同胞结构对农村男青年初婚年龄的影响
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摘要
基于CGSS2006和CGSS2008叠加数据,采用事件史分析方法,分析了同胞结构对农村男青年初婚年龄的影响。研究发现同胞结构对农村男青年的初婚年龄产生显著影响,主要体现在:同胞数量越多,农村男青年初婚年龄越晚;拥有兄弟会推迟农村男青年初婚年龄,拥有姐妹以及姐妹比例高则有利于提前农村男青年的初婚时间,计划生育政策实施后家庭同胞效应更加明显。资源约束理论和家庭融合理论可以解释农村地区男青年初次婚姻缔结时间的同胞效应。
Rural men born after the implementation of the family planning policy have entered the marriage market,while the effect of marriage squeeze is gradually obvious. Based on CGSS2006 and CGSS2008 data,and using the event history analysis method,this paper finds the significant effect of sibling structure on rural men's first marriage age. The more the sibling size is,the later the rural men get married;having brothers delay the first marriage age,while having sisters,or higher proportion of sisters in siblings,is helpful for rural men to get married earlier. The effect of siblings is more apparent after the implementation of family planning policy. Resource Dilution theory and Family integration theory can explain the effect of sibling structure on rural men's first marriage age.
Rural men born after the implementation of the family planning policy have entered the marriage market,while the effect of marriage squeeze is gradually obvious. Based on CGSS2006 and CGSS2008 data,and using the event history analysis method,this paper finds the significant effect of sibling structure on rural men's first marriage age. The more the sibling size is,the later the rural men get married;having brothers delay the first marriage age,while having sisters,or higher proportion of sisters in siblings,is helpful for rural men to get married earlier. The effect of siblings is more apparent after the implementation of family planning policy. Resource Dilution theory and Family integration theory can explain the effect of sibling structure on rural men's first marriage age.
引文
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[19]严善平.大城市社会流动的实态与机制——来自天津市居民问卷调查的实证分析[J].中国社会科学,2000(3):104-114+205.
[20]贺雪峰.农村代际关系论:兼论代际关系的价值基础[J].社会科学研究,2009(5):84-92.
[21]韦艳,张力.农村大龄未婚男性的婚姻困境:基于性别不平等视角的认识[J].人口研究,2011,35(5):58-70.
[2]王鹏,吴愈晓.初婚年龄的影响因素分析基于CGSS2006的研究[J].社会,2013(3):89-110.
[3]叶华,吴晓刚.生育率下降与中国男女教育的平等化趋势[J].社会学研究,2011(5):153-177+245.
[4]李树茁,果臻.当代中国人口性别结构的演变[J].中国人口科学,2013(2):11-20+126.
[5]加里·斯坦利·贝克尔.家庭论[M].北京:商务印书馆,1998.
[6]Edlund L.Son preference,Sex ratios,and Marriage Patterns[J].Journal of Political Economy,1999,107(6):1275-1304.
[7]Jennings E.A.,Axinn W.G.,Ghimire D.J.The Effect of Parents’Attitudes on Sons’Marriage Timing[J].American Sociological Review,2012:0003122412464041.
[8]Vogl T.Marriage Institutions and Sibling Competition:Evidence from South Asia[R].National Bureau of Economic Research,2012.
[9]唐灿,马春华,石金群.女儿赡养的伦理与公平——浙东农村家庭代际关系的性别考察[J].社会学研究,2009(6):18-36+243.
[10]黄匡时,嘎日达.社会融合理论研究综述[J].新视野,2010(6):86-88.
[11]邱幼云.社会性别视角下的高嫁妆现象:基于闽南C镇的实证研究[J].中国青年研究,2015(5):71-75.
[12]吴重庆.社会变迁与通婚地域的伸缩——莆田孙村“通婚地域”调查[J].开放时代,1999(4):71-81.
[13]阮荣平,郑风田,刘力.信仰的力量:宗教有利于创业吗[J].经济研究,2014(4):171-184.
[14]张文彤.SPS统计分析高级教程[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2004.
[15]郗杰英,杨守建.“谁是青年”再讨论[J].中国青年研究,2008(8):27-31.
[16]Conley D.Sibship Sex Composition:Effects on Educational Attainment[J].Social Science Research,2000(3):441-457.
[17]许琪.外出务工对农村男女初婚年龄的影响[J].人口与经济,2015(4):39-51.
[18]於嘉,谢宇.社会变迁与初婚影响因素的变化[J].社会学研究,2013(4):1-25+242.
[19]严善平.大城市社会流动的实态与机制——来自天津市居民问卷调查的实证分析[J].中国社会科学,2000(3):104-114+205.
[20]贺雪峰.农村代际关系论:兼论代际关系的价值基础[J].社会科学研究,2009(5):84-92.
[21]韦艳,张力.农村大龄未婚男性的婚姻困境:基于性别不平等视角的认识[J].人口研究,2011,35(5):58-70.