基于破产模型的新增建设用地指标分解方法——以湖北省枣阳市为例
|
摘要
传统新增建设用地指标分解方法存在测算指标时视角单一和分解指标时行政力量干预严重等问题。基于公平和效率的思想引入破产模型,以湖北枣阳为研究对象,运用6种破产模型解对其新增建设用地指标进行分解,并创造性地运用有向图博弈理论对各种分解结果进行比较分析。研究结果表明:(1)比例法则和Piniles法则符合"公平优先"主张,适用于在经济相对发达的发展阶段和地区应用均衡发展策略;(2)限制均分损失法则和Talmud法则符合"效率优先"主张,适用于在经济相对落后的发展阶段和地区应用非均衡发展策略;(3)限制平等法则和限制均分收益法则适用于有发展条件的贫困地区应用重点扶持的发展策略。新方法不仅有效规避了传统方法存在的问题,还为发展策略选择提供了多种方案。
The traditional methods for allocating the quota of newly-added construction land have many deficiencies. For example, the research perspective is single and the administrative force intervened severely. This paper, based on the idea of fairness and efficiency, uses some rules of solution to bankruptcy model to allocate the quota of newly-added construction land in Zaoyang city of Hubei province, and applies digraph game theory to compare various results of the allocation creatively. The basic data of the case analysis come from "The Outline of the General Land Use Planning in Zaoyang city(2006-2020)" and its related research papers. First of all, the total demand for newly-added construction land in the whole city in 2020 is predicted to be 3976.66 hm~2 by using the polynomial model that is based on the data of the construction land during 1996-2005. Secondly, the requirements of 16 subordinate administrative districts were determined by the analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method, and then, a total of 2147.09 hm~2 of newly-added construction land was decomposed among the subordinate districts by six rules of solution to bankruptcy model. Finally, the characteristics of various allocated schemes are analyzed according to the digraph game method. The concept corresponding to fairness and efficiency is balanced development and unbalanced development.Different stages and regions may follow different development ideas in practice of the general land use planning. The research results show that:(1) The proportional rule and the Piniles rule accord with the proposition of "fairness priority", which is applicable to the balanced development strategy in the development stage and region of relatively developed economy;(2) The constrained equal losses rule and the Talmud rule accord with the idea of "efficiency priority", which is applicable to the unbalanced development strategy in the development stage and region of relatively backward economy;(3) The constrained equal awards rule and the constrained egalitarian rule are applicable to the key support strategy in poverty-stricken areas.The new method not only avoids the problems caused by traditional methods, but also provides some choices for regional development strategy. The new method proposed in this paper can not only be used in new round of the general land use planning, but also be widely used in the distribution of public resources.
The traditional methods for allocating the quota of newly-added construction land have many deficiencies. For example, the research perspective is single and the administrative force intervened severely. This paper, based on the idea of fairness and efficiency, uses some rules of solution to bankruptcy model to allocate the quota of newly-added construction land in Zaoyang city of Hubei province, and applies digraph game theory to compare various results of the allocation creatively. The basic data of the case analysis come from "The Outline of the General Land Use Planning in Zaoyang city(2006-2020)" and its related research papers. First of all, the total demand for newly-added construction land in the whole city in 2020 is predicted to be 3976.66 hm~2 by using the polynomial model that is based on the data of the construction land during 1996-2005. Secondly, the requirements of 16 subordinate administrative districts were determined by the analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method, and then, a total of 2147.09 hm~2 of newly-added construction land was decomposed among the subordinate districts by six rules of solution to bankruptcy model. Finally, the characteristics of various allocated schemes are analyzed according to the digraph game method. The concept corresponding to fairness and efficiency is balanced development and unbalanced development.Different stages and regions may follow different development ideas in practice of the general land use planning. The research results show that:(1) The proportional rule and the Piniles rule accord with the proposition of "fairness priority", which is applicable to the balanced development strategy in the development stage and region of relatively developed economy;(2) The constrained equal losses rule and the Talmud rule accord with the idea of "efficiency priority", which is applicable to the unbalanced development strategy in the development stage and region of relatively backward economy;(3) The constrained equal awards rule and the constrained egalitarian rule are applicable to the key support strategy in poverty-stricken areas.The new method not only avoids the problems caused by traditional methods, but also provides some choices for regional development strategy. The new method proposed in this paper can not only be used in new round of the general land use planning, but also be widely used in the distribution of public resources.
