基于双重效应因素模型的广东省危房改造政策成效评价
|
摘要
减贫和消贫是世界各国共同面临的难题。如何采用完善的绩效评价机制对目前的政策效果进行精准评估以提高结果的科学性与公信力是当前第三方评估机构研究的热点。本研究从供给和需求的角度,运用农业政策成效双重效应因素评价模型,分析居民对危房改造项目的支付能力以及消费意愿,根据这两项指数的匹配程度来分析农业政策的功能协调性,并针对广东省危房改造政策的效果进行实证分析,以期依据广东省区域特征对当前政策实施效果进行优化和改进。
Poverty reduction and poverty alleviation are common problems faced by all countries in the world. How to use a sound performance evaluation mechanism to accurately evaluate the current policy effects to improve the scientific and credibility of the results is a hot topic of current third-party assessment agencies. This study uses the dual effect factor evaluation model of agricultural policy effectiveness from the perspective of supply and demand, analyzes the residents' ability to pay for dilapidated buildings and their willingness to consume, and analyzes the functional coordination of agricultural policies according to the matching degree of these two indexes. An empirical analysis was carried out on the effects of the dilapidated housing reform policy in Guangdong Province, with a view to optimize and improve the current policy implementation effects based on the regional characteristics of Guangdong Province.
Poverty reduction and poverty alleviation are common problems faced by all countries in the world. How to use a sound performance evaluation mechanism to accurately evaluate the current policy effects to improve the scientific and credibility of the results is a hot topic of current third-party assessment agencies. This study uses the dual effect factor evaluation model of agricultural policy effectiveness from the perspective of supply and demand, analyzes the residents' ability to pay for dilapidated buildings and their willingness to consume, and analyzes the functional coordination of agricultural policies according to the matching degree of these two indexes. An empirical analysis was carried out on the effects of the dilapidated housing reform policy in Guangdong Province, with a view to optimize and improve the current policy implementation effects based on the regional characteristics of Guangdong Province.
引文
[1]广东省扶贫开发办公室.广东扶贫开发“双到”十大模式[R].广州:广东省人民政府,2013.
[2]张大斌,凡华农,邓大才.中国农村家庭住房消费需求微观经济分析——基于“建材下乡”政策调查的数据[J].农业技术经济,2011(9):73-86.
[3] LEE F L,TROST R P.Estimation of some limited dependent variable models with application to housing demand[J].Journal of Econometrics. 1978,8(3):357-382.
[4]冯建英,穆维松,张领先,等.基于消费者购买意愿的农机市场需求分析[J].商业研究,2008(2):191-194.
[5]刘思峰,邓聚龙.GM(1,1)模型的适用范围[J].系统工程理论与实践,2000,20(5):121-124.
[6]高峰.政策评估的通用模型研究[J].科技管理研究,2015(24):35-39.
[7]董燕红,钟定胜,卢小丽.主成分与层次分析法在区域可持续发展能力评价中的应用对比[J].安全与环境学报,2016,16(1):359-364.
[8]苏洪哲,冯玉璇,李姣婷.基于因子分析法的我国公共服务绩效评价研究[J].价值工程,2017,36(3):7-9.
[9]李洁.基于数据包络分析的湖南省经济运行效率研究[J].现代商业,2017,2(4):44-46.
[10] RAPAPORT C. Housing demand and community choice:An empirical analysis[J].Journal of Urban Economics,1997,42:243-260.
[11] ISAAC F M,ALLEN P M,MARY B S. The economic theory of housing demand:A critical review[J].Journal of Real Estate Rsearch,1991,6(3):381-393.
[12] GYOURKO J,TRACY J S. A look at real housing prices and incomes:Some implications for housing affordability and quality[J].Economic Policy Review,1999,5(9):63-77.
[13]郭晓宇.住房需求研究综述[J].学术动态综述,2008,17(5):149-152.
[2]张大斌,凡华农,邓大才.中国农村家庭住房消费需求微观经济分析——基于“建材下乡”政策调查的数据[J].农业技术经济,2011(9):73-86.
[3] LEE F L,TROST R P.Estimation of some limited dependent variable models with application to housing demand[J].Journal of Econometrics. 1978,8(3):357-382.
[4]冯建英,穆维松,张领先,等.基于消费者购买意愿的农机市场需求分析[J].商业研究,2008(2):191-194.
[5]刘思峰,邓聚龙.GM(1,1)模型的适用范围[J].系统工程理论与实践,2000,20(5):121-124.
[6]高峰.政策评估的通用模型研究[J].科技管理研究,2015(24):35-39.
[7]董燕红,钟定胜,卢小丽.主成分与层次分析法在区域可持续发展能力评价中的应用对比[J].安全与环境学报,2016,16(1):359-364.
[8]苏洪哲,冯玉璇,李姣婷.基于因子分析法的我国公共服务绩效评价研究[J].价值工程,2017,36(3):7-9.
[9]李洁.基于数据包络分析的湖南省经济运行效率研究[J].现代商业,2017,2(4):44-46.
[10] RAPAPORT C. Housing demand and community choice:An empirical analysis[J].Journal of Urban Economics,1997,42:243-260.
[11] ISAAC F M,ALLEN P M,MARY B S. The economic theory of housing demand:A critical review[J].Journal of Real Estate Rsearch,1991,6(3):381-393.
[12] GYOURKO J,TRACY J S. A look at real housing prices and incomes:Some implications for housing affordability and quality[J].Economic Policy Review,1999,5(9):63-77.
[13]郭晓宇.住房需求研究综述[J].学术动态综述,2008,17(5):149-152.