灾害管理:国际前沿及理论综述
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摘要
现代社会灾害具有涟漪效应、破窗效应、蝴蝶效应和多米诺骨牌效应等特点,国际灾害管理也因此出现了重大变革。20世纪以来,灾害管理经历了"准军事""自然灾害应变""灾害管理周期""环境安全管理"和"公共安全管理"等理念转变,管理策略发生了从朴素主义向工程技术、从结构式向非结构式减灾、从防灾向减灾、从技术管理向灾害管理、从危机向善用灾害带来的机会等转变。灾害管理重心主要有"整合性灾害管理""全灾害管理""社区防灾为主轴""移动的灾后管理系统""灾害碎片管理""灾害废物管理"和"国家风险评估"等。研究强调灾害发生后会形成许多物质、组织、制度与精神等碎片,加强碎片管理已成为国际灾害管理新趋势。同时,通信技术有助于构建灾后信息共享环境及形成智能化管理系统。最后,多数研究认为有效与可持续灾后应对措施至关重要,这几乎是全球每个谨慎管理灾害国家的核心。
Social disasters in modern times are characterized by ripple effect,broken window effect,butterfly effect and domino effect,which has brought along significant reformation in disaster management in international world.Since20th century,the ideas on disaster has transformed from paramilitary means,nature disaster response,disaster cycle management,environmental safety management to public safety management.Management strategies has experienced such changes as from Simpleology to engineering technology,from structural to non-structural mitigation,from disaster prevention to disaster reduction,from technological management to disaster management,from disaster to taking advantage of chances brought by disasters and so on.The emphasis of disaster management mainly focuses on integrated disaster management,comprehensive management,disaster prevention with community as the coreentity,mobile management system after disaster,disaster debris management,disaster waste management and national risks evaluation and so on.The paper argues that disasters will bring lots of problems on material,organizations,institution and morale,thus strengthening debris management has been new trend for international disaster management.At the same time,communication technology will facilitate to build information sharing platform after disaster and form an intelligent management system.Finally,it is crucial for us to have effective and sustainable respond measures after disasters,which has almost been the focus of nations cautious in disaster management.
Social disasters in modern times are characterized by ripple effect,broken window effect,butterfly effect and domino effect,which has brought along significant reformation in disaster management in international world.Since20th century,the ideas on disaster has transformed from paramilitary means,nature disaster response,disaster cycle management,environmental safety management to public safety management.Management strategies has experienced such changes as from Simpleology to engineering technology,from structural to non-structural mitigation,from disaster prevention to disaster reduction,from technological management to disaster management,from disaster to taking advantage of chances brought by disasters and so on.The emphasis of disaster management mainly focuses on integrated disaster management,comprehensive management,disaster prevention with community as the coreentity,mobile management system after disaster,disaster debris management,disaster waste management and national risks evaluation and so on.The paper argues that disasters will bring lots of problems on material,organizations,institution and morale,thus strengthening debris management has been new trend for international disaster management.At the same time,communication technology will facilitate to build information sharing platform after disaster and form an intelligent management system.Finally,it is crucial for us to have effective and sustainable respond measures after disasters,which has almost been the focus of nations cautious in disaster management.
引文
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(6)Aydin,C,etal,“Improving Disaster Resilience Using Mobile Based Disaster Management System”,Procedia Technology,2016,22,pp.382-390.
(7)Othman,S H,etal,“Development and validation of a Disaster Management Metamodel(DMM)”,Information Processing and Management,2014,50(2),pp.235-271.
(8)周利敏、李夏茵:《超越问责:中美应急管理结构比较研究---以天津港大爆炸与德州大爆炸为例》,《中国软科学》2017年第9期。
(1)Jin,L,etal,“A Simulation Study for Emergency/Disaster Management by Applying Complex Networks Theory”,Journal of Applied Research and Technology,2014,12(2),pp.223-229.
(2)Fontainha,TC,etal,“Public-Private-People Relationship Stakeholder Model for disaster and humanitarian operations”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2017,22,pp.371-386.
