互联网普及与产业结构服务化——兼论乡村振兴战略中的农村服务业发展
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摘要
互联网具有强大的"连接"属性,促进主体间信息交流,打破产业活动中的时空限制,互联网技术变革对产业结构变迁的作用凸显,使产业结构服务化进程表现出新的特征。通过建立数理模型,从理论视角推导互联网普及影响产业结构服务化进程的内在机理和路径。利用2006-2016年我国31个省(市、自治区)的面板数据,研究互联网发展水平对我国产业结构服务化的影响。理论验证结果显示,互联网作为重要的资源投入要素,其普及对我国产业结构服务化发展起着显著的促进作用;同时在具有不同互联网普及水平的地区,互联网通过技术进步和城镇化水平促进产业结构服务化具有显著的边际递减效应。建议改善农村特别是中西部地区农村的信息化基础设施条件,提高互联网普及率,促进农村服务业发展和乡村振兴战略实施。
Under the background of "Internet + ",the process of servitization of industrial structure shows new characteristics. The research explores the internal mechanisms and the influences of Internet development in promoting the servitization process of industrial structure. Based on panel data of 31 provinces( cities) from 2006 to 2016,we find that the popularization of Internet,as an important input,has played a significant role in promoting the process of service-oriented industrial structure in China. At the same time,in areas with different levels of Internet popularization,the Internet promotes service-oriented industrial structure through technological progress and urbanization level,which has a significant Marginal Diminishing effect.Therefore,the governments should increase the internet penetration rate and promote the development of rural service industry and rural revitalization strategy by improving the information infrastructure in rural areas,especially in the central and western regions.
Under the background of "Internet + ",the process of servitization of industrial structure shows new characteristics. The research explores the internal mechanisms and the influences of Internet development in promoting the servitization process of industrial structure. Based on panel data of 31 provinces( cities) from 2006 to 2016,we find that the popularization of Internet,as an important input,has played a significant role in promoting the process of service-oriented industrial structure in China. At the same time,in areas with different levels of Internet popularization,the Internet promotes service-oriented industrial structure through technological progress and urbanization level,which has a significant Marginal Diminishing effect.Therefore,the governments should increase the internet penetration rate and promote the development of rural service industry and rural revitalization strategy by improving the information infrastructure in rural areas,especially in the central and western regions.
引文
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[16]彭海静,郦丽,江敏.基于“互联网+”的苏北农村地区新型城镇化建设研究[J].中国管理信息化,2016,19(1):164-166.
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[19]李娟.基于个人资源获取模式的人口城镇化之互联网途径[J].学术界,2016,(8):210-219,327-328.
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[21]Apvloaie,E.L..The Impact of the Internet on the Business Environment[J].Procedia Economics and Finance,2014,15:951-958.
[22]周冬.互联网覆盖驱动农村就业的效果研究[J].世界经济文汇,2016,(3):76-90.
[23]Singelmann,J..The Sectoral Transformation of the Labor Force in Seven Industrialized Countries,1920-1970[J].American Journal of Sociology,1978,83(5):1224-1234.
[24]杜宇玮,刘东皇.中国城镇化与服务业发展耦合协调度测度[J].城市问题,2015,(12):52-61.
[25]王诗蓓.我国产业结构服务化的影响因素分析---基于全国31个省市的面板数据[J].齐齐哈尔大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2018,(6):91-95.
[26]曾世宏.中国城市化进程中公共服务供给缺口的治理逻辑[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2017:132.
[27]Keeble,D.,Nacham,L..Why Do Business Service Firms Cluster?Small Consultancies,Clustering and Decentralization in London and Southern England[J].Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers,2002,(27):67-90.
[28]Chang,G.H.,Brada,J.C..The Paradox of China's Growing Under Urbanization[J].Economic Systems,2006,30(1):24-40.
[29]Xu,X.,Thong,J.Y.L.,Tam,K.Y..Winning Back Technology Disadopters:Testing a Technology Readoption Model in the Context of Mobile Internet Services[J].Journal of Management Information Systems,2017,34(1):102-140.
[30]Ji,F.,Wu,F.,Wang,B.,et al..Research on the Innovation Ability Evaluation of Traditional Enterprise's Business Model for Internet Transition with Hesitant Fuzzy Information[J].Journal of Intelligent&Fuzzy Systems,2016,31(1):91-97.
[31]张影强.互联网改变传统业态---第77期“经济每月谈”综述[J].经济研究参考,2016,(16):70-72.
[32]杨善林,周开乐,张强等.互联网的资源观[J].管理科学学报,2016,19(1):1-11.
