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Evaluating Soil Moisture Predictions Based on Ensemble Kalman Filter and SiB2 Model
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  • 英文篇名:Evaluating Soil Moisture Predictions Based on Ensemble Kalman Filter and SiB2 Model
  • 作者:Xiaolei ; FU ; Zhongbo ; YU ; Ying ; TANG ; Yongjian ; DING ; Haishen ; LYU ; Baoqing ; ZHANG ; Xiaolei ; JIANG ; Qin ; JU
  • 英文作者:Xiaolei FU;Zhongbo YU;Ying TANG;Yongjian DING;Haishen LYU;Baoqing ZHANG;Xiaolei JIANG;Qin JU;State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources,Chinese Academy of Sciences;College of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University;State Key Laboratory of Hydrology–Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University;Department of Geography, Michigan State University;College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University;
  • 英文关键词:soil moisture;;Ensemble Kalman Filter(EnKF);;Simple Biosphere Model(SiB2);;prediction
  • 中文刊名:QXXW
  • 英文刊名:气象学报(英文版)
  • 机构:State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources,Chinese Academy of Sciences;College of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University;State Key Laboratory of Hydrology–Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University;Department of Geography, Michigan State University;College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University;
  • 出版日期:2019-04-15
  • 出版单位:Journal of Meteorological Research
  • 年:2019
  • 期:v.33
  • 基金:Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51709046,41323001,and 41130638);; National(Key)Basic Research and Development(973)Program of China(2016YFC0402706);; National Science Funds for Creative Research Groups of China(51421006);; Program of Dual Innovative Talents Plan and Innovative Research Team in Jiangsu Province;; Open Foundation of State Key Laboratory of Hydrology–Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,Hohai University(2015490311)
  • 语种:英文;
  • 页:QXXW201902002
  • 页数:16
  • CN:02
  • ISSN:11-2277/P
  • 分类号:35-50
摘要
Soil moisture is an important variable in the fields of hydrology, meteorology, and agriculture, and has been used for numerous applications and forecasts. Accurate soil moisture predictions on both a large scale and local scale for different soil depths are needed. In this study, a soil moisture assimilation and prediction based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter(EnKF) and Simple Biosphere Model(SiB2) have been performed in Meilin watershed, eastern China, to evaluate the initial state values with different assimilation frequencies and precipitation influences on soil moisture predictions. The assimilated results at the end of the assimilation period with different assimilation frequencies were set to be the initial values for the prediction period. The measured precipitation, randomly generated precipitation,and zero precipitation were used to force the land surface model in the prediction period. Ten cases were considered based on the initial value and precipitation. The results indicate that, for the summer prediction period with the deeper water table depth, the assimilation results with different assimilation frequencies influence soil moisture predictions significantly. The higher assimilation frequency gives better soil moisture predictions for a long lead-time. The soil moisture predictions are affected by precipitation within the prediction period. For a short lead-time, the soil moisture predictions are better for the case with precipitation, but for a long lead-time, they are better without precipitation. For the winter prediction period with a lower water table depth, there are better soil moisture predictions for the whole prediction period. Unlike the summer prediction period, the soil moisture predictions of winter prediction period are not significantly influenced by precipitation. Overall, it is shown that soil moisture assimilations improve its predictions.
        Soil moisture is an important variable in the fields of hydrology, meteorology, and agriculture, and has been used for numerous applications and forecasts. Accurate soil moisture predictions on both a large scale and local scale for different soil depths are needed. In this study, a soil moisture assimilation and prediction based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter(EnKF) and Simple Biosphere Model(SiB2) have been performed in Meilin watershed, eastern China, to evaluate the initial state values with different assimilation frequencies and precipitation influences on soil moisture predictions. The assimilated results at the end of the assimilation period with different assimilation frequencies were set to be the initial values for the prediction period. The measured precipitation, randomly generated precipitation,and zero precipitation were used to force the land surface model in the prediction period. Ten cases were considered based on the initial value and precipitation. The results indicate that, for the summer prediction period with the deeper water table depth, the assimilation results with different assimilation frequencies influence soil moisture predictions significantly. The higher assimilation frequency gives better soil moisture predictions for a long lead-time. The soil moisture predictions are affected by precipitation within the prediction period. For a short lead-time, the soil moisture predictions are better for the case with precipitation, but for a long lead-time, they are better without precipitation. For the winter prediction period with a lower water table depth, there are better soil moisture predictions for the whole prediction period. Unlike the summer prediction period, the soil moisture predictions of winter prediction period are not significantly influenced by precipitation. Overall, it is shown that soil moisture assimilations improve its predictions.
引文
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