The Test of the Earthquake Prediction in Short-Term and Imminent Using Satellite Thermal Infrared Technique

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• 作者：Zuji QIANGHaiyan HUJin QIANG
• 会议时间：2013-04-01
• 关键词：earthquake forecast ; brightness temperature increase anomaly ; cold and hot stress field
• 作者单位：Zuji QIANG(Institute of Geology,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing,China)Haiyan HU(Department of Earth sciences,China University of Geosciences,Wuhan,China)Jin QIANG(Chinese Research Center of the Prediction of the Major Natural Disasters,Beijing,China)
• 母体文献：2013天灾预测学术研讨会议论文集
• 会议名称：2013天灾预测学术研讨会议
• 会议地点：北京
• 主办单位：中国地球物理学会
• 语种：chi

摘要

In the past 11 years,1990-2000,09 the tests of earthquake prediction proved that the technique has good application prospects.The 149 predictions have been made,Of the 149 predictions,100 are right while 49 are not.Of the right 100 ones,65 are highly accurate,including 10 Ms 7 earthquakes,19 Ms 6 earthquakes,and 36 Ms 5 earthquakes.Twenty five of the predictions have a medium level of accuracy,including 4 Ms 7 earthquakes.The rest 10 have a low level of accuracy.Owing to the interference of the cloud,49 earthquakes were neglected and 20 wrong predictions.