经济因素和人口特征对农村家庭消费的影响
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摘要
农村居民的家庭内部消费存在巨大差异,本文使用2013年中国家庭收入项目(CHIPS)调查数据,采用Lasso变量选择方法筛选出最能影响农村家庭消费的经济因素和人口特征变量,在此基础上构建分位数回归模型,在不同的消费水平上研究经济因素和人口特征如何影响农村家庭消费。结果表明,收入是影响农村家庭消费的关键因素,消费水平较高的家庭其收入弹性也比较大。就业人数、学生人数和户主享有劳保福利正向影响家庭消费,户主年龄和户主享有低保或生活救济反向影响家庭消费。
It is obvious that there is a huge difference in the consumption of rural households.In this paper,we use the 2013 Chinese Household Income Project Survey(CHIPS)data and Lasso method to filter out the most influential economic factors and population characteristics of rural household consumption,then construct the quantile regression model,to analyze the influence of economic factors and demographic characteristics on rural household consumption at different consumption levels.The results show that income is the key factor affecting rural household consumption,and the income elasticity of households with higher consumption level is relatively bigger.The number of employment,the number of students and the labor insurance welfare of the householder positively affect household consumption,while the age of the householder and low insurance or social relief of the householder negatively affect household consumption.
It is obvious that there is a huge difference in the consumption of rural households.In this paper,we use the 2013 Chinese Household Income Project Survey(CHIPS)data and Lasso method to filter out the most influential economic factors and population characteristics of rural household consumption,then construct the quantile regression model,to analyze the influence of economic factors and demographic characteristics on rural household consumption at different consumption levels.The results show that income is the key factor affecting rural household consumption,and the income elasticity of households with higher consumption level is relatively bigger.The number of employment,the number of students and the labor insurance welfare of the householder positively affect household consumption,while the age of the householder and low insurance or social relief of the householder negatively affect household consumption.
引文
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[7]卢建新.农村家庭资产与消费:来自微观调查数据的证据[J].农业技术经济,2015(1):84-92.
[8]何书慧,李翠霞.黑龙江省农村居民乳制品消费主要影响因素研究[J].黑龙江畜牧兽医,2017(6):12-15.
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[11]王雪琪,赵彦云,范超.我国城镇居民消费结构变动影响因素及趋势研究[J].统计研究,2016(2):61-67.
[12]赵昕东,李林.家庭经济因素和人口特征如何影响不同收入等级城镇居民消费[J].数理统计与管理,2016(6):1076-1085.
[13]贾小玫,焦阳.我国农村居民消费结构变化趋势及影响因素的实证分析[J].消费经济,2016(2):29-34.
[14] TIBSHIRANI R.Regression shrinkage and selection via the Lasso[J].Journal of the Royal Statistical Society,Series B,1996(1):267-288.
[15]喻胜华,龚尚花.基于Lasso和支持向量机的粮食价格预测[J].湖南大学学报(社会科学版),2016(1):71-75.
[16]张世伟,郝东阳.分位数上城镇居民消费支出的决定[J].财经问题研究,2011(9):119-123.
[2]周津春,秦富.我国城乡居民食物消费的影响因素及启示[J].调研世界,2006(7):42-44.
[3] WANG H,ZHANG L C,HSIAO W L.Ill health and its potential influence on household consumptions in rural China[J].Health Policy,2006(78):167-177.
[4] JAN I,KHAN H,HAYAT S.Determinants of Rural Household Energy Choices:An Example from Pakistan[J].Polish Journal of Environmental Studies,2012,3(21):635-641.
[5] KOEN E.The impact of family background and educational attainment on cultural consumption:A sibling analysis[J].Poetics,1997(25):195-224.
[6] HANNAH W,MALTE N,ELLEN M.Adolescents and electricity consumption;Investigating sociodemographic,economic,and behavioural influences on electricity consumption in households[J].Energy Policy,2016,94(7):224-234.
[7]卢建新.农村家庭资产与消费:来自微观调查数据的证据[J].农业技术经济,2015(1):84-92.
[8]何书慧,李翠霞.黑龙江省农村居民乳制品消费主要影响因素研究[J].黑龙江畜牧兽医,2017(6):12-15.
[9]李晓嘉,蒋承.我国农村家庭消费倾向的实证研究——基于人口年龄结构的视角[J].金融研究,2014(9):115-127.
[10]方匡南,章紫艺.社会保障对城乡家庭消费的影响研究[J].统计研究,2013(3):51-58.
[11]王雪琪,赵彦云,范超.我国城镇居民消费结构变动影响因素及趋势研究[J].统计研究,2016(2):61-67.
[12]赵昕东,李林.家庭经济因素和人口特征如何影响不同收入等级城镇居民消费[J].数理统计与管理,2016(6):1076-1085.
[13]贾小玫,焦阳.我国农村居民消费结构变化趋势及影响因素的实证分析[J].消费经济,2016(2):29-34.
[14] TIBSHIRANI R.Regression shrinkage and selection via the Lasso[J].Journal of the Royal Statistical Society,Series B,1996(1):267-288.
[15]喻胜华,龚尚花.基于Lasso和支持向量机的粮食价格预测[J].湖南大学学报(社会科学版),2016(1):71-75.
[16]张世伟,郝东阳.分位数上城镇居民消费支出的决定[J].财经问题研究,2011(9):119-123.
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