FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 10pt" lang=EN-US>Annual Runoff Predicting Based on Gray Topology font-family: MingLiU_HKSCS">face="Times New Roman">font-family: Verdana" lang=EN-US>
——A Case Study of the Aksu Riverfix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />
- 责任者：Zhang Xia (Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology and Desert Environment ; Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Urümqi830011) ; Chen Yaning
- 刊名：Quaternary Sciences
- 出版年：2010
- 卷期：30(1)
- 关键词：灰色系统 ; grey system ; 径流 ; runoff ; 新疆 ; Xinjiang
- 页码：p.216-223
- 图表：illus., 4 tables, 27 refs.
- 分类号：1701
- issnNo：ISSN1001-7410
- isbnNo：CN11-2708/P
ft; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" class=MsoNormal align=left>f’; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体" lang=EN-US>According to gauged discharges in the two representative hydrologic stations of the Shaliguilanke and the Xiehelafont-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ’Times New Roman’; mso-hansi-font-family: ’Times New Roman’; mso-bidi-font-family: ’Times New Roman’">，f’; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体" lang=EN-US>this paper uses a statistical methodfont-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ’Times New Roman’; mso-hansi-font-family: ’Times New Roman’; mso-bidi-font-family: ’Times New Roman’">，f’; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体" lang=EN-US>the Kendall non-parameter tendency test and the wavelet analysis to analyze annual distribution and variation characteristics on the basis of the observations of annual runoff from 1957 to 2006. The result shows that the variation coefficient over years is small and relatively stable. In order to objectively display this complex wave shape of annual runoff changefont-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ’Times New Roman’; mso-hansi-font-family: ’Times New Roman’; mso-bidi-font-family: ’Times New Roman’">，f’; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体" lang=EN-US>this paper introduced the gray topology forecasting method. The results show that the increase trend of the Aksu annual runoff volume is not obvious in the next five years.f’; FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体" lang=EN-US>fix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />
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