[33]王济武.互联网大数据带来的机遇与挑战---集群式创新与产业升级[J].领导科学论坛,2016,(20):48-66.
[34]Jordan,J.M..Information,Technology,and Innovation:Resources for Growth in a Connected World[M].John Wiley&Sons,2012.
[35]Carlo,J.L.,Lyytinen,K.,Rose,G.M..Internet Computing as a Disruptive Information Technology Innovation:The Role of Strong Order Effects[J].Information Systems Journal,2011,21(1):91-122.
[36]严力群,佘运九.“互联网+”制造业服务化发展研究[J].中国集体经济,2017,(10):64-65.
[37]王述英.西方第三产业理论演变述评[J].湖南社会科学,2003,(5):85-88.
[38]Shelanski,H.A..Information,Innovation,and Competition Policy for the Internet[J].U.Pa.L.Rev.,2012,161(6):1663-1705.
[39]曾世宏,高亚林.互联网技术创新驱动服务业转型升级的机理、路径与对策[J].湖南科技大学学报(社会科学版),2016,19(5):123-127.
[40]王燕,吴蒙.我国是否已进入经济服务化时代---判断标准及目前所处阶段[J].经济问题,2016,(2):62-68.
[41]刘继国,赵一婷.制造业中间投入服务化趋势分析---基于OECD中9个国家的宏观实证[J].经济与管理,2006,(9):9-12.
[42]曾世宏,夏杰长.中国快速城镇化进程为何不能提升服务业就业吸纳能力---兼论转型升级背景下中国服务业与城镇化互动模式创新[J].财贸研究,2016,27(2):1-9.
[43]龚轶,顾高翔,刘昌新等.技术创新推动下的中国产业结构进化[J].科学学研究,2013,31(8):1252-1259.
[44]李勇刚,王猛.土地财政与产业结构服务化---一个解释产业结构服务化“中国悖论”的新视角[J].财经研究,2015,41(9):29-41.
(1)根据国家统计局公布的数据,2010年我国经济增长速率为10. 45%,2016年我国经济增长速率为6. 7%。
[2]Peneder,M..Industrial Structure and Aggregate Growth[J].Structural Change and Economic Dynamics,2003,14(4):427-448.
[3]Graham,D.J..Identifying Urbanisation and Localisation Externalities in Manufacturing and Service Industries[J].Papers in Regional Science,2009,88(1):63-84.
[4]Foellmi,R.,Zweimüller,J..Exclusive Goods and Formal-sector Employment[J].American Economic Journal:Macroeconomics,2011,3(1):242-72.
[5]Bekkers,E.,Francois,J..Trade and Industrial Structure with Large Firms and Heterogeneity[J].European Economic Review,2013,60:69-90.
[6]Ehrenhard,M.,Kijl,B.,Nieuwenhuis,L..Market Adoption Barriers of Multi-stakeholder Technology:Smart Homes for the Aging Population[J].Technological Forecasting and Social Change,2014,89:306-315.
[7]Sampler,J.L..Redefining Industry Structure for the Information Age[J].Strategic Management Journal,1998,19(4):343-355.
[8]Dedrick,J.,Kraemer,K.L..The Impacts of IT on Firm and Industry Structure:The Personal Computer Industry[J].California Management Review,2005,47(3):122-142.
[9]Wigand,R.T.,Steinfield,C.W.,Markus,M.L..Information Technology Standards Choices and Industry Structure Outcomes:The Case of the US Home Mortgage Industry[J].Journal of Management Information Systems,2005,22(2):165-191.
[10]陈国亮,唐根年.基于互联网视角的二三产业空间非一体化研究---来自长三角城市群的经验证据[J].中国工业经济,2016,(8):76-92.
[11]江小涓.高度联通社会中的资源重组与服务业增长[J].经济研究,2017,52(3):4-17.
[12]陈晓光,龚六堂.经济结构变化与经济增长[J].经济学(季刊),2005,(2):583-604.
[13]王健,李佳.人力资本推动产业结构升级:我国二次人口红利获取之解[J].现代财经(天津财经大学学报),2013,33(6):35-44,78.
[14]Lucas,R.E.Jr..Life Earnings and Rural-urban Migration[J].Journal of Political of Economy,2004,112(S1):29-59.
[15]赵爽,刘彦彤.“互联网+”助力新型城镇化建设研究[J].内蒙古财经大学学报,2018,16(2):15-17.
[16]彭海静,郦丽,江敏.基于“互联网+”的苏北农村地区新型城镇化建设研究[J].中国管理信息化,2016,19(1):164-166.
