全要素生产率增长对云南省高质量发展驱动分析
|
摘要
未来经济增长的关键是提高全要素生产率,全要素生产率是新常态经济增长的动力.利用索罗残差法对云南省1990—2017年的全要素生产率的增长率进行了估算,并进一步测算了全要素生产率增长率以及要素投入对云南省经济增长的贡献.结果表明,1990—2017年云南省全要素生产率的增长率平均值仅为0. 14%,对经济增长的平均贡献为-19. 25%;资本要素投入对云南省经济增长的平均贡献为108. 89%,劳动要素投入对云南省经济增长的平均贡献为10. 36%.从1990—2017年整体上看,说明云南省自主进行技术研发滞后一些地区,资本要素投入是云南省经济增长的第一要素,云南省经济增长是属于粗放型经济下的资本密集型增长方式.
the key to future economic growth is to improve total factor productivity,which is the driving force of the new normal economic growth. This paper estimates the growth rate of total factor productivity in Yunnan Province from 1990 to 2017 by using Solo residual method,and further calculates the growth rate of total factor productivity and the contribution of factor input to the economic growth of Yunnan Province. The results show that the average growth rate of total factor productivity in Yunnan Province from 1990 to 2017 is only 0. 14%,and the average contribution to economic growth is-19. 25%. The average contribution of capital input to the economic growth of Yunnan Province is 108. 89%,and the average contribution of labor factor input to the economic growth of Yunnan Province is 10. 36%. From 1990 to 2017,it shows that Yunnan Province lags behind in technology research and development,capital input is the first factor of economic growth in Yunnan Province,and economic growth in Yunnan Province is a capital-intensive growth mode under extensive economy.
the key to future economic growth is to improve total factor productivity,which is the driving force of the new normal economic growth. This paper estimates the growth rate of total factor productivity in Yunnan Province from 1990 to 2017 by using Solo residual method,and further calculates the growth rate of total factor productivity and the contribution of factor input to the economic growth of Yunnan Province. The results show that the average growth rate of total factor productivity in Yunnan Province from 1990 to 2017 is only 0. 14%,and the average contribution to economic growth is-19. 25%. The average contribution of capital input to the economic growth of Yunnan Province is 108. 89%,and the average contribution of labor factor input to the economic growth of Yunnan Province is 10. 36%. From 1990 to 2017,it shows that Yunnan Province lags behind in technology research and development,capital input is the first factor of economic growth in Yunnan Province,and economic growth in Yunnan Province is a capital-intensive growth mode under extensive economy.
引文
[1]Tinbergen J.Zur Theorie der langfristigen Wirtschaftsentwicklung[J].Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv,1942,55:511-549.
[2]Solow R M.Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function[J].The Review of Economics and Statistics,1957,39(3):312-320.
[3]Krugman P.The Myth of Asia's Miracle[J].Foreign Affairs,1994,73(6):62-78.
[4]郑玉歆.全要素生产率的测度及经济增长方式的“阶段性”规律——由东亚经济增长方式的争论谈起[J].经济研究,1999(5):57-62.
[5]张军,吴桂英,张吉鹏.中国省际物质资本存量估算:1952-2000[J].经济研究,2004(10):35-44.
[6]Schwert G W.Tests For Unit Roots:,A Monte Carlo Investigation[J].Journal of Business&Economic Statistics,1989,7(2):147-159.
[2]Solow R M.Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function[J].The Review of Economics and Statistics,1957,39(3):312-320.
[3]Krugman P.The Myth of Asia's Miracle[J].Foreign Affairs,1994,73(6):62-78.
[4]郑玉歆.全要素生产率的测度及经济增长方式的“阶段性”规律——由东亚经济增长方式的争论谈起[J].经济研究,1999(5):57-62.
[5]张军,吴桂英,张吉鹏.中国省际物质资本存量估算:1952-2000[J].经济研究,2004(10):35-44.
[6]Schwert G W.Tests For Unit Roots:,A Monte Carlo Investigation[J].Journal of Business&Economic Statistics,1989,7(2):147-159.