大气污染防治技术产业化潜力评价及案例研究
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摘要
为定量综合评价大气污染防治技术产业化潜力,该文从技术产业化潜力定义出发,结合大气污染防治技术特征,构建大气污染防治技术产业化潜力评价指标体系,并开展案例研究。大气污染防治技术产业化潜力评价指标体系包含技术指标、市场指标、条件指标、政策指标和效应指标5个一级指标,以及21个二级指标。基于模糊综合评价法,对相变凝聚除尘及余热回收利用集成装置开展产业化潜力评价。评价结果显示,技术综合评价结果为产业化潜力较大,在技术、政策、条件和效应4个方面均具有较好的优势。案例应用表明,该研究构建的大气污染防治技术产业化潜力评价指标体系能较好地应用于实际评价工作中。
In order to quantitatively and comprehensively evaluate the industrialization potential of air pollution prevention and control technology, and based on the definition of technology industrialization potential, an evaluation index system of the industrialization potential of air pollution prevention and control technology combining with the characteristics of air pollution prevention and control technology was established. A case study was done to verify the evaluation index system. The first index layer of the evaluation index system for the potential of air pollution prevention and control technology included five aspects: technical indicators, market indicators, condition indicators, policy indicators and effect indicators. The second index layer contained 21 indicators. Based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, the industrialization potential for phase change condensation dust removal and waste heat recovery utilization device was evaluated. The comprehensive evaluation results presented that there was great potential for industrialization, and the technology had good advantages in the aspects of technology, policy, condition and effect. Case application showed that the evaluation index system for the industrialization potential of air pollution prevention and control technology established in this study could be well applied to the actual evaluation work.
In order to quantitatively and comprehensively evaluate the industrialization potential of air pollution prevention and control technology, and based on the definition of technology industrialization potential, an evaluation index system of the industrialization potential of air pollution prevention and control technology combining with the characteristics of air pollution prevention and control technology was established. A case study was done to verify the evaluation index system. The first index layer of the evaluation index system for the potential of air pollution prevention and control technology included five aspects: technical indicators, market indicators, condition indicators, policy indicators and effect indicators. The second index layer contained 21 indicators. Based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, the industrialization potential for phase change condensation dust removal and waste heat recovery utilization device was evaluated. The comprehensive evaluation results presented that there was great potential for industrialization, and the technology had good advantages in the aspects of technology, policy, condition and effect. Case application showed that the evaluation index system for the industrialization potential of air pollution prevention and control technology established in this study could be well applied to the actual evaluation work.
引文
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[13]张吉军.模糊层次分析法(FAHP)[J].模糊系统与数学,2000(2):80-88.Zhang Jijun.Fuzzy analytical hierarchy process[J].Fuzzy Systems and Mathematics,2000(2):80-88.
[14]郭金玉,张忠彬,孙庆云.层次分析法的研究与应用[J].中国安全科学学报,2008(5):148-153.Guo Jinyu,Zhang Zhongbin,Sun Qingyun.Study and applications of analytic hierarchy process[J].China Safety Science Journal,2008(5):148-153.
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[2]黄鲁成,王吉武,卢文光.基于ANP的新技术产业化潜力评价研究[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2007,28(4):122-125.Huang Lucheng,Wang Jiwu,Lu Wenguang.Research on the industrialization potential evaluation of new technology based on ANP[J].Science of Science and Management of S&T,2007,28(4):122-125.
[3]卢文光,黄鲁成,王吉武.新技术产业化潜力评价指标体系设置研究[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2008,29(2):19-23.Lu Wenguang,Huang Lucheng,Wang Jiwu.The study on setting up index system of new technology assessment concerning the commercial potential[J].Science of Science and Management of S&T,2008,29(2):19-23.
[4]Pietro Moncada-Paternò-Castello,Rojo J,Bellido F,et al.Early identification and marketing of innovative technologies:a case study of RTD result valorisation at the European Commission's Joint Research Centre[J].Technovation,2003,23(8):0-667.
