用户名: 密码: 验证码:
面向后发地区的区域技术战略对企业迁移作用机理研究
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
长期以来,我国经济持续稳定快速增长,但区域经济发展又呈现出非均衡性的特征,在经济空间上形成了发达地区和后发地区的地理分布,不同的经济发展阶段决定着产业结构发展的不同。区域技术战略制定的科学与否、实施的好坏,既决定着区域产业环境的优劣和区域产业技术的高低,又影响着区域产业绩效的好坏,进而决定着区域产业的生产成本和贸易成本的高低,还决定着企业在迁移过程中对区域的选择程度和产业集聚程度,更决定着后发地区的工业化、城市化和经济社会的全面发展。后发地区要实现区域经济社会的跨越式发展,比以往任何时候都更加依赖技术的进步和产业的发展。而要实现这些,最有效地方法就是吸引企业,特别是大企业向区域内迁移。这其中区域技术战略正在发挥着越来越重要的作用,理应受到理论界和实践界的重视。
     有鉴于此,本文以面向后发地区的区域技术战略对企业迁移的作用机理为研究核心点,通过对区域技术战略的构成维度及其对企业迁移作用的演化过程、作用机理、决策方法和实施策略的系统研究,为地方政府正确认识区域技术战略的作用、通过制定和实施区域技术战略来促进区域产业环境跃迁和区域产业技术提高,实现区域产业绩效提升,吸引企业迁入,最终实现区域经济社会全面协调可持续发展提供理论参考和实践借鉴。
     本文首先界定了区域技术战略的内涵、构成要素,回顾了企业迁移的影响因素和区域技术战略的制定和实施及其对企业迁移影响等三方面的相关研究,界定了区域技术战略的内涵是地方政府通过制定和实施的,对区域技术要素进步上的战略性选择和区域技术环境进步上的战略性创造,包括了区域技术发展和区域经济社会发展中能够促进产业环境跃升和产业技术提高的一系列战略、规划和政策的内容。明确了区域技术战略的重点是对区域技术要素进步上的战略性选择和区域技术环境进步上的战略性创造,目标是促进区域产业环境跃迁和区域产业技术提高,实现区域产业绩效的提升,吸引更多的企业进入区域,实现产业集聚的目标,分析了区域技术战略的特征。并根据区域技术战略的制定和实施过程将区域技术战略划分为定位、实施方式、实施的连续性和柔性等四个构成维度。构建了区域技术战略对企业迁移作用的空间经济学模型,分别讨论了内部收益途径和外部效应途径对企业迁移的影响,建立起了区域技术战略与企业迁移之间的相互联系。按照“区域技术战略制定和实施→区域产业环境跃迁和区域产业技术提高→区域产业绩效提升→企业迁入”的新制度企业迁移理论学派观点和“企业准备迁移→考察成本因素(区域产业绩效)→考察内部因素(区域产业技术)和受外部因素影响(区域产业环境)→企业迁移”的企业迁移行为理论学派观点,结合区域技术战略四个维度的具体作用,构建了区域技术战略对企业迁移作用机理的分析框架,并进行了解释。
     通过分析区域技术战略对企业迁移作用演化的内涵,构建了区域技术战略对企业迁移作用演化过程理论模型,描述了遵循“变异—选择—保持”循环过程的主动的区域技术战略对企业迁移作用演化过程和遵循“保持—选择—变异”循环过程的被动的区域技术战略对企业迁移作用演化过程,进一步分析了各种因素对其的影响。接着对区域技术战略对企业迁移作用机理的研究假设进行了分析,基于分析框架和研究假设,构建了区域技术战略对企业迁移作用机理的理论模型。
     在理论分析的基础上,将问卷调查方法及结构方程模型方法运用于区域技术战略对企业迁移作用机理的实证研究上。研究结果发现,区域产业环境、区域产业技术和区域产业绩效对企业迁移的作用都非常显著,均是影响企业迁移的重要因素,而且区域产业环境、区域产业技术和区域产业绩效对企业迁移的作用程度相差不是很大。区域技术战略对区域产业环境跃迁、区域产业技术提高有着非常显著的作用,而对企业迁移的直接作用并不显著。区域技术战略是通过促进区域产业环境的跃迁、区域产业技术的提高和区域产业绩效的提升来间接对企业迁移产生作用的。通过实证分析,进一步揭示了区域技术战略对企业迁移的作用机理。
     将技术路线图引入到区域技术战略制定的决策当中,结合区域技术战略制定的决策过程和目标,结合区域技术战略制定的“总体目标——发展愿景——重点领域和重大项目——产业目标和关键技术——产业发展”决策过程,绘制了广西北部湾经济区区域技术战略的第三阶段技术路线图。
     最后,以广西北部湾经济区为案例对区域技术战略的实施进行了案例分析,给出了评价区域技术战略实施对企业迁移影响效果的方法,基于区域技术战略实施的实施形式、连续性和柔性等构成维度提出了提升区域技术战略实施对企业迁移影响效果的策略。
Chinses economy maintains stable and rapid growth for a long time, while theregional economy presents non-balance development, and form the geographicaldistribution invloving developed areas and later developed areas, and the differenteconomic development stages determine the different development of the industrialstructure. The formulation, implementation and of regional technology strategy willnot only determine the quality of regional industrial environment and the level ofregional industrial technology, but also impact the regional industrial performance.Foremore, they can determine the cost of regional industrial production and trading,and determine the choice of region and the degree of industrial agglomeration duringthe enterprise migration process. The most important is that full development ofindustrialization, urbanization and economic societywill be infulenced in laterdeveloped areas, so undeveloped areas need more dependent on technology progressand industrial development than ever to achieve the leapfrog development of regionaleconomic society. To achieve these, the most effective way is to attract enterprises’attention, especially promot large enterprises to migrate into the region. In theprocess of migration, the regional technology strategy plays a more and moreimportant role and should be attended in theory and practice.
