动能转换、基本公共服务与经济平衡发展
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摘要
以区域及城乡居民收入收敛界定经济平衡发展,构建综合指标体系对我国省际动能转换及基本公共服务水平进行测算。基于测算结果,利用我国内地除西藏以外的30个省份2004—2016年的面板数据构建动态空间计量模型及面板门限模型,检验动能转换、基本公共服务对我国经济平衡发展的影响。结果表明:新旧动能转换有利于落后地区向经济前沿面追赶,但不利于城乡经济差距收敛;提高基本公共服务水平对促进区域经济平衡发展具有积极影响,但对城乡经济平衡发展的影响存在门限效应。此外,财政分权、房地产开发与老龄化也是影响中国经济平衡发展的显著因素。
This paper defined the balanced economic development as regional and urban-rural income convergence,and constructed a comprehensive index system to quantify the provincial energy conversion and public services level in China. Based on the measurement results,used the dynamic spatial econometric model and panel threshold model to test the impact of energy conversion and basic public services on the economic balanced development of China's 30 provinces during 2004—2016. The results show that the energy conversion is conducive to the backward areas to catch up to the economic frontier,but is not conducive to narrow the economic gap between urban and rural. Improving the level of basic public services has a positive direct and indirect effects on promoting the balanced development of regional economy,but there is a threshold effect on the impact on the balanced development of urban and rural. In addition,fiscal decentralization,real estate investment and aging are also significant factors affecting the balanced development of China's economy.
This paper defined the balanced economic development as regional and urban-rural income convergence,and constructed a comprehensive index system to quantify the provincial energy conversion and public services level in China. Based on the measurement results,used the dynamic spatial econometric model and panel threshold model to test the impact of energy conversion and basic public services on the economic balanced development of China's 30 provinces during 2004—2016. The results show that the energy conversion is conducive to the backward areas to catch up to the economic frontier,but is not conducive to narrow the economic gap between urban and rural. Improving the level of basic public services has a positive direct and indirect effects on promoting the balanced development of regional economy,but there is a threshold effect on the impact on the balanced development of urban and rural. In addition,fiscal decentralization,real estate investment and aging are also significant factors affecting the balanced development of China's economy.
引文
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[12]付占辉,梅林,刘艳军,等.河南省南阳市县域城镇化与基本公共服务时空格局及耦合关系[J].地域研究与开发,2018,37(3):75-79.
[13] WARR P,MENON J,RASPHONE S. Public Services and the Poor in Laos[J]. World Development,2015,66:371-382.
[14]林光祥,吕韬,彭路.广西基本公共服务与区域经济协调关系探讨[J].地域研究与开发,2017,36(3):22-28.
[15]卢小君,张新宇.中小城市基本公共服务水平区域均等化的动态分析[J].地域研究与开发,2017,36(4):43-48.
[16]缪小林,王婷,高跃光.转移支付对城乡公共服务差距的影响——不同经济赶超省份的分组比较[J].经济研究,2017,52(2):52-66.
[2] BANERJEE A,DUFLO E,QIAN N. On the Road:Access to Transportation Infrastructure and Economic Growth in China[J]. Ssrn Electronic Journal,2012,11(1):1-53.
[3]王亚飞,廖顺宝.河南省基本公共服务水平的区域差异与影响因素[J].地域研究与开发,2018,37(1):26-30.
[4]闫坤,于树一.稳增长、财税政策和制造业新动能找寻[J].改革,2017(4):90-101.
[5]李国祥.论中国农业发展动能转换[J].中国农村经济,2017(7):2-14.
[6]李虹.中西部和东部地区资源型城市转型与发展新动能的培育[J].改革,2017(8):99-103.
[7]朱益超.中国劳动生产率增长动能转换与机制创新研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2016,33(9):58-75.
[8]郑江淮,宋建,张玉昌,等.中国经济增长新旧动能转换的进展评估[J].中国工业经济,2018(6):24-42.
[9]孙文祥,张志超.财政支出结构对经济增长与社会公平的影响[J].上海财经大学学报,2004,6(6):3-9.
[10]陈佳丽.河南省促进新型城镇化的财政保障机制研究[J].地域研究与开发,2013,32(6):50-53.
[11]毛捷,汪德华,白重恩.民族地区转移支付、公共支出差异与经济发展差距[J].经济研究,2011,46(S2):75-87.
[12]付占辉,梅林,刘艳军,等.河南省南阳市县域城镇化与基本公共服务时空格局及耦合关系[J].地域研究与开发,2018,37(3):75-79.
[13] WARR P,MENON J,RASPHONE S. Public Services and the Poor in Laos[J]. World Development,2015,66:371-382.
[14]林光祥,吕韬,彭路.广西基本公共服务与区域经济协调关系探讨[J].地域研究与开发,2017,36(3):22-28.
[15]卢小君,张新宇.中小城市基本公共服务水平区域均等化的动态分析[J].地域研究与开发,2017,36(4):43-48.
[16]缪小林,王婷,高跃光.转移支付对城乡公共服务差距的影响——不同经济赶超省份的分组比较[J].经济研究,2017,52(2):52-66.