引文
[1]靳相木,姚先国.农地非农化管理的分权取向改革及其情景模拟.公共管理学报,2010,7(3):10-20.[JIN X M,YAOX G.The decentralization reform and the situation simulation of agricultural land non-agricultural management.Journal of Public Management,2010,7(3):10-20.]
[2]TAN R,ZHOU T X.Decentralization in a centralized system:Project-based governance for land-related public goods provision in China.Land Use Policy,2015,47:262-272.
[3]刘瑞卿,朱伟亚,许皞.基于主体功能区的土地规划新增建设用地指标调控研究:以河北省卢龙县为例.中国生态农业学报,2012,20(4):507-512.[LIU R Q,ZHU W Y,XU H.Study on new construction land regulation in land use planning based on major function-oriented zoning:A case study of Lulong county,Hebei province.Chinese Journal of EcoAgriculture,2012,20(4):507-512.]
[4]靳相木,沈子龙.新增建设用地管理的“配额-交易”模型:与排污权交易制度的对比研究.中国人口·资源与环境,2010,20(7):86-91.[JIN X M,SHEN Z L.The cap-and-trade model of incremental construction land quota:An analog with the emission permits system.China Population,Resources and Environment,2010,20(7):86-91.]
[5]殷少美,金晓斌,周寅康,等.基于主成分分析法和AHP-GEM模型的区域新增建设用地指标合理配置:以江苏省为例.自然资源学报,2007,22(3):372-379.[YIN S M,JIN X B,ZHOU Y K,et al.Allocation of newly-added quota of regional construction land based on principal components analysis and AHP-GEM model:A case study of Jiangsu province.Journal of Natural Resources,2007,22(3):372-379.]
[6]翟腾腾,郭杰,欧名豪,等.基于基尼系数的江苏省建设用地总量分配研究.中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(4):84-91.[ZHAI T T,GUO J,OU M H,et al.Study on allocation of total construction land in Jiangsu province based on the Gini coefficient.China Population,Resources and Environment,2015,25(4):84-91.]
[7]洪建国,杨钢桥,苗欣,等.增量城镇用地区域配置研究:以湖北省为例.中国土地科学,2008,22(12):39-45.[HONGJ G,YANG G Q,MIAO X,et al.Study on regional allocation of newly increased construction land of urban and town:Acase of Hubei province.China Land Science,2008,22(12):39-45.]
[8]刘耀林,国洪艳,唐旭,等.网络参与式土地利用规划决策博弈研究.中国土地科学,2011,25(9):22-27.[LIU Y L,GUO H Y,TANG X,et al.Game theoretical analysis on the decision process of land use planning of the web-based-participation pattern.China Land Science,2011,25(9):22-27.]
[9]THOMSON W.Axiomatic and game-theoretic analysis of bankruptcy and taxation problems:A survey.Mathematical Social Sciences,2003,45(3):249-297.
[10]李登峰,胡勋锋.带层次结构效用可转移合作对策的τ值.系统工程学报,2017,37(2):177-187.[LI D F,HU X F.τvalue of transferable utility cooperative games with level structures.Journal of Systems Engineering,2017,37(2):177-187.]
[11]O'Neill B.A problem of rights arbitration from the Talmud.Mathematical Social Sciences,1980,2(4):345-371.
[12]THOMSON W.Axiomatic and game-theoretic analysis of bankruptcy and taxation problems:A survey.Mathematical Social Sciences,2003,45(3):249-297.
[13]CURIEL I J,MASCHLER M,TIJS S H.Bankruptcy games.Zeitschrift Für Operations Research,1987,31(5):A143-A159.
[14]AUMANN R J,MASCHLER M.Game theoretic analysis of a bankruptcy problem from the Talmud.Journal of Economic Theory,1985,36(2):195-213.
[15]PINILES H M.Darkah Shel Torah.Forester,Vienna,1861.