[17]辜胜阻,李睿.以互联网创业引领新型城镇化[J].中国软科学,2016,(1):6-16.
[18]罗震东,何鹤鸣.新自下而上进程---电子商务作用下的乡村城镇化[J].城市规划,2017,41(3):31-40.
[19]李娟.基于个人资源获取模式的人口城镇化之互联网途径[J].学术界,2016,(8):210-219,327-328.
[20]Paunov,C.,Rollo,V..Has the Internet Fostered Inclusive Innovation in the Developing World?[J].World Development,2016,78:587-609.
[21]Apvloaie,E.L..The Impact of the Internet on the Business Environment[J].Procedia Economics and Finance,2014,15:951-958.
[22]周冬.互联网覆盖驱动农村就业的效果研究[J].世界经济文汇,2016,(3):76-90.
[23]Singelmann,J..The Sectoral Transformation of the Labor Force in Seven Industrialized Countries,1920-1970[J].American Journal of Sociology,1978,83(5):1224-1234.
[24]杜宇玮,刘东皇.中国城镇化与服务业发展耦合协调度测度[J].城市问题,2015,(12):52-61.
[25]王诗蓓.我国产业结构服务化的影响因素分析---基于全国31个省市的面板数据[J].齐齐哈尔大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2018,(6):91-95.
[26]曾世宏.中国城市化进程中公共服务供给缺口的治理逻辑[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2017:132.
[27]Keeble,D.,Nacham,L..Why Do Business Service Firms Cluster?Small Consultancies,Clustering and Decentralization in London and Southern England[J].Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers,2002,(27):67-90.
[28]Chang,G.H.,Brada,J.C..The Paradox of China's Growing Under Urbanization[J].Economic Systems,2006,30(1):24-40.
[29]Xu,X.,Thong,J.Y.L.,Tam,K.Y..Winning Back Technology Disadopters:Testing a Technology Readoption Model in the Context of Mobile Internet Services[J].Journal of Management Information Systems,2017,34(1):102-140.
[30]Ji,F.,Wu,F.,Wang,B.,et al..Research on the Innovation Ability Evaluation of Traditional Enterprise's Business Model for Internet Transition with Hesitant Fuzzy Information[J].Journal of Intelligent&Fuzzy Systems,2016,31(1):91-97.
[31]张影强.互联网改变传统业态---第77期“经济每月谈”综述[J].经济研究参考,2016,(16):70-72.
[32]杨善林,周开乐,张强等.互联网的资源观[J].管理科学学报,2016,19(1):1-11.
[33]王济武.互联网大数据带来的机遇与挑战---集群式创新与产业升级[J].领导科学论坛,2016,(20):48-66.
[34]Jordan,J.M..Information,Technology,and Innovation:Resources for Growth in a Connected World[M].John Wiley&Sons,2012.
[35]Carlo,J.L.,Lyytinen,K.,Rose,G.M..Internet Computing as a Disruptive Information Technology Innovation:The Role of Strong Order Effects[J].Information Systems Journal,2011,21(1):91-122.
[36]严力群,佘运九.“互联网+”制造业服务化发展研究[J].中国集体经济,2017,(10):64-65.
[37]王述英.西方第三产业理论演变述评[J].湖南社会科学,2003,(5):85-88.
[38]Shelanski,H.A..Information,Innovation,and Competition Policy for the Internet[J].U.Pa.L.Rev.,2012,161(6):1663-1705.
[39]曾世宏,高亚林.互联网技术创新驱动服务业转型升级的机理、路径与对策[J].湖南科技大学学报(社会科学版),2016,19(5):123-127.
[40]王燕,吴蒙.我国是否已进入经济服务化时代---判断标准及目前所处阶段[J].经济问题,2016,(2):62-68.
[41]刘继国,赵一婷.制造业中间投入服务化趋势分析---基于OECD中9个国家的宏观实证[J].经济与管理,2006,(9):9-12.
[42]曾世宏,夏杰长.中国快速城镇化进程为何不能提升服务业就业吸纳能力---兼论转型升级背景下中国服务业与城镇化互动模式创新[J].财贸研究,2016,27(2):1-9.
[43]龚轶,顾高翔,刘昌新等.技术创新推动下的中国产业结构进化[J].科学学研究,2013,31(8):1252-1259.
[44]李勇刚,王猛.土地财政与产业结构服务化---一个解释产业结构服务化“中国悖论”的新视角[J].财经研究,2015,41(9):29-41.
(1)根据国家统计局公布的数据,2010年我国经济增长速率为10. 45%,2016年我国经济增长速率为6. 7%。
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