An Inexact Two-Stage Allocation Model for Water Resources Management Under Uncertainty

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• 作者：C. Y. Li (1)
  L. Zhang (1)
  
  1. College of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering ; Northeast Agricultural University ; Harbin ; 150030 ; China
  
• 关键词：Two ; stage programming ; Interval parameter ; Uncertainty ; Water resources allocation ; Management
• 刊名：Water Resources Management
• 出版年：2015
• 出版时间：April 2015
• 年：2015
• 卷：29
• 期：6
• 页码：1823-1841
• 全文大小：380 KB
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• 刊物类别：Earth and Environmental Science
• 刊物主题：Earth sciences
  Hydrogeology
  Geotechnical Engineering
  Meteorology and Climatology
  Civil Engineering
  Environment
  
• 出版者：Springer Netherlands
• ISSN：1573-1650

文摘

In this study, an inexact two-stage allocation model is put forward for supporting decisions of water resource planning and management. Two processes and three phases with the associated net costs are considered in the optimization model. The proposed model is derived from incorporating interval parameters within a two-stage stochastic programming framework, which can tackle uncertainties in forms of interval parameters and distributions of probability. It can also support the analysis of the policies that are related with different levels of economic consequences as the pre-decisions are violated. In other words, the proposed model is an effective link between policy and economic penalty. By applying the model into a case of water resources allocation, the results indicate that the water shortage quantity and net cost of each process in different exploit probability levels have been generated. Therefore, the simulative results are valuable for the adjustment of the existing water allocation issues in a complicated water-resource system under uncertainty.