is the introduction. The second chapter expounds the construction of the index system of Human All-Round Development evaluation based on the scientific outlook on development. The third chapter is about the Human All-Round Development of evaluation model which based on weights method for screening. The forth chapter discusses empirical research on the Human All-Round Development of 10 sub-provincial cities of China, and proposes these policy recommendations. In the fifth chapter comes the conclusion.
The major work of this paper is as follows:
(1)This paper constructs the Human All-Round Development evaluation index system. According to the connotation of scientific outlook on development, based on the classic、high frequency which have occurred in the typical documents from the international authorities, by setting four layer guidelines of environment for economic development、environment for social development、the quality of life and quality of the population, we can collect 14 index to establish the Human All-Round Development evaluation index system that accords scientific outlook on development which reflect the principle of the harmony between people、the harmony between people and society、harmony between man and nature. Through collecting Gross National Happiness Index、years of education to execute the principle of the harmony between people; Through collecting the per capita GDP、social security coverage to execute the principle of the harmony between people and society; Through collecting per capita green area and other index to execute the principle of the harmony between man and nature.
(2)The Human All-Round Development of evaluation model which based on weights method for screening. Through fuzzy clustering analysis, cluster weight of different weighting methods, choose critical point is not suitable for deleting the weighting methods of the subjects, then we can filter weights method. According to the filtered Weighting Method, determine an optimal combined weight by maximizing correlation between combined weights and every single weight. The Human All-Round Development of evaluation model which based on weights method for screening is finally established.
(3)Human All-Round Development of Sub-provinces is evaluated. The Human All-Round Development of 10 sub-provincial cities of China is evaluated, put 10 sub-provincial cities in cluster analysis. Finally to find out the key factor that affects sub-provincial cities of China. Propose the policy recommendations according to the strengths and weaknesses of the key factor. This paper reflects the Human All-Round Development levels in different cities, and reveals development status. It is helpful for government at all levels to set out policies and measures and strategic plan of the Human All-Round Development.
引文
[1]胡锦涛.中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十一个五年规划的建议.2005.10.
[2]胡锦涛.中共中央关于完善社会主义市场经济体制若干问题的决定.2003.10.
[3]《科学发展观重要论述摘编》.北京:中央文献出版社,党建读物出版社.2008,22-24.
[4]胡锦涛.高举中国特色社会主义伟大旗帜 为夺取全面建设小康社会新胜利而奋斗.2007.10.
[5]United Nations Development Programme(UNDP).Human Development Reports[R].New York:Oxford University press,2002:141-162.
[6]World Bank.Living Standards Measurement Study of the Word Bank[M].Washington:World Bankpress,1980:271-305.
[7]Berger-Schmitt.Conceptual Framework and Structure of an European System of Social Indicators[J].European Reporting Working Paper No.9.Social Indicators Department,2000.
[8]李培林,朱庆芳.课题简介:《中国小康社会指标体系研》[N/OL].经济参考报,2005.10.08.[2008.03.20].http://202.84.17.25/www/Article/200510810425-1.shtml
[9]Mazumdar,K.Measuring the Well-being of the Developing Countries:Achievement and Improvement Indices[J].Social Indicator Research,1999(47):1-60.
[10]Morris,D.Measuring the Conditions of the World's Poor:The Physical Quality of life Index.Elmsford[M].Pergamon Press,1979.
[11]Estes,R.J.The Social Progress of Nations[M].N.Y.:Praeger,1984.
[12]Neumayer,E.The ISEW-Not an Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare[J].Social Indicator,1999,(48):77-101.
[13]曹玉书.我国小康社会的定性定量分析[N].经济日报,2002.12.23(TOO).
[14]涝向超,谭克俭.与全面小康指标相适应的人口发展指标体系研究--以山西为例[J].经济问题,2007,(6):127-129.
[15]陈仲常,张翠娇,章翔.中国人口发展检测评价模型研究--基于全国31个省份人口发展的实证分析[J].中国人口科学,2007,(5):72-96.
[16]屈云龙,许燕.江苏省人口素质评价指标体系的构建及实际测度[J].西安社会科学,2009,27(3):81-91.
[17]陈伟,夏建华.综合主、客观权重信息的最优组合赋权方法[J].数学的实践与认识,2007,37(1):17-22.
[18]朱庆芳,吴寒光.社会指标体系[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,2003:144-146.
[19]郭亚军.综合评价理论、方法及应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2007:82-83.
[20]陈艳,单红梅,周毅.城市可持续发展指标体系的构建及综合评价[J].江苏大学学报,2005,7(2):89-92.
[21]涂姗,李江风.土地利用总体规划实施评价方法研究--以桂林市资源县为例[J].国土资源科技管理,2006,23(1):55-59.
[22]范柏乃,单世涛,陆长生.城市技术创新能力评价指标筛选方法研究[J].科学学研究,2002,20(6):663-668.
[23]Saaty T.L.A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures[J].Journal of Mathematical Psychology,1977.6,15(3):234-281.
[24]刘建翠.全面小康社会的综合评价与国际比较[J].中国青年科技,2005,(1):48-52.
[25]刘亚臣,常春光.基于层次分析法的城镇化水平模糊综合评价[J].沈阳建筑大学学报,2008,24(1):132-136.
[26]赵光华,丁艳萍.基于AHP的区域经济差异评价方法研究[J].集团经济研究,2006,(12):136-137.
[27]杜心灵,赵彦云.小康社会的指标体系与综合评价[J].统计与决策,2007,(12):61-64.
[28]朱顺全.我国城镇居民小康水平评价研究[J].山西财经大学学报,2004,26(3):35-37.