(3)汤中彬、张扬、吕兴江:《基于传统危机文化的现代危机管理体系构建研究》,《广州大学学报(社科版)》2016年第8期。
(1)Okada A;Ogura K,“Japanese Disaster Management System:Recent Developments in Information Flow and Chains of Command”,Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management,2014,22(1),pp.58-62.
(2)Glenn M.“Cannon,strengthening the Federal Emergency Management Agency's disaster response capabilities”,Journal of Business Continuity&emergency planning,2015,1(1),pp.281-293.
(3)唐桂娟:《城市社区治理中的公民参与---基于“社区灾害风险评估与管理”项目的实证分析》,《风险灾害危机研究》2017年第1辑,第72-75页。
(4)周利敏、陆嘉怡:《社区协同减灾:模式特征、基本路径与实践反思》,《新视野》2017年第6期.
(1)He,Yuanrong,etal,“Development of a mobile post-disaster management system using free and open source technologies”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2017,25,pp.101-110.
(2)Kim J,etal,“A framework for assessing the resilience of a disaster debris management system”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2018,28,pp.674-687.
(3)Lin,Lexin,“Integrating a national risk assessment into a disaster risk management system:Process and practice”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2018,27,pp.625-631.
(4)LinyaoQ iu,etal,“An integrated flood management system based on linking environmental models and disaster-related data”,Environmental Modelling&Software,2017,91,pp.111-126.
(1)Villasana,M,etal,“Mainstreaming disaster risk management in higher education”,AD-minister,2016,Issue 28,pp.243-253.
(2)Ahmad S,Numan,S,“Potentiality of Disaster Management Education through Open and Distance Learning System in Bangladesh Open University”,Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education,2015,16(1),pp.249-260.
(3)Rijumol,K.C,etal,“Disaster Management through Experiential Learning”,Journal on Educational Psychology,2010,4(1),pp.1-6.
(4)周利敏、原伟麒.《迈向韧性城市的灾害治理:基于多案例的研究》,《经济社会体制比较研究》2017年第9期。
(5)Menya,A A,K'akumuO.A.“Interagency collaboration for fire disaster management in Nairobi City”,Journal of Urban Management,2016,Vol.5(1),pp.32-38.
(6)Moroto,H,et al,“Possible factors influencing NGOs'project locations for disaster management in Bangladesh”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2018,27,pp.248-264.
(2)Gupta S,et al,“Disaster Management from a POM Perspective:Mapping a New Domain”,Production and Operations Management,2016,25(10),pp.1611-1637.
(1)Alexander,“Disaster Management:From Theory to Implementation”,Journal of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering,2007,9(1-2),pp.49-59.
(2)Christo C,et al,“Tracking the evolution of the disaster management cycle:A general system theory approach”,Journal of Disaster Risk Studies,2012,4(1),pp.e1-e9.
(3)Dalby,S,“Anthropocene Formations:Environmental Security,Geopolitics and Disaster”,Theory,Culture&Society,2017,Vol.34(2-3),pp.233-252.
(1)Perrow PC,Normal Accidents:living with high-risk technologies with a new afterward and a postscript on the Y2K problem.NJ:Princeton University Press,1999:60-68
(2)HagelsteenM,BurkeJ,“Practical aspects of capacity development in the context of disaster risk reduction”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2016,16(1),pp.43-52.
(1)Sarwar D,et al,“Disaster Management System as an Element of Risk Management for Natural Disaster Systems Using the PESTLEFramework”,International Conference on Global Security,2017:191-204.
(2)ManyenaS,JambaB,“Disaster event:window of opportunity to implement global disaster policies?original research”,Journal of Disaster Risk Studies,2013,5(1),pp.1-10.
(3)Jieh-JiuhW,“Integrated model combined land-use planning and disaster managemen”,Disaster Prevention and Management,2012,2,1(1),pp.110-123.
