中国产城融合的影响因素识别与空间效应分析
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摘要
基于2003—2016年中国285个地级及以上城市的面板数据,采用广义空间模型,就产业升级、城市扩张等关键因素对产城融合的影响进行了识别和相应政策讨论。结果表明,产业合理化是推动产城融合的主要动力,而产业高级化并未有效促进产城融合水平的提升,城市扩张过程中存在着明显的资源配置低效问题,产业升级与城市扩张在推动产城融合方面的协同性较差;产城融合具有明显的"时间惯性",即滞后一期的产城融合会对当期的产城融合产生正向影响,特别是在考虑动态因素的情况下,产城融合在不同区域城市中都具有显著的空间溢出效应,即周围城市产城融合水平的提升会促进本地城市产城融合水平的提升。
Based on the panel data of 285 prefecture-level and above cities in China from 2003 to 2016,this paper employs generalized spatial model to estimate the impact of key factors,such as industrial upgrading and urban expansion ect,on cityindustry integration,and discusses pertinent policies. The results showed that industrial rationalization is the main driving force for city-industry integration,and industrial advancement has not effectively promoted the level of city-industry integration.There are obvious problems of low efficient resource allocation in the process of urban expansion. The collaboration of industrial upgrading and urban expansion on city-industry integration is far from fine. City-industry integration has obvious "time inertia",that is,city-industry integration that lags one phase will have a positive impact on current period. In particular,considering the dynamic factors,city-industry integration has significant spatial heterogeneity at different regions and different scale cities,that is,the increase of city-industry integration in the surrounding cities will promote the increase of city-industry integration in local cities.
Based on the panel data of 285 prefecture-level and above cities in China from 2003 to 2016,this paper employs generalized spatial model to estimate the impact of key factors,such as industrial upgrading and urban expansion ect,on cityindustry integration,and discusses pertinent policies. The results showed that industrial rationalization is the main driving force for city-industry integration,and industrial advancement has not effectively promoted the level of city-industry integration.There are obvious problems of low efficient resource allocation in the process of urban expansion. The collaboration of industrial upgrading and urban expansion on city-industry integration is far from fine. City-industry integration has obvious "time inertia",that is,city-industry integration that lags one phase will have a positive impact on current period. In particular,considering the dynamic factors,city-industry integration has significant spatial heterogeneity at different regions and different scale cities,that is,the increase of city-industry integration in the surrounding cities will promote the increase of city-industry integration in local cities.
引文
[1]潘锦云,姜凌,丁羊林.城镇化制约了工业化升级发展吗——基于产业和城镇融合发展的视角[J].经济学家,2014(9):41-49.
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[3]王小鲁.中国城市化路径与城市规模的经济学分析[J].经济研究,2010,45(10):20-32.
[4]SU L,JIA J J. Empirical research about the degree of city-industry integration:a contrast of the typical cities in China[J].Journal of interdisciplinary mathematics,2017,20(1):87-100.
[5]丛海彬,邹德玲,刘程军.新型城镇化背景下产城融合的时空格局分析——来自中国285个地级市的实际考察[J].经济地理,2017,37(7):46-55.
[6]WEBER A. The location of industries[M]. Chicago:University of Chicago Press,1909.
[7]PERROUX F. A note on the notion of growth pole[J]. Applied economy,1955,1(2):307-320.
[8]BOUDEVILLE J R. Problems of regional economic planning[M]. Edinburgh:Edinburgh University Press,1966.
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[10]刘欣英.产城融合:文献综述[J].西安财经学院学报,2015(6):48-52.
[11]颜丙峰.产城融合发展的现实考量与路径提升——以山东省产城融合发展为例[J].山东社会科学,2017(5):184-188.
[12]沈永明,陈晓华,储金龙.基于空间规划视角的我国产城融合研究述评[J].池州学院学报,2013,27(6):77-80.
[13]陆根尧,符翔云,朱省娥.基于典型相关分析的产业集群与城市化互动发展研究:以浙江省为例[J].中国软科学,2011(12):101-109.
[14]丛海彬,段巍,吴福象.新型城镇化中的产城融合及其福利效应[J].中国工业经济,2017(11):62-80.
[15]刘奕,夏杰长,李垚.生产性服务业集聚与制造业升级[J].中国工业经济,2017(7):24-42.
[16]HUMPHREY J,SCHMITZ H. How does insertion in global value chains affect upgrading in industrial clusters?[J].Regional studies,2002,36(9):1017-1027.