[29]闫文周.小康社会统计与评价指标研究[J].统计与决策,2005,(7):28-29.
[30]杨宇.多指标综合评价中赋权方法评析[J],统计与决策.2006,(7):17-19.
[31]余建星,谭振东.基于组合赋权及TOPSIS的绩效定量[J].评价研究系统工程理论与实践,2005,(11):46-50.
[32]纪崑,曾五一.多目标多层次模型优选综合评价法的应用研究[J].山西财经大学学报,2006,28(5):23-26.
[33]黄显霞,王润华,周燕荣,钟晓妮.组合赋权法在居民健康状况综合评价中的应用[J].数理医药学杂志,2006,19(4):402-405.
[34]张国权,李文立,王明征.基于离差函数和联合熵的组合赋权方法[J].管理学报,2008,3(5):376-380.
[35]Silber,J.Factor components,population subgroups,and the computation of the Gini index of inequality[J],Review of Economics and Statistics,1989,(71):107-115.
[36]程国栋,徐中民.建立中国国民幸福生活核算体系的构想[J].地理学报,2005,(6):883-893.
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[44]余锦华,杨维权.多元统计分析与应用[M].广州,中山大学出版社,2006:176-177.
[2]胡锦涛.中共中央关于完善社会主义市场经济体制若干问题的决定.2003.10.
[3]《科学发展观重要论述摘编》.北京:中央文献出版社,党建读物出版社.2008,22-24.
[4]胡锦涛.高举中国特色社会主义伟大旗帜 为夺取全面建设小康社会新胜利而奋斗.2007.10.
[5]United Nations Development Programme(UNDP).Human Development Reports[R].New York:Oxford University press,2002:141-162.
[6]World Bank.Living Standards Measurement Study of the Word Bank[M].Washington:World Bankpress,1980:271-305.
[7]Berger-Schmitt.Conceptual Framework and Structure of an European System of Social Indicators[J].European Reporting Working Paper No.9.Social Indicators Department,2000.
[8]李培林,朱庆芳.课题简介:《中国小康社会指标体系研》[N/OL].经济参考报,2005.10.08.[2008.03.20].http://202.84.17.25/www/Article/200510810425-1.shtml
[9]Mazumdar,K.Measuring the Well-being of the Developing Countries:Achievement and Improvement Indices[J].Social Indicator Research,1999(47):1-60.
[10]Morris,D.Measuring the Conditions of the World's Poor:The Physical Quality of life Index.Elmsford[M].Pergamon Press,1979.
[11]Estes,R.J.The Social Progress of Nations[M].N.Y.:Praeger,1984.
[12]Neumayer,E.The ISEW-Not an Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare[J].Social Indicator,1999,(48):77-101.
[13]曹玉书.我国小康社会的定性定量分析[N].经济日报,2002.12.23(TOO).
[14]涝向超,谭克俭.与全面小康指标相适应的人口发展指标体系研究--以山西为例[J].经济问题,2007,(6):127-129.
[15]陈仲常,张翠娇,章翔.中国人口发展检测评价模型研究--基于全国31个省份人口发展的实证分析[J].中国人口科学,2007,(5):72-96.
[16]屈云龙,许燕.江苏省人口素质评价指标体系的构建及实际测度[J].西安社会科学,2009,27(3):81-91.
[17]陈伟,夏建华.综合主、客观权重信息的最优组合赋权方法[J].数学的实践与认识,2007,37(1):17-22.
[18]朱庆芳,吴寒光.社会指标体系[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,2003:144-146.
[19]郭亚军.综合评价理论、方法及应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2007:82-83.
[20]陈艳,单红梅,周毅.城市可持续发展指标体系的构建及综合评价[J].江苏大学学报,2005,7(2):89-92.
[21]涂姗,李江风.土地利用总体规划实施评价方法研究--以桂林市资源县为例[J].国土资源科技管理,2006,23(1):55-59.
[22]范柏乃,单世涛,陆长生.城市技术创新能力评价指标筛选方法研究[J].科学学研究,2002,20(6):663-668.
[23]Saaty T.L.A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures[J].Journal of Mathematical Psychology,1977.6,15(3):234-281.
[24]刘建翠.全面小康社会的综合评价与国际比较[J].中国青年科技,2005,(1):48-52.
[25]刘亚臣,常春光.基于层次分析法的城镇化水平模糊综合评价[J].沈阳建筑大学学报,2008,24(1):132-136.
[26]赵光华,丁艳萍.基于AHP的区域经济差异评价方法研究[J].集团经济研究,2006,(12):136-137.
[27]杜心灵,赵彦云.小康社会的指标体系与综合评价[J].统计与决策,2007,(12):61-64.
[28]朱顺全.我国城镇居民小康水平评价研究[J].山西财经大学学报,2004,26(3):35-37.
[29]闫文周.小康社会统计与评价指标研究[J].统计与决策,2005,(7):28-29.
[30]杨宇.多指标综合评价中赋权方法评析[J],统计与决策.2006,(7):17-19.
[31]余建星,谭振东.基于组合赋权及TOPSIS的绩效定量[J].评价研究系统工程理论与实践,2005,(11):46-50.
[32]纪崑,曾五一.多目标多层次模型优选综合评价法的应用研究[J].山西财经大学学报,2006,28(5):23-26.
[33]黄显霞,王润华,周燕荣,钟晓妮.组合赋权法在居民健康状况综合评价中的应用[J].数理医药学杂志,2006,19(4):402-405.
[34]张国权,李文立,王明征.基于离差函数和联合熵的组合赋权方法[J].管理学报,2008,3(5):376-380.
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