干线公路建设与城市承载力关联度研究
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摘要
自改革开放以来,我国经济社会快速发展,综合实力不断提升,与此同时,城市建设也步入了新的发展阶段,发展规模不断扩大,人口大量向城市聚集.在城市的扩大化过程中对资源的需求量也日益增加,尽管各项资源的投入力度不断加大,但仍不能满足日益增长的需求。随着城市的进一步发展,如何高效利用有限的资源提高城市的可持续发展能力便成了新的难题。城市承载力与交通基础设施的建设存在密切联系,从可持续发展的角度考虑,研究南京市的城市承载力的问题,对于促进南京市产业布局合理化,加快南京跨越式发展具有重要的现实意义。
本文主要以系统工程理论、效益分析理论、社会影响评价理论为科学依据和指导,在介绍城市承载力具体概念、理论和评价方法的基础上,分析城市承载力指标体系,在此基础上,阐述城市承载力提升的主要策略,并分析干线公路建设对城市承载力提升的重要作用,利用干线公路建设、社会经济效益及城市承载力三者之间的关联,采用系统动力学方法对干线公路建设与经济社会效益建立具体模型,并对城市承载力相关指标进行分析和测算；然后通过对南京市干线公路发展现状及其相关的路网规划进行分析,并结合相关系统动力学模型对南京市干线路网进行评价分析,得出南京干线公路建设对提升南京城市承载力的重要意义；最后,根据城市发展形态与经济社会发展过程中,干线公路规划需要关注的主要问题提出相关的建议与对策。
本研究有利于完善我国城市承载力提升方面的内容,通过干线公路网建设刺激经济社会发展,从而提高城市环境经济承载力；通过本论文发现在提升城市承载力过程中仍需要考虑的评价因素,为改进和完善我国干线公路建设与提升南京城市承载力奠定基础。此外,通过本研究,对今后南京干线公路建设与城市发展具有较强的指导作用。
Since the opening of the ear of China's marketing economy, domestic economy has been growing so fast and upgrading the comprehensive national power. Meanwhile, with the scale extending and more population gathering into cities, urban growth has come into a complete new ear of more consumption of natural and social resources. Due to growing demand, it is still not enough quantity of resources inputs. Based on research on relationship between the urban carrying capacity and infrastructure, effectively use of resources for urban sustainable development may be some sort of approach to make the Nanjing city growing more reasonable and sustainable.
With the principles of system engineering, beneficial analysis and social impact assessment, based on the correlation between local arterial highway and urban carrying capacity, this research takes such study approaches:first, building up the basic concept for this research; second, building up mathematics model in theory as the fundamental for next step; then, with the current study on Nanjing highway network, adopting some useful indices, putting them into the model to generate results for detailed analysis and correlation among urban carrying capacity, social benefit and highway network building; finally, some suggestions come up with some urban development dilemma.
This study is aiming for improving urban carrying study and upgrading it by local arterial highway construction. Due to some sort of adoption in the assessment progress, this study may be another starting point for further research. And further more, this paper could guild Nanjing city development in some kind of aspect.
本文主要以系统工程理论、效益分析理论、社会影响评价理论为科学依据和指导,在介绍城市承载力具体概念、理论和评价方法的基础上,分析城市承载力指标体系,在此基础上,阐述城市承载力提升的主要策略,并分析干线公路建设对城市承载力提升的重要作用,利用干线公路建设、社会经济效益及城市承载力三者之间的关联,采用系统动力学方法对干线公路建设与经济社会效益建立具体模型,并对城市承载力相关指标进行分析和测算；然后通过对南京市干线公路发展现状及其相关的路网规划进行分析,并结合相关系统动力学模型对南京市干线路网进行评价分析,得出南京干线公路建设对提升南京城市承载力的重要意义；最后,根据城市发展形态与经济社会发展过程中,干线公路规划需要关注的主要问题提出相关的建议与对策。
本研究有利于完善我国城市承载力提升方面的内容,通过干线公路网建设刺激经济社会发展,从而提高城市环境经济承载力；通过本论文发现在提升城市承载力过程中仍需要考虑的评价因素,为改进和完善我国干线公路建设与提升南京城市承载力奠定基础。此外,通过本研究,对今后南京干线公路建设与城市发展具有较强的指导作用。
Since the opening of the ear of China's marketing economy, domestic economy has been growing so fast and upgrading the comprehensive national power. Meanwhile, with the scale extending and more population gathering into cities, urban growth has come into a complete new ear of more consumption of natural and social resources. Due to growing demand, it is still not enough quantity of resources inputs. Based on research on relationship between the urban carrying capacity and infrastructure, effectively use of resources for urban sustainable development may be some sort of approach to make the Nanjing city growing more reasonable and sustainable.
With the principles of system engineering, beneficial analysis and social impact assessment, based on the correlation between local arterial highway and urban carrying capacity, this research takes such study approaches:first, building up the basic concept for this research; second, building up mathematics model in theory as the fundamental for next step; then, with the current study on Nanjing highway network, adopting some useful indices, putting them into the model to generate results for detailed analysis and correlation among urban carrying capacity, social benefit and highway network building; finally, some suggestions come up with some urban development dilemma.
This study is aiming for improving urban carrying study and upgrading it by local arterial highway construction. Due to some sort of adoption in the assessment progress, this study may be another starting point for further research. And further more, this paper could guild Nanjing city development in some kind of aspect.
引文
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[21]周峰,濮励杰,彭补拙.苏锡常地区土地利用变化及其绩效分析.自然资源学报,2006,21(3)：392400.
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[23]徐晓霞.中原城市群城市生态系统评价研究[J].地域研究与开发,2006,25(5)：98-102.
[24]张林波,李兴,李文华,王维,刘孝富.人类承载力研究面临的困境与原因.生态学报,2009,29(2)：889-897.
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[29]钱陈.转型时期中国的城市化研究.杭州：浙江大学,2006：15.
[30]曹淑艳,谢高地.表达生态承载力的生态足迹模型演变.应用生态学报,2007,18(6)：1365-1372.
[31]高桂凤,武红丽,张生瑞.基于可持续发展的城市交通环境承载力评价.华中科技大学学报(城市科学版),2007,24(1)：90-92,96.
[32]徐强.区域矿产资源承载能力分析几个问题的探讨.自然资源学报,1996,11(2)：135～140.
[33]蒋耀.基于综合评价理论的区域可持续发展研究[博士论文j.上海：上海交通大学,2008
[34]方相林,焦士形,张喜旺.河南省水资源开发利用评价[J].地域研究与开发,2005,24(1)：115-118.
[35]童玉芬.中国西北地区人口承载力及承载压力分析.人口与经济,2009,(6)：1-6.
[36]郭志伟.北京市土地资源承载力综合评价研究.城市发展研究,2008,15(5)：24-30.
[37]李东序,赵富强.城市综合承载力结构模型与耦合机制研究.城市发展研究,2008,15(6)：3742.
[38]刘孝超,黄承锋,王亮.主成分分析在地区经济社会发展综合评价中的应用[J].重庆交通大学学报(社科版).2007：7(2),67-70
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