农产品创意加工策略演化与仿真
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摘要
针对创意农产品加工过程中农户与加工企业的策略选择问题,基于进化博弈理论,研究长期协同过程中的合作机制,对各群体策略选择进行演化趋势、稳定性分析,并根据2016年度北京市农业嘉年华活动期间的企业访谈数据进行仿真验证。研究发现,农户是否进行农产品质保主要受到质量投入成本、投入增长比、农产品收购价格等因素影响;而企业个体的加工决策则由加工成本、产出增长比率、产品收购价格、外部性效益共同决定。
Aiming at the strategy selection of farmers and processing enterprises during the processing of creative agricultural products,we study coordination mechanism during the long-term cooperation,and make the stability analysis of the strategy selection of different groups,based on the evolutionary game theory. Then,we make numerical stimulations from the interview data collected during the 2016 Beijing Agricultural Carnival. The research shows that the strategy choice of the farmers are mainly influenced by quality cost,ratio of input to output,purchasing price of agricultural products; the strategy choice of the enterprises are codetermined by processing cost,output ratio,price,and external benefits.
Aiming at the strategy selection of farmers and processing enterprises during the processing of creative agricultural products,we study coordination mechanism during the long-term cooperation,and make the stability analysis of the strategy selection of different groups,based on the evolutionary game theory. Then,we make numerical stimulations from the interview data collected during the 2016 Beijing Agricultural Carnival. The research shows that the strategy choice of the farmers are mainly influenced by quality cost,ratio of input to output,purchasing price of agricultural products; the strategy choice of the enterprises are codetermined by processing cost,output ratio,price,and external benefits.
引文
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[7]涂国平,冷碧滨.基于博弈模型的“公司+农户”模式契约稳定性及模式优化[J].中国管理科学,2010,18(3):148—157.
[8]崔照忠,刘仁忠.三类农业产业化模式经营主体间博弈分析及最优选择[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(8):114—121.
[9] GODAR J,SUAVET C,GARDNER T,et al. Balancing detail and scale in assessing transparency to improve the governance of agricultural commodity supply chains[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2016,11(2):1—12.
[10] YAO G X,XU J. Agricultural supply chain decisions research under random yield[J]. Industrial Engineering and Management,2015,20(2):16—22.
[11]申强,侯云先.奶农与企业原料奶质量控制行为进化博弈分析[J].农业技术经济,2011(8):26—33.
[12]许民利,王俏,欧阳林寒.食品供应链中质量投入的演化博弈分析[J].中国管理科学,2012,20(5):131—141.
[2]章继刚.中国创意农产品发展战略思考[J].江西农业大学学报(社会科学版),2009,8(1):31—36.
[3]厉无畏,王慧敏.创意农业的发展理念与模式研究[J].农业经济问题,2009(2):11—15.
[4]林超群.创意农业发展路径分析———以成都市为例[J].农村经济,2015(9):51—54.
[5] MAZA,POLIN S,RAYNAUD E,et al. Quality signals and governance structures within European agro-food chains:A new institutional economics approach[C]//the EAAE Seminar and NJF Seminar,2001:330.
[6]王亚静,祁春节.我国契约农业中龙头企业与农户的博弈分析[J].农业技术经济,2007(5):25—30.
[7]涂国平,冷碧滨.基于博弈模型的“公司+农户”模式契约稳定性及模式优化[J].中国管理科学,2010,18(3):148—157.
[8]崔照忠,刘仁忠.三类农业产业化模式经营主体间博弈分析及最优选择[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(8):114—121.
[9] GODAR J,SUAVET C,GARDNER T,et al. Balancing detail and scale in assessing transparency to improve the governance of agricultural commodity supply chains[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2016,11(2):1—12.
[10] YAO G X,XU J. Agricultural supply chain decisions research under random yield[J]. Industrial Engineering and Management,2015,20(2):16—22.
[11]申强,侯云先.奶农与企业原料奶质量控制行为进化博弈分析[J].农业技术经济,2011(8):26—33.
[12]许民利,王俏,欧阳林寒.食品供应链中质量投入的演化博弈分析[J].中国管理科学,2012,20(5):131—141.
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