(1)SeabergD,et al,“A review of game theory applications in natural disaster management research”,Natural Hazards,2017,89(3),pp.1461-1483.
(2)Topal G O,GülalE,“Monitoring Of Engineering Buildings Behaviour Within The Disaster Management System”,Isprs Annals of the Photogrammetry,2017,pp.303-306.
(3)周利敏、龙智光:《大数据时代的灾害预警创新---以阳江预售信息发布中心为案例》,《武汉大学学报(哲社版)》2017年第3期。
(4)Houston J B,et al,“Social media and disasters:a functional framework forsocial media use in disaster planning,response,and research”,Disasters,2015.39(1),pp.1-22.
(5)Callaghan CW,“Disaster management,crowdsourced R&D and probabilistic innovation theory:Toward real time disaster response capability”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2016,17,pp.238-250.
(6)Aydin,C,etal,“Improving Disaster Resilience Using Mobile Based Disaster Management System”,Procedia Technology,2016,22,pp.382-390.
(7)Othman,S H,etal,“Development and validation of a Disaster Management Metamodel(DMM)”,Information Processing and Management,2014,50(2),pp.235-271.
(8)周利敏、李夏茵:《超越问责:中美应急管理结构比较研究---以天津港大爆炸与德州大爆炸为例》,《中国软科学》2017年第9期。
(1)Jin,L,etal,“A Simulation Study for Emergency/Disaster Management by Applying Complex Networks Theory”,Journal of Applied Research and Technology,2014,12(2),pp.223-229.
(2)Fontainha,TC,etal,“Public-Private-People Relationship Stakeholder Model for disaster and humanitarian operations”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2017,22,pp.371-386.
(3)汤中彬、张扬、吕兴江:《基于传统危机文化的现代危机管理体系构建研究》,《广州大学学报(社科版)》2016年第8期。
(1)Okada A;Ogura K,“Japanese Disaster Management System:Recent Developments in Information Flow and Chains of Command”,Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management,2014,22(1),pp.58-62.
(2)Glenn M.“Cannon,strengthening the Federal Emergency Management Agency's disaster response capabilities”,Journal of Business Continuity&emergency planning,2015,1(1),pp.281-293.
(3)唐桂娟:《城市社区治理中的公民参与---基于“社区灾害风险评估与管理”项目的实证分析》,《风险灾害危机研究》2017年第1辑,第72-75页。
(4)周利敏、陆嘉怡:《社区协同减灾:模式特征、基本路径与实践反思》,《新视野》2017年第6期.
(1)He,Yuanrong,etal,“Development of a mobile post-disaster management system using free and open source technologies”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2017,25,pp.101-110.
(2)Kim J,etal,“A framework for assessing the resilience of a disaster debris management system”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2018,28,pp.674-687.
(3)Lin,Lexin,“Integrating a national risk assessment into a disaster risk management system:Process and practice”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2018,27,pp.625-631.
(4)LinyaoQ iu,etal,“An integrated flood management system based on linking environmental models and disaster-related data”,Environmental Modelling&Software,2017,91,pp.111-126.
(1)Villasana,M,etal,“Mainstreaming disaster risk management in higher education”,AD-minister,2016,Issue 28,pp.243-253.
(2)Ahmad S,Numan,S,“Potentiality of Disaster Management Education through Open and Distance Learning System in Bangladesh Open University”,Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education,2015,16(1),pp.249-260.
(3)Rijumol,K.C,etal,“Disaster Management through Experiential Learning”,Journal on Educational Psychology,2010,4(1),pp.1-6.
(4)周利敏、原伟麒.《迈向韧性城市的灾害治理:基于多案例的研究》,《经济社会体制比较研究》2017年第9期。
(5)Menya,A A,K'akumuO.A.“Interagency collaboration for fire disaster management in Nairobi City”,Journal of Urban Management,2016,Vol.5(1),pp.32-38.
(6)Moroto,H,et al,“Possible factors influencing NGOs'project locations for disaster management in Bangladesh”,International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2018,27,pp.248-264.