新疆兵团城镇化发展与水资源利用:耦合协调测度与障碍分析
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摘要
促进兵团城镇化发展必须高度重视水资源的有效利用。本文运用耦合协调模型和障碍度模型,对兵团城镇化发展与水资源利用耦合协调度进行评估并探究其障碍因子,结果表明:兵团城镇化发展与水资源利用耦合协调程度较低,但总体呈现趋好态势,已由低度失调转为低度耦合协调。影响二者耦合协调关系的主要障碍因子是产水模数、生态环境用水率、生活垃圾无害化处理率、农业用水率、城镇人口比重和城镇居民恩格尔系数。产业结构欠佳、社会化服务水平偏低影响了兵团水资源优化利用,水资源禀赋条件和水环境改善能力也约束了兵团城镇化发展质量。为此,提出优化产业结构、依靠科技进步、增加城镇绿地面积、保障生态水权、提高公民科普素质五项建议。
To promote the development of the urbanization of the Corps,it's necessarty to attach great importance to the effective use of water resources. In this paper,the coupling coordination model and the obstacle degree model are used to evaluate the coupling degree of urbanization development and water resources utilization of the Corps and explore its obstacle factors. The results show that the coupling degree of urbanization development and water resources utilization of the Corps is low,but it presents an improving trend overall which has shifted from low imbalance to low coupling coordination. The main obstacle factors affecting the coupling and coordination relationship between them are the water production modulus,the ecological environment water use rate,the harmless treatment rate of domestic garbage,the agricultural water use rate,the urban population proportion and the Engel coefficient of urban residents. The poor industrial structure and low level of social service have affected the optimal utilization of water resources of the XPCC. The water endowment conditions and water environment improvement capabilities have also constrained the quality of the XPCC's urbanization development. To this end,it proposes five suggestions for optimizing the industrial structure,relying on scientific and technological progress,increasing the urban green space,ensuring ecological water rights,and improving the quality of citizens' popular science.
To promote the development of the urbanization of the Corps,it's necessarty to attach great importance to the effective use of water resources. In this paper,the coupling coordination model and the obstacle degree model are used to evaluate the coupling degree of urbanization development and water resources utilization of the Corps and explore its obstacle factors. The results show that the coupling degree of urbanization development and water resources utilization of the Corps is low,but it presents an improving trend overall which has shifted from low imbalance to low coupling coordination. The main obstacle factors affecting the coupling and coordination relationship between them are the water production modulus,the ecological environment water use rate,the harmless treatment rate of domestic garbage,the agricultural water use rate,the urban population proportion and the Engel coefficient of urban residents. The poor industrial structure and low level of social service have affected the optimal utilization of water resources of the XPCC. The water endowment conditions and water environment improvement capabilities have also constrained the quality of the XPCC's urbanization development. To this end,it proposes five suggestions for optimizing the industrial structure,relying on scientific and technological progress,increasing the urban green space,ensuring ecological water rights,and improving the quality of citizens' popular science.
引文
[1]孙金龙,坚决落实党中央对兵团的定位要求履行兵团职责使命发挥兵团特殊作用为维护新疆社会稳定和实现长治久安而奋斗——在中国共产党新疆生产建设兵团第七次代表大会上的报告[J].当代兵团,2017(8):7-17.
[2]Wei J.,Wei Y.,Western A.. Evolution of the Societal Value of Water Resources for Economic Development Versus Environmental Sustainability in Australia from 1843 to 2011[J]. Global Environmental Change,2017(42):82-92.
[3]Author C.,Murali K.,Tamilnadu I.,et al.. Analysis of Societal Value Dynamics of Groundwater Utilization in South Taluk of Coimbatore District[J]. Archives Des Sciences Journal,2013,9(4):2455-2462.
[4]Engelman R.,Leroy P.. Sustaining Water Population and the Future of Renewable Water Supplies[J]. Washington D.,1993,23(4):296-296.
[5]Ashoori N.,Dzombak D. A.,Small M. J.. Identifying Water Price and Population Criteria for Meeting Future Urban Water Demand Targets[J]. Journal of Hydrology,2017(555):547-556.