[16]CHUN Y,THOMSON W,SCHUMMER J.Constrained Egalitarianism:A new solution to bankruptcy problems.Seoul Journal of Economics,2001,14:269-297.
[17]BRINK R V D,BORM P.Digraph competitions and cooperative games.Theory&Decision,2002,53(4):327-342.
[18]杜金龙,马才学.县级土地利用总体规划中净增建设用地指标分解:以湖北省枣阳市为例.国土资源科技管理,2010,27(2):98-103.[DU J L,MA C X.Quota distribution of net increased construction land in county-level general planning of land use:A case study of Zaoyang city,Hubei province.Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources,2010,27(2):98-103.]
[19]陶然,汪晖.中国尚未完成之转型中的土地制度改革:挑战与出路.国际经济评论,2010,33(2):93-123.[TAO R,WANG H.China's unfinished land system reform:Challenges and solutions.Review of International Economics,2010,33(2):93-123.]
[20]ADAMS J S.Inequity in social exchange.Advances in Experimental Social Psychology,1965,2(4):267-299.
[21]高政利,梁工谦.论经济组织、权力结构与制度的制序度:不同利益参与者行为选择的夏普利值分析.财经研究,2008,34(3):107-120.[GAO Z L,LIANG G Q.Economic organization,power structure and the degree of system order:Shapley analysis on different beneficiary's behavior choice.Journal of Finance and Economics,2008,34(3):107-120.]
[22]孙斌栋,郑燕.我国区域发展战略的回顾、评价与启示.人文地理,2014,29(5):1-7.[SUN B D,ZHENG Y.Review,evaluation and inspiration of regional development strategies in China.Human Geography,2014,29(5):1-7.]
[23]叶浩,张鹏,濮励杰.中国建设用地与区域社会经济发展关系的空间计量研究.地理科学,2012,32(2):149-155.[YEH,ZHANG P,PU L J.Spatial econometrics study of relationship between regional socio-economic development and construction land in China.Scientia Geographica Sinica,2012,32(2):149-155.]
[24]李鹏,濮励杰.发达地区建设用地扩张与经济发展相关关系的探究:基于与全国平均水平的比较.自然资源学报,2012,27(11):1823-1832.[LI P,PU L J.Delving into the particularity on the relationship between construction land expansion and economic growth in developed region:Comparing with the average of the whole China.Journal of Natural Resources,2012,27(11):1823-1832.]
[2]TAN R,ZHOU T X.Decentralization in a centralized system:Project-based governance for land-related public goods provision in China.Land Use Policy,2015,47:262-272.
[3]刘瑞卿,朱伟亚,许皞.基于主体功能区的土地规划新增建设用地指标调控研究:以河北省卢龙县为例.中国生态农业学报,2012,20(4):507-512.[LIU R Q,ZHU W Y,XU H.Study on new construction land regulation in land use planning based on major function-oriented zoning:A case study of Lulong county,Hebei province.Chinese Journal of EcoAgriculture,2012,20(4):507-512.]
[4]靳相木,沈子龙.新增建设用地管理的“配额-交易”模型:与排污权交易制度的对比研究.中国人口·资源与环境,2010,20(7):86-91.[JIN X M,SHEN Z L.The cap-and-trade model of incremental construction land quota:An analog with the emission permits system.China Population,Resources and Environment,2010,20(7):86-91.]
[5]殷少美,金晓斌,周寅康,等.基于主成分分析法和AHP-GEM模型的区域新增建设用地指标合理配置:以江苏省为例.自然资源学报,2007,22(3):372-379.[YIN S M,JIN X B,ZHOU Y K,et al.Allocation of newly-added quota of regional construction land based on principal components analysis and AHP-GEM model:A case study of Jiangsu province.Journal of Natural Resources,2007,22(3):372-379.]
[6]翟腾腾,郭杰,欧名豪,等.基于基尼系数的江苏省建设用地总量分配研究.中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(4):84-91.[ZHAI T T,GUO J,OU M H,et al.Study on allocation of total construction land in Jiangsu province based on the Gini coefficient.China Population,Resources and Environment,2015,25(4):84-91.]
