大气污染与经济增长脱钩关系及影响因素研究
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摘要
利用Tapio脱钩理论对我国30个省(市、区)大气污染与经济增长的脱钩关系进行分类并探讨其形成原因,采用空间面板数据对脱钩关系的影响因素进行分析,结果发现:我国大气污染物排放与经济增长之间主要表现为强脱钩状态,国家在发展经济的同时能够兼顾环境污染治理;大气污染具有正向空间效应,邻近省(市、区)冲击会对本省产生正向影响;人均实际GDP和人均废气治理费用与大气污染呈显著正相关,产业结构高级化和产业结构合理化能有效减少大气污染。
This paper uses Tapio decoupling theory and spatial econometric model to analyze the decoupling relationship between air pollution and economic growth in 30 provinces in China,and further explore its influencing factors. The results have found that China's air pollutants' emission and economic growth are mainly in a state of strong decoupling,the country can give consideration to environmental pollution control while developing the economy. Air pollution has a positive spatial effect and the impact of neighboring provinces will have a positive impact on the province. Per capita real GDP and per capita waste gas treatment costs have positive correlation with air pollution. Advanced industrial structure and rationalization of industrial structure can effectively reduce air pollution.
This paper uses Tapio decoupling theory and spatial econometric model to analyze the decoupling relationship between air pollution and economic growth in 30 provinces in China,and further explore its influencing factors. The results have found that China's air pollutants' emission and economic growth are mainly in a state of strong decoupling,the country can give consideration to environmental pollution control while developing the economy. Air pollution has a positive spatial effect and the impact of neighboring provinces will have a positive impact on the province. Per capita real GDP and per capita waste gas treatment costs have positive correlation with air pollution. Advanced industrial structure and rationalization of industrial structure can effectively reduce air pollution.
引文
[1]张志辉.中国区域能源效率演变及其影响因素[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2015,32(8):73-88.
[2]郭四代,仝梦,郭杰,等.基于三阶段DEA模型的省际真实环境效率测度与影响因素分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(3):106-116.
[3] OECD. Indicators to Measure Decoupling of Environmental Pressures from Economic Growth[R]. Paris:OECD,2002.
[4]仇方道,沈正平,张敬,等.基于脱钩模型的煤炭城市可持续发展动态分析———以徐州市为例[J].地域研究与开发,2011,30(3):67-72.
[5]吴开亚,刘晓薇,朱勤,等.安徽省经济增长与环境压力的脱钩关系研究———基于物质流分析[J].地域研究与开发,2012,31(4):29-33.
[6]王鹤鸣,岳强,陆钟武.中国1998-2008年资源消耗与经济增长的脱钩分析[J].资源科学,2011,33(9):1757-1767.
[7]李效顺,曲福田,郭忠兴,等.城乡建设用地变化的脱钩研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2008(5):179-184.
[8]车亮亮,韩雪,赵良仕,等.中国煤炭利用效率评价及与经济增长脱钩分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(3):104-110.
[9]孙叶飞,周敏.中国能源消费碳排放与经济增长脱钩关系及驱动因素研究[J].经济与管理评论,2017,33(6):21-30.
[10]齐绍洲,林屾,王班班.中部六省经济增长方式对区域碳排放的影响———基于Tapio脱钩模型、面板数据的滞后期工具变量法的研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(5):59-66.
[11]盖美,曹桂艳,田成诗,等.辽宁沿海经济带能源消费碳排放与区域经济增长脱钩分析[J].资源科学,2014,36(6):1267-1277.
[12]张成,蔡万焕,于同申.区域经济增长与碳生产率———基于收敛及脱钩指数的分析[J].中国工业经济,2013(5):18-30.
[13]杨嵘,常烜钰.西部地区碳排放与经济增长关系的脱钩及驱动因素[J].经济地理,2012,32(12):34-39.
[14]胡颖,诸大建.中国建筑业CO2排放与产值、能耗的脱钩分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(8):50-57.
[15]冯博,王雪青.中国各省建筑业碳排放脱钩及影响因素研究[J].中国人口资源与环境,2015,25(4):28-34.
[16]王君华,李霞.中国工业行业经济增长与CO2排放的脱钩效应[J].经济地理,2015,35(5):105-110.
[17]田云,张俊飚,李波.中国农业碳排放研究:测算、时空比较及脱钩效应[J].资源科学,2012,34(11):2097-2105.
[18] ANSELIN L. Spatial effects in econometric practice in environmental and resource economics[J]. American Journal of Agricultural Economics,2001,83(3):705-710.
[19] RUPASINGHA A,GOETZ S J,DEBERTIN D L,et al.The environmental kuznets curve for US counties:A spatial econometric analysis with extensions[J]. Papers in Regional Science,2004,83:407-424.
[20] POON P H,CASAA I,HE C. The impact of energy,transport,and trade on air pollution in China[J]. Eurasian Geography and Economics,2006,47:1-17.
[21]许和连,邓玉萍.外商直接投资导致了中国的环境污染吗?———基于中国省际面板数据的空间计量研究[J].管理世界,2012(2):30-43.