[6]Xu J.,Grumbine R. E.,Shrestha A.,et al.. The Melting Himalayas:Cascading Effects of Climate Change on Water,Biodiversity and Livelihoods[J]. Conservation Biology,2010,23(3):520-530.
[7]Lankao P. R.. Water in Mexico City:What Will Climate Change Bring to its History of Water-related Hazards and Vulnerabilities?[J]. Environment&Urbanization,2010,22(1):157-178.
[8]Katz D.. Water Use and Economic Growth:Reconsidering the Environmental Kuznets Curve Relationship[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production,2015(88):205-213.
[9]Distefano,Tiziano,Kelly,et al.. Are We in Deep Water? Water Scarcity and its Limits to Economic Growth[J]. Ecological Economics,2017(142):130-147
[10]Thompson A.. Water Abundance and an EKC for Water Pollution[J]. Economics Letters,2012,117(2):423-425.
[11]Fuller A. C.,Harhay M. O.. Population Growth,Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Southwestern United States[J]. American Journal of Environmental Sciences,2010,6(3):249-252.
[12]冯浩源,石培基,周文霞,陈佳银,张学斌.水资源管理“三条红线”约束下的城镇化水平阈值分析——以张掖市为例[J].自然资源学报,2018,33(2):287-301.
[13]尹文超,刘永旺,赵昕,刘鹏,赵锂.城镇分散式低碳生态污水处理及资源化技术研究[J].给水排水,2017,53(S1):107-111.
[14]党丽娟,徐勇,王志强.陕西省榆林市水资源人口承载规模研究[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(3):90-97+321.
[15]潘雪倩,赵璐,孙菊英,孙林博,李玲,雷孝章.城镇化进程中成都市水资源利用的分析及预测[J].水文,2017,37(4):45-51.
[16]赵强,李秀梅,高倩,熊丹,邹春辉.基于模糊综合评判的山东省水资源承载力评价[J].生态科学,2018,37(4):188-194.
[17]李华,师谦友,高楠,刘月.西安城市化与水资源利用关系的量化研究[J].地域研究与开发,2012,31(5):131-134+139.
[18]陈肖飞,郭建峰,姚士谋.长三角城市群新型城镇化与生态环境承载力耦合协调研究:基于利奥波德的大地伦理观思想[J].长江流域资源与环境,2018,27(4):715-724.
[19]金巍,章恒全,张洪波,孔伟,毛广雄,张陈俊,严翔.城镇化、水资源消耗的动态演进与门槛效应[J].北京理工大学学报(社会科学版),2018,20(2):42-50.
[20]金巍,章恒全,王惠,尚正永,刘双双.城镇化进程中人口结构变动对用水量的影响[J].资源科学,2018,40(4):784-796.
[21]高雅婵,梁勤欧,于红梅.基于需求场理论的浙江城市水资源利用强度时空格局及演变[J].资源科学,2018,40(2):335-346.
[22]马海良,姜明栋,侯雅如.长江经济带城镇化对工业用水的脱钩研究——基于“十一五”和“十二五”时期的对比分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2018,27(8):1683-1692.
[23]蒋汝成,顾世祥.熵权法—正态云模型在云南省水生态承载力评价中的应用[J].水资源与水工程学报,2018,29(3):118-123.
[24]刘法威,许恒周,王姝.人口—土地—经济城镇化的时空耦合协调性分析——基于中国省际面板数据的实证研究[J].城市发展研究,2014,21(8):7-11.
[25]张胜武,石培基,王祖静.干旱区内陆河流域城镇化与水资源环境系统耦合分析——以石羊河流域为例[J].经济地理,2012,32(8):142-148.
(1)资料来源:新疆生产建设兵团2016年国民经济和社会发展统计公报。
(2)数据来源:新疆水资源公报(2009年)。
[2]Wei J.,Wei Y.,Western A.. Evolution of the Societal Value of Water Resources for Economic Development Versus Environmental Sustainability in Australia from 1843 to 2011[J]. Global Environmental Change,2017(42):82-92.
[3]Author C.,Murali K.,Tamilnadu I.,et al.. Analysis of Societal Value Dynamics of Groundwater Utilization in South Taluk of Coimbatore District[J]. Archives Des Sciences Journal,2013,9(4):2455-2462.