     In view of this, the paper makes the mechanis m of regional technology strategyacting upon enterprise migration oriented to undeveloped areas to its research core,through the systematic study on the composing dimension of regional technologystrategy and the evolution process, mechanism, decision me thod, implementingstrategy of its action on enterprise migration, it has offered the theoretical andpractical reference for local government to have a correct understanding of thestrategic role of regional technical strategy, promote the regional indust rialenvironment and regional industrial technology by the formulation and implementingof regional technology strategy, achieve to enhance regional industrial performance,attract enterprise migration, and finally realize coordinated and sustaineddevelopment of the regional economy society.
     This paper first defines the connotation and the inscape of regional technologystrategy, and reviews three related aspects to this study: impact factors of enterprisemigration, the formulation and implementation of regional technology strategy and its action on enterprise migration. Therefore, we defines the connotation of regionaltechnological strategies that strategic choices of regional technical factors progressand the strategic creation of regional technical environment progress are formulatedand implemented by the local government, which includ series contents of strategies,planning and policy that could promote the development of industrial environmentand industrial technologies. It reveals that the emphasis is the strategic choices whichcan the progress of regional technologies and the strategic creation which hascontrivution to the development of regional technical environment. the aim of thispaper is to promote the development of regional industrial e nvironment and regionalindustrial technology, to enhance regional performance and enhance more enterprisemigration and the realization of industrial agglomeration, to analyze thecharacteristics of regional technology strategy. Given the process of regio naltechnology strategical formulation and implementation, this paper divides regionaltechnology strategies into four composing dimensions: position, implementingmethods, implementing sustainability and flexibility. We deduce and establish thespatial econometric model which reveals the role of the regional technologicalstrategy on the enterprise migration, and discuss the impact of internal revenue waysand external effects ways on the enterprise migration, and estimate the relationshipbetween the regional technology strategy and the enterprise migration. According tothe view of “Formulation and implemention of the regional technology strategy→Promoting regional industrial environment and regional industrial technology→Enterprise migration” and the view of “Enterprise ready to migrate→Consideringcost factors(regional industrial performance)→Considering internal factors (regionalindustrial technology) and effect of external factors (regional industrial environment)→Enterprise migration”, this paper combines with the specific role of four dimensionof the regional technology strategy and builds the analytical framework aboutregional technology strategy acting upon enterprise migration, and explains it,.
     Based on the analys is on the evolution that regional technology strategy actsupon enterprise migration, this paper establishes the theoretical model for theevolutionary process which means the regional technology strategy acts uponenterprise migration, and describes the evolutionary process which means activeregional technology strategy acts on enterprise migration following“variation-selection-maintenance”cycle process and regional technology strategypassively affectes on enterprise migration following “maintenance-selection-variation” cycle process. Furthermore, we analyse the impactof various factors. Then the paper analyses the mechanism that regional technologystrategy acts on enterprise migration and propose research hypothesis, and establishthe theoretical model to analyse the mechanism of impact of regional technologystrategy on enterprise migration based on the analytical framework and hypothes es.
     On the basis of theoretical analysis, this paper applies the questionnaire surveymethod and structural equation model method in the empirical study of themechanis m of regional technology strategy acting on enterprise migration. Theresults showe that it is very remarkable that the regional industrial environment,regional industrial technology and regional industrial performance are importantinfluencing factors, which have a positive effect on the enterprise migration, and theeffect degrees between them are similar. The regional technology strategy has asignificant effect on regional industrial environment transition and regional industrialtechnology promotion, but has not a significant direct impact on enterprise migration.Regional technology strategy acts upon enterprise migratio n indirectly via promotingregional industrial environment transition, regional industrial technology andregional industrial performance. Based on the empirical analysis, we reveal theimpact mechanism of regional technology strategy on the enterprise migration.
     The technology roadmap is employed into technology strategy formulationdecision-making, combining with decision-making process and objectives of regionaltechnology strategy formulation, combining with the decision-making process of"overall goals-development vision-key areas and key projects, industrial targetsand key technology, industry development", and draw the third stage technologyroadmap of region technology strategy in Guangxi Beibu gulf economic zone.
     Finally, this paper takes Guangxi Beibu gulf economic zone as an example forthe imple mentation of regional technology strategy, and proposes the method that canevaluate the impact of regional technology strategy imple mentation on enterprisemigration. Based on the implementation form of regional technology strategy,sustainable and flexible constitute dimensions, we proposed the strategies which canincrease the effecting of the regional technology strategy imple ment on the enterprisemigration improving.