[17]陈淑云,曾龙.地方政府土地出让行为对产业结构升级影响分析——基于中国281个地级及以上城市的空间计量分析[J].产业经济研究,2017(6):89-102.
[18]辜胜阻,曹冬梅,韩龙艳.“十三五”中国城镇化六大转型与健康发展[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017(4):6-15.
[19]张浩然.日照间距约束、人口密度与中国城市增长[J].经济学(季刊),2018,17(1):333-354.
[20]ELHORST J P. Matlab software for spatial panels[J]. International regional science review,2014,37(3):389-405.
[21]史宝娟,邓英杰.资源型城市发展过程中产城融合生态化动态耦合协调发展研究[J].生态经济,2017(10):122-125.
[22]于斌斌.产业结构调整与生产率提升的经济增长效应——基于中国城市动态空间面板模型的分析[J].中国工业经济,2015(12):83-98.
[23]程中华,李廉水,刘军.生产性服务业集聚对工业效率提升的空间外溢效应[J].科学学研究,2017(3):364-371+378.
[24]罗能生,王玉泽.财政分权、环境规制与区域生态效率——基于动态空间杜宾模型的实证研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017(4):110-118.
[2]张道刚.“产城融合”的新理念[J].决策,2011(1):1-2.
[3]王小鲁.中国城市化路径与城市规模的经济学分析[J].经济研究,2010,45(10):20-32.
[4]SU L,JIA J J. Empirical research about the degree of city-industry integration:a contrast of the typical cities in China[J].Journal of interdisciplinary mathematics,2017,20(1):87-100.
[5]丛海彬,邹德玲,刘程军.新型城镇化背景下产城融合的时空格局分析——来自中国285个地级市的实际考察[J].经济地理,2017,37(7):46-55.
[6]WEBER A. The location of industries[M]. Chicago:University of Chicago Press,1909.
[7]PERROUX F. A note on the notion of growth pole[J]. Applied economy,1955,1(2):307-320.
[8]BOUDEVILLE J R. Problems of regional economic planning[M]. Edinburgh:Edinburgh University Press,1966.
[9]林章悦,王云龙.新常态下金融支持产城融合问题研究——以天津市为例[J].管理世界,2015(8):178-179.
[10]刘欣英.产城融合:文献综述[J].西安财经学院学报,2015(6):48-52.
[11]颜丙峰.产城融合发展的现实考量与路径提升——以山东省产城融合发展为例[J].山东社会科学,2017(5):184-188.
[12]沈永明,陈晓华,储金龙.基于空间规划视角的我国产城融合研究述评[J].池州学院学报,2013,27(6):77-80.
[13]陆根尧,符翔云,朱省娥.基于典型相关分析的产业集群与城市化互动发展研究:以浙江省为例[J].中国软科学,2011(12):101-109.
[14]丛海彬,段巍,吴福象.新型城镇化中的产城融合及其福利效应[J].中国工业经济,2017(11):62-80.
[15]刘奕,夏杰长,李垚.生产性服务业集聚与制造业升级[J].中国工业经济,2017(7):24-42.
[16]HUMPHREY J,SCHMITZ H. How does insertion in global value chains affect upgrading in industrial clusters?[J].Regional studies,2002,36(9):1017-1027.
[17]陈淑云,曾龙.地方政府土地出让行为对产业结构升级影响分析——基于中国281个地级及以上城市的空间计量分析[J].产业经济研究,2017(6):89-102.
[18]辜胜阻,曹冬梅,韩龙艳.“十三五”中国城镇化六大转型与健康发展[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017(4):6-15.
[19]张浩然.日照间距约束、人口密度与中国城市增长[J].经济学(季刊),2018,17(1):333-354.
[20]ELHORST J P. Matlab software for spatial panels[J]. International regional science review,2014,37(3):389-405.
[21]史宝娟,邓英杰.资源型城市发展过程中产城融合生态化动态耦合协调发展研究[J].生态经济,2017(10):122-125.
[22]于斌斌.产业结构调整与生产率提升的经济增长效应——基于中国城市动态空间面板模型的分析[J].中国工业经济,2015(12):83-98.
[23]程中华,李廉水,刘军.生产性服务业集聚对工业效率提升的空间外溢效应[J].科学学研究,2017(3):364-371+378.
[24]罗能生,王玉泽.财政分权、环境规制与区域生态效率——基于动态空间杜宾模型的实证研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017(4):110-118.