[5]卢文光,常金平,黄鲁成.新兴技术产业化潜力成长性的动态评价研究[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2009,30(9):5-9.Lu Wenguang,Chang Jinping,Huang Lucheng.Studies of dynamic evaluation on emerging technology industrialization potential growth[J].Science of Science and Management of S&T,2009,30(9):5-9.
[6]于超,王书肖,郝吉明.基于模糊评价方法的燃煤电厂氮氧化物控制技术评价[J].环境科学,2010,31(7):1464-1469.Yu Chao,Wang Shuxiao,Hao Jiming.Comprehensive fuzzy evaluation of nitrogen oxide control technologies for coal-fired power plants[J].Environmental Science,2010,31(7):1464-1469.
[7]王书肖,郝吉明,陆永琪,等.火电厂烟气脱硫技术的模糊综合评价[J].中国电力,2001,34(12):58-62.Wang Shuxiao,Hao Jiming,Lu Yongqi,et al.Comprehensive fuzzy evaluation of flue gas desulfurization technologies for thermal power plant[J].Electric Power,2001,34(12):58-62.
[8]阿克木吾马尔,蔡思翌,赵斌,等.油品储运行业挥发性有机物排放控制技术评估[J].化工环保,2015,35(1):64-68.Akemu Wumaer,Cai Siyi,Zhao Bin,et al.Comprehensive evaluation of volatile organic compounds control technologies for oil storage and transportation[J].Environment Protection of Chemical Industry,2015,35(1):64-68.
[9]李佳羽,刘利民,韩建华,等.典型化工园区VOCs排放控制技术的评价[J].化工进展,2016,35(4):1250-1256.Li Jiayu,Liu Limin,Han Jianhua,et al.Evaluation of VOCs emission control technologies in typical chemical industry park[J].Progress in Chemical Industry,2016,35(4):1250-1256.
[10]王海林,王俊慧,祝春蕾,等.包装印刷行业挥发性有机物控制技术评估与筛选[J].环境科学,2014,1(7):2503-2507.Wang Hailin,Wang Junhui,Zhu Chunlei,et al.Evaluation and selection of VOCs treatment technologies in packaging and printing industry[J].Environment Science,2014,1(7):2503-2507.
[11]王灿,席劲瑛,胡洪营,等.挥发性有机物控制技术评价指标体系初探[J].化工环保,2011,31(1):73-76.Wang Can,Xi Jingying,Hu Hongying,et al.Evaluation index system of volatile organic compound control technology[J].Environmental Protection of Chemical Industry,2011,31(1):73-76.
[12]尹一男,柴立元,孙宁.铅冶炼污染防治技术评价指标体系的构建[J].环境污染与防治,2012,34(10):82-87,94.Yin Yinan,Chai Liyuan,Sun Ning.Construction of technical evaluation index system for pollution prevention and control of lead smelting[J].Environmental Pollution&Control,2012,34(10):82-87,94.
[13]张吉军.模糊层次分析法(FAHP)[J].模糊系统与数学,2000(2):80-88.Zhang Jijun.Fuzzy analytical hierarchy process[J].Fuzzy Systems and Mathematics,2000(2):80-88.
[14]郭金玉,张忠彬,孙庆云.层次分析法的研究与应用[J].中国安全科学学报,2008(5):148-153.Guo Jinyu,Zhang Zhongbin,Sun Qingyun.Study and applications of analytic hierarchy process[J].China Safety Science Journal,2008(5):148-153.
[15]Mankins J C.Technology Readiness Levels:a White Paper[R].Washington,DC:NASA,1995.
[16]GB/T 2589-2008,综合能耗计算通则[S].GB/T 2589-2008,General Principles for Calculation of the Comprehensive Energy Consumption[S].
[17]李鸿吉.模糊数学基础及实用算法[M].北京:科学出版社,2005:9-13.Li Hongji.Fuzzy Mathematics Foundation and Practical Algorithm[M].Beijing:Science Press,2005:9-13.
[18]荩垆.实用模糊数学[M].北京:科学技术文献出版社,1989:21-23.Jin Lu.Practical Fuzzy Mathematics[M].Beijing:Science and Technology Literature Press,1989:21-23.
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