引文
1刘国光.“十二五规划”编制前夕谈加强国家计划的导向作用.财贸经济,2010,(7):5-7,136.
    2胡鞍钢,鄢一龙,吕捷.从经济指令计划到发展战略规划:中国五年计划转型之路(1953-2009).中国软科学,2010,(8):14-24.
    3汪浩,王维平.区域发展战略研究.系统工程,1992,(4):1-6.
    4王国兴.地区发展战略与发展规划.科学学研究,1986,(2):51-59.
    5刘军梅.世界经济中的贸易战略与贸易政策:历史视角的国际比较.复旦学报(社会科学版),2008,(5):58-65.
    6周勇.论资本密集型产业发展的劳动密集型产业基础.经济问题探索,2007,(11):27-31.
    7王志凯,史晋川.中国区域经济发展的非均衡状况及原因分析.浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版),2011,(6):91-103.
    8张健.不同经济发展阶段区域经济发展差异比较.中国人口资源与环境,2009,(6):148-153.
    9刘军,于友伟.产业聚集在区域间的合理分布及其推进策略.经济体制改革,2010,(2):112-117.
    10王吉霞.产业结构优化升级与经济发展阶段的关系分析.经济纵横,2009,(11):71-73.
    11周荣荣.长三角区域经济发展的定位研究.现代经济探讨,2010,(12):9-13.
    12赵涛.竞争优势与优势竞争:后发地区的发展定位与竞争战略.经济问题探索,2003,(4):29-35.
    13张兆同.关于欠发达地区企业集聚的若干思考.现代经济探讨,2005,(8):26-29.
    14刘金祥.实施空间集聚化战略是欠发达地区现代化建设的重要途径.学术探索,2003,(12):31-33.
    15张东志.国内外关于企业迁移问题研究的文献评述.山西财经大学学报,2010,(2):168-169.
    16李晶,王智善,王钢.温州民营企业空间迁移实证研究.华东经济管理,2011,(4):8-12.
    17刘力,张健.珠三角企业迁移调查与区域产业转移效应分析.国际经贸探索,2008,(10):74-79.
    18张继焦.中国东部与中西部之间的产业转移:影响因素分析.贵州社会科学,2011,(1):69-73.
    19薛春志.战后日本技术创新模式的演进与启示.现代日本经济,2011,(6):71-77.
    20郝一生.日本沿海经济区工业结构的演变及特点.日本经济,1988,(2):13-17.
    21王亚华,胡鞍钢.从五大资本比较看中国经济追赶美国.经济社会体制比较,2007,(1):29-35.
    22秦成逊,杨帆,王龙.经济追赶进程中的优势叠加研究——以云南省为例.经济问题探索,2010,(10):105-110.
    23刘颖琦,李学伟.西部区域竞争优势分析.中国软科学,2003,(1):130-134.
    24张国旺,李柏洲.区域创新系统中政府的作用研究.现代管理科学,2009,(8):86-87.
    25曾军丽,程留全.破解“人走政息”迷局的三大举措.领导科学,2011,(27):16-17.
    26张鸿.刚性规划下的弹性利用.中国土地,2009,(9):65.
    27刘国新,李兴文.外技术创新过程中的政府作用分析——对我国实施自主创新战略的启示.当代经济管理,2006,(1):112-117.
    28侯仁勇,胡树华.国外区域创新对我国中部发展战略的启示.武汉理工大学学报(信息与管理工程版),2004,(4):59-63.
    29OECD.Managing National Innovation Systems.Paris:OECD,1999.
    30Cook P N,Braczyk H J,Heidenreich M H.Regional Innovation Systems:the Roleof Govermance in the Globalized Word.London:UCL Press,1996.
    31陈浩.国内外区域创新体系研究进展.科技与经济,2006,(6):13-16.
    32胡浩,李子彪,胡宝民.区域创新系统多创新极共生演化动力模型.管理科学学报,2011,(10):85-94.
    33邵云飞,谭劲松.区域技术创新能力形成机理探析.管理科学学报,2006,(6):5-15.
    34Sheri M.Markose.Novelty in Complex Adaptive systems (CAS) Dynamics:A Computational Theory of Actor Innovation.Physica A,2004,(344):41-49.
    35刘曙光,徐树建.区域创新系统研究的国际进展综述.中国科技论坛,2002,(5):33-37.
    36Jorge Niosi.National systems of innovations are“x-efficient”(and x-effective)Why some are slow learners.Research Policy,2002,(31):291-302.
    37Chiffoleau Y.Learning about innovation through networks:The development ofenvironment-friendly viticulture.Techn-ovation,2005,(25):1193-1204.
    38Temela T,Janssen W,Karimov F.Systems analysis by graph theoreticaltechniques:Assessment of the agricultural innova-tion system ofAzerbaijan.Agricultural Systems.2003,(77):91-116.
    39Mehra Kavita.Indian system of innovation in biotechnology:A case study ofcardamom.Technovation,2001,(21):15-23.
