盐城市水资源承载状态量化研究
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摘要
在分析水资源承载状态内涵的基础上,选取协调发展度作为表征指标,构建盐城市水资源承载状态量化体系,运用熵权法确定权重,并按照协调发展度计算方法分别对2015年、2020年、2025年、2030年盐城市水资源承载状态进行量化。结果表明:盐城市2015年水资源承载状态为中等水平,但随着未来"最严格水资源管理制度"等一系列措施的实施,2020年、2025年、2030年盐城市水资源承载状态持续提升,并在2030年达到较好的水平。
Based on the analysis of the connotation of carrying status of water resources,the quantitative system of carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City is established by selecting the coordinated development degree as the characteristic index. The entropy weight method is used to determine the weight,and the carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City is calculated in 2015,2020,2025 and 2030,respectively according to the method of coordinated development degree. The results show that the carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City in 2015 is in the state of medium level. However,with the implementation of a series of measures such as "the most stringent water resources management system " in the coming years,the carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City in 2020,2025,2030 continues to increase,and it will reach a better level in 2030.
Based on the analysis of the connotation of carrying status of water resources,the quantitative system of carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City is established by selecting the coordinated development degree as the characteristic index. The entropy weight method is used to determine the weight,and the carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City is calculated in 2015,2020,2025 and 2030,respectively according to the method of coordinated development degree. The results show that the carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City in 2015 is in the state of medium level. However,with the implementation of a series of measures such as "the most stringent water resources management system " in the coming years,the carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City in 2020,2025,2030 continues to increase,and it will reach a better level in 2030.
引文
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[3]许有鹏.干旱地区水资源承载能力综合评价[J].自然资源学报,1993,8(3):229-237.
[4]刘雅玲,罗雅谦,张文静,等.基于压力-状态-响应模型的城市水资源承载力评价指标体系构建研究[J].环境污染与防治,2016,38(5):100-104.
[5]段新光,栾芳芳.基于模糊综合评判的新疆水资源承载力评价[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(3):119-122.
[6]王顺久,杨志峰,丁晶.关中平原地下水资源承载力综合评价的投影寻踪方法[J].资源科学,2004,26(6):104-110.
[7]许朗,黄莺,刘爱军.基于主成分分析的江苏省水资源承载力研究[J].长江流域资源与环境,2011,20(12):1468-1474.
[8]杨光,董增川,周毅,等.南京市水资源承载能力研究[J].水电能源科学,2018,36(11):26-29.
[9]左其亭.城市水资源承载能力:理论·方法·应用[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2005.
[10]孙雅茹,董增川,周毅,等.基于结构熵权法的长江下游水资源承载力评价:以南京市为例[J].人民长江,2018,49(7):47-51.
[11]汤淏,王腊春.基于熵权法的南京市水资源可持续利用评价[J].四川环境,2010,29(1):75-79.
[12]左其亭,赵衡,马军霞.水资源与经济社会和谐平衡研究[J].水利学报,2014,45(7):785-792.
[13]徐凯,汪林,甘治国,等.流域水循环系统多维调控方案的评价与优选[J].河海大学学报(自然科学版),2014,42(2):118-123.
[14]郭德泉.区域经济社会发展协调度分析[J].温州大学学报(社会科学版),2007,20(2):73-78.
[15]关伟,刘勇凤.辽宁沿海经济带经济与环境协调发展度的时空演变[J].地理研究,2012,31(11):2044-2054.