[22]聂飞,刘海云. FDI、环境污染与经济增长的相关性研究———基于动态联立方程模型的实证检验[J].国际贸易问题,2015(2):72-83.
[23]刘华军,杨骞.环境污染、时空依赖与经济增长[J].产业经济研究,2014(1):81-91.
[24]马丽梅,张晓.区域大气污染空间效应及产业结构影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(7):157-164.
[25] TAPIO P. Towards a theory of decoupling:degrees of decoupling in the EU and the case of road traffic in Finland between 1970 and 2001[J]. Transport Policy,2005,12(2):137-151.
[26]邵帅,李欣,曹建华,等.中国雾霾污染治理的经济政策选择———基于空间溢出效应的视角[J].经济研究,2016(9):73-88.
[27] MORAN P A. Notes on continuous stochastic phenomena[J]. Biometrika,1950,37(1/2):17-23.
[28] ANSELIN L. Spatial econometric:methods and models[J]. Journal of the American Statistical Association,1990,85(411):160.
[2]郭四代,仝梦,郭杰,等.基于三阶段DEA模型的省际真实环境效率测度与影响因素分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(3):106-116.
[3] OECD. Indicators to Measure Decoupling of Environmental Pressures from Economic Growth[R]. Paris:OECD,2002.
[4]仇方道,沈正平,张敬,等.基于脱钩模型的煤炭城市可持续发展动态分析———以徐州市为例[J].地域研究与开发,2011,30(3):67-72.
[5]吴开亚,刘晓薇,朱勤,等.安徽省经济增长与环境压力的脱钩关系研究———基于物质流分析[J].地域研究与开发,2012,31(4):29-33.
[6]王鹤鸣,岳强,陆钟武.中国1998-2008年资源消耗与经济增长的脱钩分析[J].资源科学,2011,33(9):1757-1767.
[7]李效顺,曲福田,郭忠兴,等.城乡建设用地变化的脱钩研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2008(5):179-184.
[8]车亮亮,韩雪,赵良仕,等.中国煤炭利用效率评价及与经济增长脱钩分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(3):104-110.
[9]孙叶飞,周敏.中国能源消费碳排放与经济增长脱钩关系及驱动因素研究[J].经济与管理评论,2017,33(6):21-30.
[10]齐绍洲,林屾,王班班.中部六省经济增长方式对区域碳排放的影响———基于Tapio脱钩模型、面板数据的滞后期工具变量法的研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(5):59-66.
[11]盖美,曹桂艳,田成诗,等.辽宁沿海经济带能源消费碳排放与区域经济增长脱钩分析[J].资源科学,2014,36(6):1267-1277.
[12]张成,蔡万焕,于同申.区域经济增长与碳生产率———基于收敛及脱钩指数的分析[J].中国工业经济,2013(5):18-30.
[13]杨嵘,常烜钰.西部地区碳排放与经济增长关系的脱钩及驱动因素[J].经济地理,2012,32(12):34-39.
[14]胡颖,诸大建.中国建筑业CO2排放与产值、能耗的脱钩分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(8):50-57.
[15]冯博,王雪青.中国各省建筑业碳排放脱钩及影响因素研究[J].中国人口资源与环境,2015,25(4):28-34.
[16]王君华,李霞.中国工业行业经济增长与CO2排放的脱钩效应[J].经济地理,2015,35(5):105-110.
[17]田云,张俊飚,李波.中国农业碳排放研究:测算、时空比较及脱钩效应[J].资源科学,2012,34(11):2097-2105.
[18] ANSELIN L. Spatial effects in econometric practice in environmental and resource economics[J]. American Journal of Agricultural Economics,2001,83(3):705-710.
[19] RUPASINGHA A,GOETZ S J,DEBERTIN D L,et al.The environmental kuznets curve for US counties:A spatial econometric analysis with extensions[J]. Papers in Regional Science,2004,83:407-424.
[20] POON P H,CASAA I,HE C. The impact of energy,transport,and trade on air pollution in China[J]. Eurasian Geography and Economics,2006,47:1-17.
[21]许和连,邓玉萍.外商直接投资导致了中国的环境污染吗?———基于中国省际面板数据的空间计量研究[J].管理世界,2012(2):30-43.
[22]聂飞,刘海云. FDI、环境污染与经济增长的相关性研究———基于动态联立方程模型的实证检验[J].国际贸易问题,2015(2):72-83.
[23]刘华军,杨骞.环境污染、时空依赖与经济增长[J].产业经济研究,2014(1):81-91.
[24]马丽梅,张晓.区域大气污染空间效应及产业结构影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(7):157-164.
[25] TAPIO P. Towards a theory of decoupling:degrees of decoupling in the EU and the case of road traffic in Finland between 1970 and 2001[J]. Transport Policy,2005,12(2):137-151.
[26]邵帅,李欣,曹建华,等.中国雾霾污染治理的经济政策选择———基于空间溢出效应的视角[J].经济研究,2016(9):73-88.
[27] MORAN P A. Notes on continuous stochastic phenomena[J]. Biometrika,1950,37(1/2):17-23.
[28] ANSELIN L. Spatial econometric:methods and models[J]. Journal of the American Statistical Association,1990,85(411):160.