    40顾新.区域创新系统内涵与特征.同济大学学报(社会科学版),2001,(12):32-37.
    41丁焕峰.论区域创新系统.科研管理,2001,(11):1-8.
    42吴贵生,杨德林,王毅.区域技术创新体系建设——以北京区域技术创新体系为例.中国地质大学学报(社会科学版),2003,(4):19-21.
    43徐建国,吴贵生.区域科技概念及其构成要素.中国科技论坛,2000,(6):24-25.
    44吴贵生,魏守华,徐建国,李显君.区域科技浅论.科学学研究,2004,(6):572-577.
    45李虹.区域创新体系的构成及其动力机制分析.科学学与科学技术管理,2004,(2):14-19.
    46杜丽娟,刘家顺.区域技术创新发展战略选择.河北理工学院学报(社会科学版),2002,(1):16-21.
    47吴贵生,徐建国,魏守华.试论区域科技发展的四个关系.中国软科学,2004,(6):96-101.
    48李国平.京津冀区域科技发展战略研究.中国经济出版社,2008.
    49邹祖烨,刘东.我国区域创新体系建设的战略重点和模式选择.未来与发展,2004,(5):2-5.
    50杨省贵,顾新.我国构建区域创新体系的战略重点研究.经济问题探索,2011,(9):50-54.
    51潘德均.西部地区区域创新系统建设.科学学与科学技术管理,2001,(1):38-40.
    52周柏翔,凌丹.长春区域创新体系构建的基本模式分析.工业技术经济,2005,(4):92-94.
    53柳卸林.区域创新体系成立的条件和建设的关键因素.中国科技论坛,2003,(1):18-22.
    54杨省贵,陈新.技术战略管理中的两种关键因素分析——技术进步趋势与技术预测.成都信息工程学院学报,2003,(3):323-327.
    55魏守华,吴贵生.我国跨行政区科技合作的成因、模式与政策建议.中国软科学,2004,(7):100-105.
    56尚炜,范松灿,王芳等.关于区域科技战略研究的若干思考.科技创新与生产力,2010,(12):35-36.
    57赵亨淮.黑龙江沿江区域科技发展战略研究.中国软科学,1993,(6):30-32,26.
    58侯仁勇,郭莎,陈兴林.区域科技创新战略模式探讨.武汉理工大学学报.信息与管理工程版,2007,(8):17-19.
    59李宪建.欠发达区域创新体系的功能缺陷与战略对策初探.宁夏党校学报,2008,(2):86-89.
    60姜大鹏,石娟,顾新.对我国构建区域创新体系的战略思考.科学管理研究,2010,(5):1-4,16.
    61刁慧文,张继录,谢如贤.区域科技发展战略模式分析与选择.科学学与科学技术管理,1991,(4):21-22.
    62谢伟.吴贵生关于技术战略的研究.中国地质大学学报(社会科学版),2001,(4):1-4.
    63刘明广.基于耗散结构理论的区域创新系统演化分析.商业时代,2012,(8):127-128.
    64蒋同明,刘世庆.给予自组织理论的区域创新网络演化研究.科技管理研究,2011,(7):23-26.
    65洪进,余文涛,郭韬,朱云浩.区域创新系统的AIITD演化模型研究.科学学与科学技术管理,2011,(12):94-100.
    66李振国.区域创新系统演化路径研究:硅谷、新竹、中关村之比较.科学学与科学技术管理,2010,(6):126-130..
    67王焕祥,孙斐.改革开放30年我国区域创新体系的演化分析.科技进步与对策,2008,(9):36-39.
    68杨兴宪,刘毅,牛树海.区域创新系统研究的进展及展望.地理科学,2006,(2):251-255.
    69李怡,陈永飞.信息产业集群的形成机制与演变规律.经济问题探索,2006,(12):38-42.
    70Pellenbarg P,Wissen L J G Van,Dijk J Van.Firm migration.Industrial LocationEconomics.P.McCann.Cheltenham, Edward Elgar,2002,110-148.
    71Ortona G,Santagata.W.Industrial mobility in the Turin metropolitan area1961-1977.Urban Studies,1983,(20):59-71.
    72陈伟鸿,王会龙.企业迁移的理论基础及其演变脉络.经济评论,2007,(3):155-158.
    73白玫.企业迁移的三个流派及其发展.经济学动态,2005,(8):83-88.
    74朱华晟,王缉慈,李鹏飞,李伟.基于多重动力机制的集群企业迁移及区域影响——以温州灯具企业迁移中山古镇为例.地理科学进展,2009,(3):329-336.
    75杨文兵.企业迁移理论研究的主要流派及其述评.经济问题探索,2007,(2):137-140.
    76Mariotti I.Firm relocation and regional policy:A focus on Italy,the Netherlandsand the United Kingdom,Macsource press,2006.
    77Pellenbarg P.Firm migration in the Netherlands.Paper for the45th EuropeanRegional Science Association Congress,2005.
    78陈建军.中国现阶段产业区域转移的实证研究——结合浙江105家企业的问卷调查报告的分析.管理世界,2002,(6):64-74.
