城市便利性与城市集聚发展:基于联立方程模型的实证分析
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摘要
通过联立方程模型3SLS方法,对土地财政背景下,城市便利性影响城市集聚发展的机制和传导路径进行了实证检验.研究结果表明:1)城市便利性通过促进人口集聚和产业集聚来推动城市集聚发展.城市便利性整体水平提高一个标准单位,城市人口集聚程度上升0.25个百分点,产业集聚程度相应地上升0.148个百分点.2)在城市便利性促进城市集聚发展过程中,人口集聚与产业集聚存在正向的循环因果累积关系,人口集聚吸引了更多的产业集聚,产业集聚水平的提高又进一步促进了人口集聚.3)城市便利性的集聚效应受到土地财政的制约.地方政府对土地财政的依赖程度越高,城市便利性的集聚效应越小.
Using a Simultaneous Equations Model(SEM) and 3 SLS estimation method,this paper empirically examines how urban amenities influences urban agglomeration development in 288 cities in China. It is found that. 1) Urban amenities stimulates urban development by promoting the agglomeration of both population and industries. An increase of one standard unit of urban amenities is associated with an increase of 0.25 percent of population agglomeration and 0.148 percent of industrial agglomeration. 2) There is a cumulative causation of population agglomeration and industrial agglomeration. An increase of the extent of population agglomeration attracts more industries which in turn attracts more population. 3) The agglomeration effect of urban amenities is alleviated by land finance.The higher the dependence of local government on local finance, the smaller the effect of urban amenities on urban agglomeration development.
Using a Simultaneous Equations Model(SEM) and 3 SLS estimation method,this paper empirically examines how urban amenities influences urban agglomeration development in 288 cities in China. It is found that. 1) Urban amenities stimulates urban development by promoting the agglomeration of both population and industries. An increase of one standard unit of urban amenities is associated with an increase of 0.25 percent of population agglomeration and 0.148 percent of industrial agglomeration. 2) There is a cumulative causation of population agglomeration and industrial agglomeration. An increase of the extent of population agglomeration attracts more industries which in turn attracts more population. 3) The agglomeration effect of urban amenities is alleviated by land finance.The higher the dependence of local government on local finance, the smaller the effect of urban amenities on urban agglomeration development.
引文
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[21]郭珂.土地财政依赖、财政缺口与房价——基于省级面板数据的研究[J].经济评论,2013, 2:69-75.
[22]文玫.中国工业在区域上的重新定位和聚集[J].经济研究,2004(2):84-94.
[23]金煜,陈钊,陆铭.中国的地区工业集聚:经济地理、新经济地理与经济政策[J].经济研究,2006, 4:79-89.
[24]郑丹,Kuroda T.城市基础设施水平如何影响居民工资收入:溢价还是折价[J].南方经济,2017, 1:66-85.
[2] Hong J. The role of amenities in a regional economy:A meta-analysis approach[J]. Journal of Rural Development, 2011, 34(5):91-116.
[3] Clark T N, Lloyd R, Wong K K, Jain P. Amenities drive urban growth[J]. Journal of Urban Affairs,2002, 24(5):493-515.
[4] Chen Y, Rosenthal S. Local amenities and life-cycle migration:Do people move for jobs or fun?[J]Journal of Urban Economics, 2008, 64(3):519-537.
[5] Deller S C, Tsai S H, Marcouiller D W, English D B K. The role of amenities and quality of life in rural economic growth[J]. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 83(2):352-365.
[6] Gottlieb P D. Residential amenities, firm location, and economic development[J]. Urban Studies,1995, 32(9):1413-1436.
[7] Florida R. The economic geography of talent[J]. Annals of the Association of American geographers,2002, 92(4):743-755.
[8] Florida R. The rise of the creative class[J]. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 2005, 35(5):593-596.
[9]吴文钰.城市便利性、生活质量与城市发展:综述及启示[J].城市规划学刊,2010, 189(4):71-75.
[10]段楠.城市便利性、弱连接与”逃回北上广”一一兼论创意阶层的区位选择[J].城市观察,2012, 2:99-109.
[11]夏怡然,陆铭.城市间的“孟母三迁”一一公共服务影响劳动力流向的经验研究[J].管理世界,2015, 10:78-90.
[12]踪家峰,李宁.“为什么奔向北上广?一一城市宜居性、住房价格与工资水平的视角分析”[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2015, 5:12-23.
[13]项本武,杨晓北.我国城市便利性对城市人口增长的影响研究[J].城市发展研究,2017, 24(2):22-26.
[14]冯云廷.城市舒适与居民生活品质[J].财经问题研究,2008, 7:113-118.
[15] Rappaport J. The increasing importance of quality of life[J]. Journal of Economic Geography, 2009,9(6):779-804.
[16] Dahlberg M, Eklof M, Fredriksson P, Jofre-Monseny J. Estimating preferences for local public services using migration data[J]. Urban Studies, 2012, 49(2):319-336.
[17] Xing C. Zhang J. The preference for larger cities in China:Evidence from rural-urban migrants[J].China Economic Review, 2017, 43:72-90.
[18]钱学峰,梁琦.本地市场效应:理论和经验研究的最新进展[J].经济学(季刊),2007, 3:969-990.
[19]王燕飞.城市产业集聚与就业促进的实证分析[J].探索,2014, 2:93-97.
[20] Glaeser E L. Urban growth and housing supply[J]. Journal of Economic Geography, 2006, 6(1):71-89.
[21]郭珂.土地财政依赖、财政缺口与房价——基于省级面板数据的研究[J].经济评论,2013, 2:69-75.
[22]文玫.中国工业在区域上的重新定位和聚集[J].经济研究,2004(2):84-94.
[23]金煜,陈钊,陆铭.中国的地区工业集聚:经济地理、新经济地理与经济政策[J].经济研究,2006, 4:79-89.
[24]郑丹,Kuroda T.城市基础设施水平如何影响居民工资收入:溢价还是折价[J].南方经济,2017, 1:66-85.