集成DEMATEL-ISM方法的航班截载时间影响因素分析
|
摘要
航站楼旅客吞吐量不断增加,使得机场、航空公司频繁更改航班截载时间,并且截载时间的提出缺乏科学依据和理论支撑。为保证旅客准时登上飞机,优化离港航班工作流程,减少因截载时间引起的航班延误,必须建立科学规范的航班截载时间。本文首先运用DEMATEL方法对航班截载时间影响因素定性分析和定量计算,得到各因素的影响度、被影响度、中心度和原因度;然后结合ISM方法,引入阈值λ,得到科学合理、层次简明的解释结构模型;最后两者结合,确定因素之间的相互影响关系,并找出影响航班截载时间的关键因素,为民航局、机场和航空公司规定航班截载时间提供理论依据。
The increasing passenger throughput of the terminal has led to frequent changes in flight cut-off time between airports and airlines, and the proposal of flights cut-off time is in lack of scientific basis and theoretical support. In order to ensure that passengers board the plane on time, optimize departure flight workflow and reduce flight delays caused by cut-off time, it is necessary to establish scientific and standardized flight cut-off time. First,the DEMATEL method is used to qualitatively analyze and quantify the influence factors of flight cut-off time, and the influence degree, influenced degree, center degree and cause degree of each factor are obtained. Then, according to the ISM method, the threshold value is adopted to obtain a scientific, reasonable and concise explanatory structure model. Finally, the two are combined to determine the mutual influence relationship between the factors and find out the key factors influencing flight cut-off time, providing theoretical basis for the CAAC, airports and airlines to stipulate flight cut-off time.
The increasing passenger throughput of the terminal has led to frequent changes in flight cut-off time between airports and airlines, and the proposal of flights cut-off time is in lack of scientific basis and theoretical support. In order to ensure that passengers board the plane on time, optimize departure flight workflow and reduce flight delays caused by cut-off time, it is necessary to establish scientific and standardized flight cut-off time. First,the DEMATEL method is used to qualitatively analyze and quantify the influence factors of flight cut-off time, and the influence degree, influenced degree, center degree and cause degree of each factor are obtained. Then, according to the ISM method, the threshold value is adopted to obtain a scientific, reasonable and concise explanatory structure model. Finally, the two are combined to determine the mutual influence relationship between the factors and find out the key factors influencing flight cut-off time, providing theoretical basis for the CAAC, airports and airlines to stipulate flight cut-off time.
引文
[1]郭圆圆.基于混沌时间序列的航站楼离港旅客流量预测[D].哈尔滨:哈尔滨工业大学,2013.
[2]刘浩.基于Anylogic的航站楼旅客离港业务流程仿真研究[D].广汉:中国民用航空飞行学院,2016.
[3]华闪闪.首都国际机场离港不正常航班特征分析与预测[D].天津:中国民航大学,2017.
[4]陆梦.基于DEMATEL与ISM集成方法的水上交通系统脆性影响因素研究[J].上海海事大学学报,2014,35(1):18-22.
[5]谢晖,李松月,孙永河,等.基于云模型求解属性权重的DEMATEL方法研究[J].计算机工程与应用,2018,54(7):257-263.
[6]李明捷,石荣.基于集成DEMATEL-ISM的机坪容量影响因素分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2017,47(21):155-164.
[7]陈雯,顾宏清.基于ISM与AHP的呼吸机失效影响因素的分析[J].中国医疗设备,2018,33(1):57-60.
[8]廖辉.基于ISM模型的铁路手机购票体验要素分析[J].科技创新与应用,2018(11):1-2,5.
[9]周德群,章玲.集成DEMATEL/ISM的复杂系统层次划分研究[J].管理科学学报,2008,11(2):20-26.
[10]袁琳,江昱洁,余晓钟.基于ISM和DEMATEL的石油企业合作竞争战略影响因素分析[J].石油科技论坛,2012,31(1):29-32,35,69-70.
[2]刘浩.基于Anylogic的航站楼旅客离港业务流程仿真研究[D].广汉:中国民用航空飞行学院,2016.
[3]华闪闪.首都国际机场离港不正常航班特征分析与预测[D].天津:中国民航大学,2017.
[4]陆梦.基于DEMATEL与ISM集成方法的水上交通系统脆性影响因素研究[J].上海海事大学学报,2014,35(1):18-22.
[5]谢晖,李松月,孙永河,等.基于云模型求解属性权重的DEMATEL方法研究[J].计算机工程与应用,2018,54(7):257-263.
[6]李明捷,石荣.基于集成DEMATEL-ISM的机坪容量影响因素分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2017,47(21):155-164.
[7]陈雯,顾宏清.基于ISM与AHP的呼吸机失效影响因素的分析[J].中国医疗设备,2018,33(1):57-60.
[8]廖辉.基于ISM模型的铁路手机购票体验要素分析[J].科技创新与应用,2018(11):1-2,5.
[9]周德群,章玲.集成DEMATEL/ISM的复杂系统层次划分研究[J].管理科学学报,2008,11(2):20-26.
[10]袁琳,江昱洁,余晓钟.基于ISM和DEMATEL的石油企业合作竞争战略影响因素分析[J].石油科技论坛,2012,31(1):29-32,35,69-70.