    79国家统计局企调总队,浙江省企调队.浙江企业缘何纷纷外迁.中国国情国力,2005,(3):16-17.
    80黎逸科,黎碧茵.珠三角企业迁移浅析.热带地理,2009,(3):251-256.
    81魏后凯,白玫.中国企业迁移的特征、决定因素及发展趋势.发展研究,2009,(10):9-18.
    82Nakosteen R A,Zimmer M A.Determinants of regional migration bymanufacturing firms.Economic Inquiry,1987,50:531-362.
    83Torre A,Rallet A.Proximity and localization.Regional Studies,2005,(1):47-59.
    84刘怀德.经济发展中的企业迁移.财经理论与实践,2001,(111):114-116.
    85Rawstron E M.Geography and Economics by M. Chisholm,Bell,1966.
    86Smith D M.Industrical location:an economic geographical analysis.New York:John Wiley&Sons,1971:89-99.
    87Avinash K Dixit,Joseph E Stiglitz.Monopolistic Competition and OptimumProduct Diversity.The American Economic Review,1977,67(6):297-308.
    88Krugman P.Increasing.Returns and Economic Geography.Journal of PoliticalEconomy,1991,99:483-499.
    89Martin P,Rogers C A.Industrial location and public infrastructure.Journal ofInternational Economics,1995,(39):335-351.
    90Forslid R.Agglomeration with Human and Physical Capital:An Analyticallysolvable Case.Center for Economic Policy Research,1999.
    91Ottaviano G I P.Monopolistic competition,trade,and endogenous spatialfluctuations.Regional Science and Urban Economics,2001,31:51-57.
    92Forslid R,Ottaviano G I P.An Analytically Solvable Core-peripheryModel.Journal of Economic Geography,2003,(3):229-240.
    93Baldwin R.Agglomeration and endogenous capital.European Economic Review,1999,(43):253-280.
    94Baldwin R,Forslid. R,Martin.P,Ottaviano.G I P,Robert-Nicoud.F.Economicgeography and public policy.Princeton University Press,2003.
    95Tafenau E.Can Welfare Be Improved by Relocating Firms?The Case of theConstructed Capital Model.University of Tartu Faculty of Economics andBusiness Administration Working Paper,2008.
    96Martin P,Ottaviano G I P.Growing locations:industry location in a model ofendogenous growth.European Economic Review,1999,(43):281–302.
    97Martin P,Ottaviano G I P.Growth and Agglomeration.International EconomicReview,2001,(42):947-968.
    98Krugman P,Venables A J.Globalization and the Inequality of Nations.QuarterlyJournal Of Economics,1995,110(4):857-880.
    99Robert-Nicoud F.A simple geography model with vertical linkages and capitalmobility.School of Economics,2002.
    100Ottaviano G I P.Models of new economic geography:factor mobility versusvertical linkages.Graduate Institute of International Studies,2002.
    101Ottaviano G I P,Tabuchi T,Thisse J-F.Agglomeration and traderevisited.International Economic Review,2002,(43):409-435.
    102Pflüger M A Simple.Analytically solvable,Chambelinian Agglomeration Model.Regional Science and Urban Economics,2004,62(1):53-82.
    103Baldwin R E,Forslid R,Martin P,G I P. Ottaviano,F Robert-Nicoud.EconomicGeography and Public Policy.PrincetonUniversity Press,2003.
    104Fujita M,MoriT1Frontiers of the New EconomicGeography.Papers inRegionalScience,2005,84:377-405.
    105Berliant M,Fujita M.Dynamics of Knowledge Creation and Transfer:the TwoPerson Case.Institute of Economic Research,KyotoUniversity,2006a.
    106Pen C J,Pellenbarg P H.Firm Migration and Central Government Policy;anOverview.Paper Presented at the RSA Conference,1998.
    107Hayter R.The dynamics of industrial location.The factory,the firm andtheproduction system.New York:Wiley,1997.
    108Louw E.Kantoorgebouw en vestigingsplaats Stedelijke en regionaleverkenningen12,Delftse Universitaire Pers,1996.
    109侯仁勇,胡树华.区域科技发展战略的关键技术选择.科学学与科学技术管理,2004,(4):59-62.
    110郭华玲.试论区域科技发展战略管理及政策.贵州社会科学,2006,(6):94-97.
    111纪德尚,徐玉芬.区域科技发展战略的系统思考.中州学刊,1994,(3):16-18.
    112Bain,J.S.Industrial Organization.John Wiley&Sons,Inc.,1968.
    113Porter M E.The Competitive Advantage ofNations.TheMac-millan PressLtd,London and Basingstoke,1990.
    114Andrens K R.The Concept of Corporate Strategy.Homewood,IL:DowJones-Irwin,1971.
    115冯诺依曼,奥斯.摩根斯坦.博弈论与经济行为.上海:上海三联书店,2004.
    116彼得圣吉.第五项修炼.上海:上海三联书店,1998.
    117Willyard C H,McClees C W.Motorola’s technology.Research Management,1987,(5):21-28.
    118Solow R M.Growth Theory,An Exposition.Oxford University Press,2000.