[7]洪建国,杨钢桥,苗欣,等.增量城镇用地区域配置研究:以湖北省为例.中国土地科学,2008,22(12):39-45.[HONGJ G,YANG G Q,MIAO X,et al.Study on regional allocation of newly increased construction land of urban and town:Acase of Hubei province.China Land Science,2008,22(12):39-45.]
[8]刘耀林,国洪艳,唐旭,等.网络参与式土地利用规划决策博弈研究.中国土地科学,2011,25(9):22-27.[LIU Y L,GUO H Y,TANG X,et al.Game theoretical analysis on the decision process of land use planning of the web-based-participation pattern.China Land Science,2011,25(9):22-27.]
[9]THOMSON W.Axiomatic and game-theoretic analysis of bankruptcy and taxation problems:A survey.Mathematical Social Sciences,2003,45(3):249-297.
[10]李登峰,胡勋锋.带层次结构效用可转移合作对策的τ值.系统工程学报,2017,37(2):177-187.[LI D F,HU X F.τvalue of transferable utility cooperative games with level structures.Journal of Systems Engineering,2017,37(2):177-187.]
[11]O'Neill B.A problem of rights arbitration from the Talmud.Mathematical Social Sciences,1980,2(4):345-371.
[12]THOMSON W.Axiomatic and game-theoretic analysis of bankruptcy and taxation problems:A survey.Mathematical Social Sciences,2003,45(3):249-297.
[13]CURIEL I J,MASCHLER M,TIJS S H.Bankruptcy games.Zeitschrift Für Operations Research,1987,31(5):A143-A159.
[14]AUMANN R J,MASCHLER M.Game theoretic analysis of a bankruptcy problem from the Talmud.Journal of Economic Theory,1985,36(2):195-213.
[15]PINILES H M.Darkah Shel Torah.Forester,Vienna,1861.
[16]CHUN Y,THOMSON W,SCHUMMER J.Constrained Egalitarianism:A new solution to bankruptcy problems.Seoul Journal of Economics,2001,14:269-297.
[17]BRINK R V D,BORM P.Digraph competitions and cooperative games.Theory&Decision,2002,53(4):327-342.
[18]杜金龙,马才学.县级土地利用总体规划中净增建设用地指标分解:以湖北省枣阳市为例.国土资源科技管理,2010,27(2):98-103.[DU J L,MA C X.Quota distribution of net increased construction land in county-level general planning of land use:A case study of Zaoyang city,Hubei province.Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources,2010,27(2):98-103.]
[19]陶然,汪晖.中国尚未完成之转型中的土地制度改革:挑战与出路.国际经济评论,2010,33(2):93-123.[TAO R,WANG H.China's unfinished land system reform:Challenges and solutions.Review of International Economics,2010,33(2):93-123.]
[20]ADAMS J S.Inequity in social exchange.Advances in Experimental Social Psychology,1965,2(4):267-299.
[21]高政利,梁工谦.论经济组织、权力结构与制度的制序度:不同利益参与者行为选择的夏普利值分析.财经研究,2008,34(3):107-120.[GAO Z L,LIANG G Q.Economic organization,power structure and the degree of system order:Shapley analysis on different beneficiary's behavior choice.Journal of Finance and Economics,2008,34(3):107-120.]
[22]孙斌栋,郑燕.我国区域发展战略的回顾、评价与启示.人文地理,2014,29(5):1-7.[SUN B D,ZHENG Y.Review,evaluation and inspiration of regional development strategies in China.Human Geography,2014,29(5):1-7.]
[23]叶浩,张鹏,濮励杰.中国建设用地与区域社会经济发展关系的空间计量研究.地理科学,2012,32(2):149-155.[YEH,ZHANG P,PU L J.Spatial econometrics study of relationship between regional socio-economic development and construction land in China.Scientia Geographica Sinica,2012,32(2):149-155.]
[24]李鹏,濮励杰.发达地区建设用地扩张与经济发展相关关系的探究:基于与全国平均水平的比较.自然资源学报,2012,27(11):1823-1832.[LI P,PU L J.Delving into the particularity on the relationship between construction land expansion and economic growth in developed region:Comparing with the average of the whole China.Journal of Natural Resources,2012,27(11):1823-1832.]