摘要
在公私合作项目(PPP)项目中,政府和私人投资者可能会采取协同行为来追求自身利益。这就需要对政府和私人投资者的协同行为进行研究,以了解提高项目绩效的基础机制。首先,基于演化博弈模型分析项目投资者策略选择的动态演化过程,据此政府和私人投资者通过交互选择来实现各自的最优策略。其次,通过演化博弈模型分析发现,政府和私人投资者协作管理具有多重复杂路径演化,其稳定策略很大程度上取决于组织的初始状态及相互激励关系。然后,探讨不同情境下投资者的最优策略和有效增强投资者协同行为的利益协调机制。
In public-private partnership( PPP) projects,the government and private investors may engage in collaborative behavior to pursue interest. This makes necessary the study of government and private investors' collaborative behavior in order to gain the understanding of the underlying mechanisms towards enhancing project performance. At first,the dynamic evolutionary procedure of project investors' choice of strategies is analyzed based on an evolutionary game model,in which the government and private investors could nearly choose interactions as their optimal strategy. Secondly,from the perspective of evolutionary game model( EGT),the results show that the evolution of the government and private investors' collaborative behavior has multiple equilibrium in payoff matrix,and the evolutionary stable strategies( ESS) are largely influenced by the initial organization states and mutual incentive situations of both the regulatory system. Furthermore,the equilibrium solution of the game is discussed to find an effective way to strengthen collaborative behavior which would improve the mechanism of benefit coordination by investors under different situations.
引文
[1] Bajwa S U,Kitchlew N,Shahzad K,et al. Public-private partnership(PPP)as an interdependent form(I-Form)organization[J]. International Journal of Public Administration,2017(4):1-9.
[2] Alam K A,Uddin G S,Alam M M. Trade patterns of bangladesh with india and china:an empirical evidence of the PPP theory[J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing,2017. 26-34.
[3] Feng K,Wang S,Xue Y. Optimization of PPP project equity structures based on the satisfactions of the main stakeholders[J]. Qinghua Daxue Xuebao/journal of Tsinghua University,2017,57(4):376-381.
[4] Iossa E,Martimort D. Corruption in PPPs,incentives and contract incompleteness[J]. International Journal of Industrial Organization,2014,44:85-100.
[5] Liu J,Gao R,Cheah C Y J,et al. Incentive mechanism for inhibiting investors’ opportunistic behavior in PPP projects[J]. International Journal of Project Management,2016,34(7):1102-1111.
[6]汪勇杰,陈通,邓斌超.公共文化PPP项目风险分担的演化博弈分析[J].运筹与管理,2016,25(5):21-27.
[7]周正祥,张秀芳,张平.新常态下PPP模式应用存在的问题及对策[J].中国软科学,2015,(09):82-95.
[8]陈琤,李丹. PPP政策变迁与政策学习模式:1980至2015年PPP中央政策文本分析[J].中国行政管理,2017,(02):102-107.
[9]陈志敏,张明,司丹.中国的PPP实践:发展、模式、困境与出路[J].国际经济评论,2015,(04):68-84.
[10]李秀辉,张世英. PPP:一种新型的项目融资方式[J].中国软科学,2002(2):51-54.
[11]郝伟亚,王盈盈,丁慧平.城市轨道交通PPP模式核心要点研究———北京地铁M号线案例分析[J].土木工程学报,2012,45(10):175-180.
[12] Delmon J. Public-private partnership projects in infrastructure[J]. Economic Development Quarterly,2013,27(3):263-264.
[13] Yuan J,Skibniewski M J,Li Q,et al. Performance objectives selection model in public-private partnership projects based on the perspective of stakeholders[J].Journal of Management in Engineering,2010,26(2):89-104.
[14]吴孝灵,周晶,彭以忱,段庆康.基于公私博弈的PPP项目政府补偿机制研究[J].中国管理科学,2013,21(S1):198-204.
[15] Ng H S,Penn珘A-Mora F,Tamaki T. Dynamic conflict management in large-scale design and construction projects[J]. Journal of Management in Engineering,2007,23(2):52-66.
[16] Dreu C K W D,Vianen A E M V. Managing relationship conflict and the effectiveness of organizational teams[J]. Journal of Organizational Behavior,2001,22(3):309-328.
[17] Fu P. Conflicts in top management teams and team/firm outcomes[J]. International Journal of Conflict Management,2013,20(3):228-250.
[18] Fu X,Ren X Y. Evolutionary game analysis of participants’conflict negotiation in construction project[J].Applied Mechanics&Materials, 2013, 438-439:1761-1765.