    119Jaffe A B,Trajtenberg M,Henderson R.Geography localization of knowledgespillovers as evidenced by patent citations.Quarterly Journal of Economics,1993,(108):576-598.
    120Moreno R,Paci R,Usai S.Spatial spillovers and innovation activity in Europeanregions.Environment and Planning,A,2005,(37):1793-1812.
    121吴玉鸣,李建霞.中国区域工业全要素生产率的空间计量经济分析.地理科学,2006,(8):748-752.
    122李志刚,汤书昆,梁晓艳,吴灵光.我国创新产出的空间分布特征研究——基于省际专利统计数据的空间计量分析.科学学与科学技术管理,2006,(8):64-71.
    123王鹏.区域创新环境、绿色技术创新与企业竞争优势.产业评论,2012,(1):68-79.
    124魏守华,姜宁,吴贵生.内生创新努力、本土技术溢出与长三角高技术产业创新绩效.中国工业经济,2009,(2):25-34.
    125赵喜晨.技术进步的内涵与外延.料学学与科学技术管理,1987,(10):24-25.
    126李春好,赵英才,蔡莉.高新技术战略评价与决策.科学学研究,1997,(2):47-51.
    127张明,谢兴华,蒋兴华.区域技术创新系统研究及建设案例分析.科技管理研究,2010,(15):13-15.
    128丘海雄,徐建牛.产业集群技术创新中的地方政府行为.管理世界,2004,(10):36-46.
    129于晓曦,孙英隽.技术创新对区域经济增长的动力机制分析.企业经济,2011,(7):9-11.
    130王燕,赵连明.区域自主创新中要重视战略技术的选择.经济纵横,2010,(6):118-121.
    131张志耀.基于技术预见的区域产业优先选择评价指标探讨.青岛科技大学学报(社会科学版),2010,(1):48-52.
    132李耀平,杨春玲,孙锐.区域技术创新能力的理论探析.科技管理研究,2009,(9):177-179.
    133王业强.国外企业迁移研究综述.经济地理,2007,(1):30-35.
    134Lloyd.P.E,P.Dicken.Location in Space.2nd Ed..London/New York:Harper Row,1977.
    135张文锋,韵江,李琳琳.战略演化思想溯源及研究进展.财经问题研究,2010,(2):17-21.
    136Mintzberg H,B.Ahlstrand,J.Lampel.Strategy Safari:A Guided Tour throughthe Wilds of Strategic Management.New York:Free Press,1998.
    137Burgelman,R.A.Intraorganizational Ecology of Strategy-Making andOrganizational Adaptation:Theory and Field Research.Organization Science:A Journal of the Institute of Management Sciences.1991,(3):239-262.
    138程源,雷家骕.企业技术源的演化趋势与战略要义.科学学与科学技术管理.2004,(9):74-77.
    139傅志华,包全永,韩凤芹.我国能源发展战略及其与财税政策的关系.经济研究参考,2006,(14):2-13.
    140徐徐.东部欲飞西部何为——实施沿海经济发展战略与调整东西部财政政策的关系.经济纵横,1989,(8):53-55.
    141曾令华,郭建平.区域科技政策框架的理论和实证研究——以湖北省科技政策为例.科技进步与对策,2009,(17):99-104.
    142刘光卫.韩国技术革新战略及对其经济复苏的影响.东北亚论坛,2000,(1):27-29.
    143卢传敏.论日本科技发展战略及其实施效果.世界经济与政治,1992,(2):33-37,32.
    144王萍.新加坡科技发展战略——促进企业的研究与发展.世界研究与发展,1994,(4):10-12.
    145吴波,肖迪.集群企业迁移理论述评——兼对区域政府“腾笼换鸟”政策的反思.科学学研究,2011,(1),84-90.
    146吴炎太,李定安.面向产业结构升级的商务成本探讨.会计之友,2008,(6):92-93.
    147厉无畏.降低商务成本增强城市竞争力.领导决策信息,2003,(8):13.
    148郭淳凡,李定安,李宗璋.技术产业结构下的区域商务成本调控对策研究——以广州市为例.科技管理研究,2010,(3):138-140.
    149郁明华,李廉水,陈抗.基于城市与企业间动态博弈的城市商务成本研究.中国软科学,2006,(7):105-112.
    150Pyke F,G Becattini,W Sengenberger.Industrial Districts and Inter-firm,Cooperation in Italy.Geneva:International Institute for Labour Studies,1992.
    151Abler R S Adams,P Gooule.Spatial organization:the geogra-phers views of theworld.Englewood Cliffs,NJ:Prentince Hall,1971.
    152吴厚庆.优化产业结构的系统思考.湖湘论坛,1999,(3),16-17.
    153王赋.技术创新与成本优势.中国经济问题,2001,(5):8-14.
    154章钰.基于技术创新的成本领先战略实施的案例研究.企业经济,2010,(4):40-42.
    155LucasR E.On the mechanisms of economic development.Journal of MonetaryEconomics,1988,(22):3-42.
    156LucasR E.Making amiracle.Econometrica,1993:251-272.
    157Grossman G M,Helpman E.Innovation and Growth in the GlobalEconomy.Cambridge(USA):The MIT Press,1991.
