农村老年人口消费水平和消费结构随年龄变化的特征——基于CHFS数据的实证检验
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摘要
基于CHFS农户家庭的调研数据,实证分析了农村老年人口消费水平和消费结构随年龄变化的特征。实证结果显示,农村老年人口的消费水平随年龄变化呈现下降趋势,而其各项消费支出随年龄变化呈现出不同的演变趋势。农村居民进入老年阶段后,衣着支出比重继续保持下降趋势;食品支出比重、生活用品及服务支出比重继续保持上升趋势;教育文化和娱乐支出比重在65岁左右出现拐点,由下降趋势转为上升趋势;交通通信支出比重在60岁左右由上升趋势转为下降趋势,在65岁之后保持下降趋势;医疗保健支出比重走势则较为复杂,在60岁左右由下降趋势转为上升趋势,进入65岁之后先保持上升趋势,70岁左右转变为下降趋势。
Based on the survey data of CHFS farm households, this paper empirically analyzes the characteristics of age-related changes of the consumption level and structure of the rural elderly population. The empirical results show that the consumption level of rural elderly population shows a downward trend with age growing, and their various consumption expenditures show different evolution trends with age changing. With the rural residents going into old age, the proportion of clothing expenditure continues to decline; the proportion of food expenditure, daily necessities and service expenditure keeps on rising; the proportion of education, culture and entertainment expenditure starts to turn around at the age of 65, from a downward trend to an upward one. The proportion of transportation and communication expenditures changes from an upward trend to a downward one around the age of 60, and remains declining after age 65. The trend of health care expenditures is more complicated. It turns from a downward trend to an upward trend at the age of 60, and after entering the age of 65, first, the upward trend is maintained, then it is changing to a downward trend around the age of 70.
Based on the survey data of CHFS farm households, this paper empirically analyzes the characteristics of age-related changes of the consumption level and structure of the rural elderly population. The empirical results show that the consumption level of rural elderly population shows a downward trend with age growing, and their various consumption expenditures show different evolution trends with age changing. With the rural residents going into old age, the proportion of clothing expenditure continues to decline; the proportion of food expenditure, daily necessities and service expenditure keeps on rising; the proportion of education, culture and entertainment expenditure starts to turn around at the age of 65, from a downward trend to an upward one. The proportion of transportation and communication expenditures changes from an upward trend to a downward one around the age of 60, and remains declining after age 65. The trend of health care expenditures is more complicated. It turns from a downward trend to an upward trend at the age of 60, and after entering the age of 65, first, the upward trend is maintained, then it is changing to a downward trend around the age of 70.
引文
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[14]MANKIW G N,WEIL D N.The baby boom,the baby bust and the housing market [J].Regional Science and Urban Economics,1989(2):235-258.
[2]MOSCHIS G P.Life stages of the mature market[J].American Demogrpphics,1996(9):44-50.
[3]AHMAD R.The older or aging consumers in the UK:are they really that different?[J].International Journal of Market Research,2002(5):337-360.
[4]王菲.我国城市老年人消费行为的实证研究[J].人口与发展,2015(3):101-112.
[5]杨庆芳,张航空.老年人个人消费和家庭消费及其影响因素——以北京海淀为例[J].西北人口,2014(2):115-118,123.
[6]何纪周.我国老年人消费需求和老年消费品市场研究[J].人口学刊,2004(3):49-52.
[7]薄嬴.代际支持对农村老年人医疗消费的影响——基于2011年CHARLS数据的分析[J].消费经济,2016(5):16-22.
[8]王艳婷,张鲁彬.老年人旅游消费与影响因素关联度分析——基于京津冀地区2006—2013年面板数据[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016(11):124-129.
[9]车文辉,彭双双.老年人保健食品消费特点及趋势调查与分析[J].食品与机械,2016(11):202-206.
[10]王秋惠,胡丞丞,闫蕾.城市老年人公共文化消费形态研究——以天津为例[J].北京理工大学学报(社会科学版),2015(4):160-163.
[11]胥爱红.河南省城市老年人体育消费的多维影响因素[J].中国老年学杂志,2012(11):2 392-2 393.
[12]王振振,胡晗,李敏.老年消费需求规模预测及影响因素分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2016(21):1-9.
[13]乐昕,彭希哲.老年消费新认识及其公共政策思考[J].复旦学报(社会科学版),2016(2):126-134.
[14]MANKIW G N,WEIL D N.The baby boom,the baby bust and the housing market [J].Regional Science and Urban Economics,1989(2):235-258.
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