[4]Engelman R.,Leroy P.. Sustaining Water Population and the Future of Renewable Water Supplies[J]. Washington D.,1993,23(4):296-296.
[5]Ashoori N.,Dzombak D. A.,Small M. J.. Identifying Water Price and Population Criteria for Meeting Future Urban Water Demand Targets[J]. Journal of Hydrology,2017(555):547-556.
[6]Xu J.,Grumbine R. E.,Shrestha A.,et al.. The Melting Himalayas:Cascading Effects of Climate Change on Water,Biodiversity and Livelihoods[J]. Conservation Biology,2010,23(3):520-530.
[7]Lankao P. R.. Water in Mexico City:What Will Climate Change Bring to its History of Water-related Hazards and Vulnerabilities?[J]. Environment&Urbanization,2010,22(1):157-178.
[8]Katz D.. Water Use and Economic Growth:Reconsidering the Environmental Kuznets Curve Relationship[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production,2015(88):205-213.
[9]Distefano,Tiziano,Kelly,et al.. Are We in Deep Water? Water Scarcity and its Limits to Economic Growth[J]. Ecological Economics,2017(142):130-147
[10]Thompson A.. Water Abundance and an EKC for Water Pollution[J]. Economics Letters,2012,117(2):423-425.
[11]Fuller A. C.,Harhay M. O.. Population Growth,Climate Change and Water Scarcity in the Southwestern United States[J]. American Journal of Environmental Sciences,2010,6(3):249-252.
[12]冯浩源,石培基,周文霞,陈佳银,张学斌.水资源管理“三条红线”约束下的城镇化水平阈值分析——以张掖市为例[J].自然资源学报,2018,33(2):287-301.
[13]尹文超,刘永旺,赵昕,刘鹏,赵锂.城镇分散式低碳生态污水处理及资源化技术研究[J].给水排水,2017,53(S1):107-111.
[14]党丽娟,徐勇,王志强.陕西省榆林市水资源人口承载规模研究[J].水土保持研究,2014,21(3):90-97+321.
[15]潘雪倩,赵璐,孙菊英,孙林博,李玲,雷孝章.城镇化进程中成都市水资源利用的分析及预测[J].水文,2017,37(4):45-51.
[16]赵强,李秀梅,高倩,熊丹,邹春辉.基于模糊综合评判的山东省水资源承载力评价[J].生态科学,2018,37(4):188-194.
[17]李华,师谦友,高楠,刘月.西安城市化与水资源利用关系的量化研究[J].地域研究与开发,2012,31(5):131-134+139.
[18]陈肖飞,郭建峰,姚士谋.长三角城市群新型城镇化与生态环境承载力耦合协调研究:基于利奥波德的大地伦理观思想[J].长江流域资源与环境,2018,27(4):715-724.
[19]金巍,章恒全,张洪波,孔伟,毛广雄,张陈俊,严翔.城镇化、水资源消耗的动态演进与门槛效应[J].北京理工大学学报(社会科学版),2018,20(2):42-50.
[20]金巍,章恒全,王惠,尚正永,刘双双.城镇化进程中人口结构变动对用水量的影响[J].资源科学,2018,40(4):784-796.
[21]高雅婵,梁勤欧,于红梅.基于需求场理论的浙江城市水资源利用强度时空格局及演变[J].资源科学,2018,40(2):335-346.
[22]马海良,姜明栋,侯雅如.长江经济带城镇化对工业用水的脱钩研究——基于“十一五”和“十二五”时期的对比分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2018,27(8):1683-1692.
[23]蒋汝成,顾世祥.熵权法—正态云模型在云南省水生态承载力评价中的应用[J].水资源与水工程学报,2018,29(3):118-123.
[24]刘法威,许恒周,王姝.人口—土地—经济城镇化的时空耦合协调性分析——基于中国省际面板数据的实证研究[J].城市发展研究,2014,21(8):7-11.
[25]张胜武,石培基,王祖静.干旱区内陆河流域城镇化与水资源环境系统耦合分析——以石羊河流域为例[J].经济地理,2012,32(8):142-148.
(1)资料来源:新疆生产建设兵团2016年国民经济和社会发展统计公报。
(2)数据来源:新疆水资源公报(2009年)。