    158Fagerberg J.Technological progress,structural change and productivity growth:A comparative.Structural Change and Economic Dynamics,2000,(4):393-411.
    159Salter W E G.Productivity and Technical Change.Cambridge:CambridgeUniversity Press,1960.
    160刘富华,李国平.技术创新、产业结构与劳动生产率.科学学研究,2005,(4):555-560.
    161Penrose E.The Theory of the Growth of the Firm.New York:Wiley,1959.
    162Pouder R,St.John C.H.Hot Spots and Blind Spots:Geographical Clusters ofFirms and Innovation.Academy of Management Review,1996,(21):1192-1225.
    163Hayter R.The dynamics of industrial location,the factory, the firm and theproduction system.NewYork:Wiley,1997.
    164韦伯.工业区位论.北京:商务印书馆,1997.
    165李金昌,程开明.经济学研究的统计思想探讨.商业经济与管理,2008,(4):55-61.
    166王学民.关于样本均值的抽样分布能否作为正态近似的探讨.统计研究,2005,(7):75-78.
    167郑丹.服务补救中顾客情绪对顾客满意之影响的实证研究.中国管理科学,2011,(6):166-173.
    168徐万里.结构方程模式在信度检验中的应用.统计与信息论坛,2008,(7):9-13.
    169Bollen K A.Structural equations with Latent Variables.New York:John Wiley&Sons,1989:206-221.
    170Raykov T.Estimation of Congeneric scale reliability via covariance structureanalysis with nonlinear constraints.BritishJournal of Mathematical and StatisticalPsychology,2001,(54):315-323.
    171Shook,Ketchen,Hult,Michele Kacmar.An assessment of the use of structuralequation modeling in strategic management research.Strategic ManagementJournal,2004,(25):397-404.
    172Kline R B.Princ iples and practice of structural equation modeling.New York:Guilford Press.1998.
    173Grapentine T..Path analysis vs structural equation modeling.MarketingResearch.2000,(3):12-20.
    174解学梅.中小企业协同创新网络与创新绩效的实证研究.管理科学学报.2010,(8):51-64.
    175Bachman,Lyle F.&Adrian S.Palmer.Language Testing in Practice.OxfordUniversity Press,1996.
    176Moustaki I,Joreskog K.C,Maveridis D.Factor models for ordinal variables withcovariance effects on the manifest and latent variables:A Comparison of LISRELand IRT Approaches.Structural Equation modeling,2004,(4):487-513.
    177Joreskog K G,Sorbom D.LISREL7:Aguide to the program andapplications.Chicago:SPSS Pubications,1989.
    178辛冲.组织创新的动态演化模型构建与实证研究.科学学与科学技术管理,2010,(9):97-103.
    179邱皓政.结构方程模式——LISREL的理论、技术与应用.台北:双叶书廊出版社,2005.
    180黄芳铭.结构方程模式与应用M.台北:五南出版社,2004.
    181胡健,李向阳,孙金花.合作制造企业间关系价值影响因素的实证分析.科研管理,2010,(1):38-45.
    182侯杰泰,温忠麟,成子娟.结构方程模型及其应用.北京:教育科学出版社,2004:68-70.
    183方平,熊端琴,蔡红.结构方程在心理学研究中的应用.心理科学,2001,(4):406-408.
    184Carmines E G,Mclver J P.Analys ing models with unobservable variable.G WBohrnstedt,E E Borgatta.Social measurement current issues.Beverly Hills,CA:Saga,1981:65-115.
    185Hu L T,Bentler P M.Cutoff criteria for fit indexes in covariance.StructuralEquation Modeling,1999,(1):1-55.
    186Bentler P M,Bonett D G.Significance tests and goodness-of-fit in the analysis ofcovariance structures.Psychological Bulletin,1980:588-600.
    187Stevens J.Applied multivariate statistics for the social science.Mahwah,NJ:Lawrence Erlbaum,1996.
    188Cohen J.Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences.2nd ed.NewJersey:Lawrence Erlbaum Associates,1999.
    189陈秀山,张可云.区域经济理论.北京:商务印书馆,2007:1.
    190颜楚华,王章华,邓青云.政府主导学校主体企业主动——构建校企合作保障机制的思考.中国高教研究,2011,(4):80-82.
    191白少君,王欢,安立仁.西安市科技人才资源开发战略研究.科技进步与对策,2011,(23):156-160.
    192李春顶.“后危机时代”我国技术进口战略分析.经济理论与经济管理,2010,(7):11-16.
    193杨晓龙,李碧芳,刘戒骄.美国加强制造业的策略选择及启示.当代经济研究,2012,(6):21-26.
    194李冀,严汉平,刘世锦.关于地方政府国有土地差异化出让行为动机的经验分析.经济科学,2012,(1):27-38.
    195靳友雯.推动广西工业结构升级的税收政策研究.广西大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2009,(1):54-57.
    196吴建环,赵君丽.支持企业自主创新金融政策的有效性研究.理论月刊,2007,(5):162-164.
    197韩立金.政府职能的强度重于政府职能的范围——对新公共管理思潮的一点反思.管理科学文摘,2008,(3):176-177.
    198吴新.政府管理效率提高的途径分析——基于治理理论视角.理论月刊,2009,(2):74-76,136.
    199吴群.自然资源配置利用适度适量初探.中国土地科学,1996,(3):33-35.
    200杨秀凌,赵秋成.东北地区劳动力资源配置的政策选择.东北财经大学学报,2011,(5):40-43.
    201杨亦民,刘星,李明贤.浅析我国资本市场的资源配置效率.生产力研究,2006,(7):71-73.
    202杨永福,洪咸友,吴来,朱桂龙.机械制造业的产业技术结构研究.管理世界,1999,(3):143-149.
    203王勇.对完善我国产业配套政策体系的建议.宏观经济管理,2010,(10):44-46.
    204彭颖.产业组织理论演进及其对我国产业组织的启示.资源与产业,2010,(5):174-179.
    205张伟,朱启贵,吴文元.知识视角下的资源型产业链升级研究——以贵州瓮福磷化工产业链为例.科学学研究,2009,(6):889-895.
    206张伟.资源环境约束下西部地区矿产资源型产业发展模式研究.改革与战略,2008,(4):35-38.
    207曹洪军,莎娜.区域环境视角下的区域经济发展模式研究——基于山东省数据的实证分析.中国工业经济,2011,(8):25-35.
    208周立宏.精细化管理——企业制胜的法宝.管理现代化,2010,(6):29-31.
    209聂荣.商品销售利润最大化模型及最优广告策略的确定.运筹与管理,2006,(4):130-133.
    210张霞,刘静.金融危机下企业销售成本的控制.中国商贸,2011,(2):102-103.
    211李栎,张志强.技术路线图的发展与应用分析.图书与情报,2009,(3):8-13.
    212长城企业战略研究所.技术路线图:自主创新的战略工具.新材料产业,2006,(2):67-73.
    213Galvin R.Science roadmaps.Science,280(8):803.
    214David P,MichaelR.Frontier experiences from industryacademiaconsortia.Research Technology Management,2003,(3/4).
    215Geoff N.Industry Canada Technology Roadmapping:A Strategy for SuccessCat.2000:C2-538.
    216DISR.A Guide to Developing Technology Roadmaps Technology Planning forBusiness Competitiveness.Department of Industry Science and Resources,Commonwealth of Australia,2001.
    217李雪凤,仝允桓,谈毅.技术路线图——一种新型技术管理工具.科学学研究,2004,(12):89-94.
    218仪德刚,齐中英,赵新力.企业提升核心竞争力的重要手段——技术路线图.科技管理研究,2007(1):98-100.
    219谈毅,仝允桓,李雪凤.基于技术路线图的产业创新模式:一个选择性评述.研究与发展管理,2007,(8):23-30
    220张铁男,赵围.基于技术路线图的科技情报研究.图书情报知识,2009,(1):101-105.
    221Martin Rinne.Technology roadmaps:Infrastructure forinnovation.Technological Forecasting&Social Change.2004,(71):67-80.
    222Robert Phaal,Clare J.P.Farrukh,David R.Probert.Technology roadmapping-aplanning framework for evolution and revolution.Technological Forecasting&Social Change.2004,(71):5-26.
    223李雪凤,仝允桓,谈毅.技术路线图和技术路线图思维.科学学与科学技术管理.2006,(5):26-28,59.
    224于升峰.区域科技发展规划中技术路线图的应用实证.科技管理研究.2011,(21):27-30.
    225刘欣欣.企业技术路线图的制定过程.经济论坛.2009,(12):123-125.
    226张小刚.郑汴地区经济发展阶段判别与主导产业选择.北方经济,2011,(9):72-73.
    227钟铭,吴艳云,栾维新.港口物流与城市经济协同度模型.大连海事大学学报,2011,(1):80-82.
    228孟庆松,韩文秀.复合系统协调度模型研究.天津大学学报,2000,(4):444-446.
    229黄瑞芬,王佩.海洋产业集聚与环境资源系统耦合的实证分析.经济学动态,2011,(2):39-42.
    230刘耀斌,宋学锋.城市化与生态环境的耦合度及其预测模型研究.中国矿业大学学报,2005,(1):91-96.
    231李高,温宗国,杜斌.面向可持续发展的技术创新:从技术预见到战略选择.中国人口资源与环境,2008,(1):18-22.
    232邓汉慧,张子刚.企业核心利益相关者共同治理模式.科研管理,2006,(1):85-90.
    233李远远.基于技术预见的行业关键性技术选择方法研究.科技管理研究,2010,(3):119-121.
    234余翔,姚黎.企业技术引进中专利战略的运用.科技进步与对策,2004,(4):23-25.
    235张凤香,黄瑞华.论专利技术的特殊性对其交易成本的影响.研究与发展管理,2005,(1):98-103.
    236程履中.成套引进国外发电机组时容易疏忽的一个方面——技术服务.华东电力,1987,(8):23-24.
    237孙立行.宏观调控政策应保持连贯性与稳定性.当代经济,2004,(24):4-5.
    238李春蓉,赖锡莲.关于公共政策稳定性的若干思考.中州大学学报,2011,(2):34-36.

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700